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239 West Lake Cir
D Composite 40.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0

$334,900

239 West Lake Cir · Madison, AL 35758
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,100 sqft · Condo public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1989 $47/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 3 BR, 2.5 BA townhouse with att. 2-car gar in sought-after Edgewater! Crown molding, hardwood floors, and tile add timeless style throughout. The spacious great room features a wood-burning fireplace, built-ins, and abundant storage, opening to the formal dining room. Kitchen offers a lg island w/ seating, ample cabinetry, Corian countertops, & tile backsplash. The prim. suite incl. a double-trey ceiling, 2 walk-in closets, and updated ensuite bath. Enjoy a private covered deck plus addtl. outdoor living space. Community amenities incl. a 140-acre lake w/ fishing, walking trails, clubhouse w/ fitness ctr, pool, tennis courts, playgrounds. Less than 3 miles from Town Madison

Key facts

  • Community amenities
  • 140 acre lake
  • Private covered deck

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEPRIVATE COVERED DECKCOMMUNITY AMENITIES140 ACRE LAKEWALKING TRAILSCLUBHOUSE WITH FITNESS CTR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Steeplechase West subdivision
  • HOA & community: Neighborhood association with annual fee of $565; Community amenities: clubhouse, playground, tennis courts, walking trails, street lights, sidewalks, curbs

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached two-car garage (garage faces rear)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1989
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Covered deck and additional deck; Curb and gutters; Sidewalks; Underground utilities; Concrete driveway; Access to neighborhood lake

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Fireplace (1, exterior-facing); Crawl space basement; Nine total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-549 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (29.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (42.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (42.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (math 53% / reading 72%, grade B, #51 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 505 students, 27% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 1,334 students, 25% FRL); Bob Jones High School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,920 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $195k; list at $335k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,059 (42.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.03%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
14.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$144,587
Equity at exit
$301,704
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
5.78×
Total profit
$447,844
Equity at exit
$650,637

Cash invested: $93,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35758

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
390
Price-to-rent
14.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,931 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,756
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,577/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$47
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$-549

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,626
Max offer price $237,906
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-359 -5% $-454 +0% $-549 +5% $-644 +10% $-739
Rent -10% $-702 -5% $-625 +0% $-549 +5% $-473 +10% $-397
Rate -1.0pp $-380 -0.5pp $-464 base $-549 +0.5pp $-636 +1.0pp $-724

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,725
Closing costs
$10,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
248 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1764 $1,625 $0.92 25d 1 0.05mi
234 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1976 $1,695 $0.86 45d 1 0.06mi
122 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 2.0 2.0 1881 $1,695 $0.90 45d 1 0.06mi
102 W Lake Cir Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 2150 $1,700 $0.79 15d 1 0.09mi
108 Napolean Ave Madison, AL 4.0 3.5 2761 $3,650 $1.32 25d 1 0.32mi
107 Poydras St Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2457 $3,450 $1.40 22d 1 0.34mi
153 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 1730 $1,950 $1.13 22d 1 0.41mi
118 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL 3.0 2.0 2031 $2,300 $1.13 45d 1 0.50mi
531 Town Madison Blvd Madison, AL 3.0 2.5 2332 $3,195 $1.37 45d 1 0.52mi
102 Spinnaker Ridge Dr SW Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 2150 $2,100 $0.98 45d 1 0.85mi
515 Dunlop Blvd Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $1,674 $1.51 15d 32 0.94mi
103 Rainwood Dr SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.5 2155 $2,400 $1.11 45d 1 1.00mi
119 Windsor Hill Rd SW Unit 119 Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 1768 $1,800 $1.02 25d 1 1.08mi
350 Lime Quarry Rd Madison, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1137 $2,450 $2.15 45d 1 1.23mi
126 Windridge Way SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.5 2845 $3,300 $1.16 45d 1 1.43mi
325 Acorn Grove Ln SW Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1950 $2,200 $1.13 15d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$47 · $564/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $334,900 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $334,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $334,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $334,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $334,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $334,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $334,900 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $334,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $334,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $334,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $334,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $334,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $334,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $334,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $334,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $334,900 Active
  17. 2008-09-15
    soldstatus $195,000
  18. 2006-07-26
    soldstatus $218,700
  19. 2005-11-01
    soldstatus $194,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,577 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,577 · $131/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,167
− Mortgage interest
−$18,760
− Property taxes
−$1,577
− Insurance
−$1,674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,853
− Management
−$1,853
− HOA
−$564
− Depreciation
−$9,743
Taxable loss
−$12,857
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,086
After-tax cash flow
$-3,503/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison City
NCES district ID
0100008
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$89,091
Composite
55.56/100
National rank
#1238
State rank
#4 of 129 in AL

Livability — Madison

Score
76/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#3280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Madison, AL
County
Madison County · 380,832 people
City population
93,742
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
50,266
Household income
$117,380
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
875.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.46%
Current HPI
355.2784
Rent YoY
▲ 1.58%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $334,900 VMLS
  • 2008-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
  • 2006-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $218,700 Public Records
  • 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $194,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,577 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…