239 West Lake Cir · Madison, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
$334,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 3 BR, 2.5 BA townhouse with att. 2-car gar in sought-after Edgewater! Crown molding, hardwood floors, and tile add timeless style throughout. The spacious great room features a wood-burning fireplace, built-ins, and abundant storage, opening to the formal dining room. Kitchen offers a lg island w/ seating, ample cabinetry, Corian countertops, & tile backsplash. The prim. suite incl. a double-trey ceiling, 2 walk-in closets, and updated ensuite bath. Enjoy a private covered deck plus addtl. outdoor living space. Community amenities incl. a 140-acre lake w/ fishing, walking trails, clubhouse w/ fitness ctr, pool, tennis courts, playgrounds. Less than 3 miles from Town Madison
Key facts
- Community amenities
- 140 acre lake
- Private covered deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Steeplechase West subdivision
- HOA & community: Neighborhood association with annual fee of $565; Community amenities: clubhouse, playground, tennis courts, walking trails, street lights, sidewalks, curbs
Exterior
- Parking: Attached two-car garage (garage faces rear)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Built in 1989
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Covered deck and additional deck; Curb and gutters; Sidewalks; Underground utilities; Concrete driveway; Access to neighborhood lake
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (1, exterior-facing); Crawl space basement; Nine total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $335k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-549 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (29.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (42.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (42.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 2.6% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AL, #3,280 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Madison City (suburban): math 51% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #4 of 129 in AL (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Madison Elementary School (math 53% / reading 72%, grade B, #51 of 627 statewide, top 8%, 505 students, 27% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 46% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 257 statewide, top 5%, 1,334 students, 25% FRL); Bob Jones High School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade D+, #11 of 305 statewide, top 4%, 1,920 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $36k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$58k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($325k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $195k; list at $335k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.03%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 14.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.54×
- Total profit
- $144,587
- Equity at exit
- $301,704
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $447,844
- Equity at exit
- $650,637
Cash invested: $93,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35758
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 390
- Price-to-rent
- 14.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,931 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,756
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,577/yr
- Insurance
- −$140
- HOA
- −$47
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$405
- Net cashflow
- $-549
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-359 | -5% $-454 | +0% $-549 | +5% $-644 | +10% $-739 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-702 | -5% $-625 | +0% $-549 | +5% $-473 | +10% $-397 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-380 | -0.5pp $-464 | base $-549 | +0.5pp $-636 | +1.0pp $-724 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,725
- Closing costs
- $10,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $1,625 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 234 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1976 | $1,695 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 122 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1881 | $1,695 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 102 W Lake Cir Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $1,700 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 108 Napolean Ave Madison, AL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2761 | $3,650 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 107 Poydras St Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2457 | $3,450 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 153 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $1,950 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 118 Canterbury Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2031 | $2,300 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 531 Town Madison Blvd Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2332 | $3,195 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 102 Spinnaker Ridge Dr SW Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2150 | $2,100 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 515 Dunlop Blvd Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1110 | $1,674 | $1.51 | 15d | 32 | 0.94mi |
| 103 Rainwood Dr SW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2155 | $2,400 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 119 Windsor Hill Rd SW Unit 119 Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1768 | $1,800 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 350 Lime Quarry Rd Madison, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1137 | $2,450 | $2.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 126 Windridge Way SW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2845 | $3,300 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 325 Acorn Grove Ln SW Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,200 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $47 · $564/yr
- Likely covers
- waterlandscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $334,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $334,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $334,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $334,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $334,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $334,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $334,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $334,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $334,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $334,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $334,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $334,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $334,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $334,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $334,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$334,900 Active
-
2008-09-15soldstatus $195,000
-
2006-07-26soldstatus $218,700
-
2005-11-01soldstatus $194,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,760
- − Property taxes
- −$1,577
- − Insurance
- −$1,674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,853
- − Management
- −$1,853
- − HOA
- −$564
- − Depreciation
- −$9,743
- Taxable loss
- −$12,857
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,086
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 0100008
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,091
- Composite
- 55.56/100
- National rank
- #1238
- State rank
- #4 of 129 in AL
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Madison, AL
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 93,742
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,266
- Household income
- $117,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 875.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.46%
- Current HPI
- 355.2784
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+72.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $334,900 VMLS
- 2008-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2006-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $218,700 Public Records
- 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $194,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,577 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…