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2501 Atchafalaya River Hwy
B Composite 73.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,000

2501 Atchafalaya River Hwy · Henderson, LA 70517
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,194 sqft · SingleFamily · 139 Days on market
Poor condition 0.68 ac lot $73/sqft · 32% below area Est $128k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HIGHLY MOTIVATED SELLERS. BRING US AN OFFER AND LETS MAKE A DEAL!! Tucked away along the beautiful Atchafalaya River, this quiet and private property offers the perfect escape from the hustle and bustle. Whether you're dreaming of a weekend camp, fishing getaway, or a place to create your own rustic retreat, this property is full of potential.The older mobile home is being sold as is and will need some work, but it provides a starting point for the right buyer with vision. Outside, you'll find ample storage, plenty of space for boats, gear, and outdoor toys, and excellent privacy surrounded by nature.Enjoy peaceful river days, starry nights, and the freedom to make this place your own.

Key facts

  • Excellent privacy
  • Surrounded by nature
  • Ample storage

Tags

AMPLE STORAGESPACE FOR BOATSEXCELLENT PRIVACYSURROUNDED BY NATURE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $87k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#263 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Martin Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #49 of 98 in LA (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 276 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in St. Martin Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Martin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.41%
Cash-on-cash
21.84%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,515
List price
$87,000
Delta
-31.77%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2147 Atchafalaya River Hwy 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,250 (+5%) 1mo $210,000 $168 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$6,266
Equity at exit
$12,972
10-year hold
IRR
16.0%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$31,947
Equity at exit
$7,522

Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70517

Home prices YoY
-33.7%
Active inventory
276
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,322 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$456
Tax est. 1.5%
$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
Insurance
$36
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $920
Max offer price $87,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $378 -5% $348 +0% $318 +5% $288 +10% $258
Rent -10% $214 -5% $266 +0% $318 +5% $370 +10% $423
Rate -1.0pp $362 -0.5pp $340 base $318 +0.5pp $296 +1.0pp $273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,750
Closing costs
$2,610
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $87,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $87,000 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $87,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $87,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $87,000 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $87,000 Active 130 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $87,000 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $87,000 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $87,000 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $87,000 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $87,000 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $87,000 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $87,000 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $87,000 Active 118 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $87,000 Active 117 DOM
  17. 2026-02-01
    listed $87,000 Active 695-char remark
    Show marketing remark (695 chars)

    HIGHLY MOTIVATED SELLERS. BRING US AN OFFER AND LETS MAKE A DEAL!! Tucked away along the beautiful Atchafalaya River, this quiet and private property offers the perfect escape from the hustle and bustle. Whether you're dreaming of a weekend camp, fishing getaway, or a place to create your own rustic retreat, this property is full of potential.The older mobile home is being sold as is and will need some work, but it provides a starting point for the right buyer with vision. Outside, you'll find ample storage, plenty of space for boats, gear, and outdoor toys, and excellent privacy surrounded by nature.Enjoy peaceful river days, starry nights, and the freedom to make this place your own.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,868
− Mortgage interest
−$4,873
− Property taxes
−$1,305
− Insurance
−$1,937
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,269
− Management
−$1,269
− Depreciation
−$2,531
Taxable income
$2,683
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$644
After-tax cash flow
$3,175/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property presents significant opportunities for renovation and improvement, with extensive repairs and maintenance needed to bring it up to a livable condition. The location along the Atchafalaya River offers a unique opportunity for a rustic retreat, but the current state of the property is not suitable for immediate occupancy.

Repairs flagged

  • Major painting — extensive peeling and outdated paint
  • Major roof repair — visible damage
  • Major exterior siding repair — mobile home siding appears damaged
  • Major HVAC repair — visible damage
  • Major kitchen renovation — dated cabinets and countertops
  • Major bathroom renovation — dated fixtures and worn tiles
  • Major flooring replacement — worn carpet and uneven flooring
  • Major landscaping — overgrown vegetation and unkempt appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale exterior painting — enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale kitchen renovation — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Resale bathroom renovation — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Rental HVAC repair — improves comfort and tenant satisfaction
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
painting · extensive peeling and outdated paint Major $15,000–50,000
roof repair · visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding repair · mobile home siding appears damaged Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC repair · visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen renovation · dated cabinets and countertops Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom renovation · dated fixtures and worn tiles Major $15,000–50,000
flooring replacement · worn carpet and uneven flooring Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · overgrown vegetation and unkempt appearance Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items $120,000–400,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale exterior painting — enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale kitchen renovation — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Resale bathroom renovation — modernizes the space and adds value
  • Rental HVAC repair — improves comfort and tenant satisfaction
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Martin Parish
NCES district ID
2201590
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -36.00%
Median HH income
$42,813
Composite
23.41/100
National rank
#7897
State rank
#49 of 98 in LA

Livability — Henderson

Score
60/100
State rank
#263
US rank
#19364

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
26,570

Population outlook (St. Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,446 people
By 2030
58,857 · +2.5%
By 2040
60,859 · +5.9%
By 2050
61,419 · +6.9%
By 2075
61,574 · +7.2%
By 2100
57,253 · -0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 30% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 18% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Martin

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.00%
Current HPI
143.4293
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $87,000 AcadianaMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…