201 Padgett St St · Corbin, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
First Time on the market! This 3 Bedroom Home located within walking distance to downtown could be just the home for you! The newly renovated exterior sets this home apart from homes near by with new siding, new windows, and a new roof you are sure to have a home that will last for years to come. This home features a inclosed front sitting area and a private backyard that will suite all of your hosting needs. Not to forget that this home is only one of few in the are with a large amount of drive way space so that all your family and friends can come over to enjoy your new home. Buyer is to verify all aspects of the home so you don't miss out on any of the details.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Listed 106 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.5 acre
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: House; One story
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Metal roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Views of trees/woods and neighborhood
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Electric cooling
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Walk-in closet(s); Crawl space basement; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup (main level); Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (8.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.3% in Corbin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#179 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Corbin Independent (town): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #20 of 165 in KY (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Corbin Elementary School (math 53% / reading 58%, grade C, #60 of 676 statewide, top 9%, 373 students, 61% FRL); Corbin Middle School (math 46% / reading 56%, grade C, #20 of 217 statewide, top 10%, 646 students, 58% FRL); Corbin High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 829 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 332 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 65 units permitted in Whitley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
- Whitley County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $121k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.85%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,289
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Padgett St St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,333 (0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $109 | 99 |
| 501 Walnut Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-1%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $117 | 85 |
| 214 W Center St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (+6%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $128 | 74 |
| 727 Gordon St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+5%) | 2mo | $185,500 | $133 | 74 |
| 502 Chestnut St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (-9%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $144 | 65 |
| 207 W Center St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-14%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $88 | 63 |
| 906 W 8th St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (-0%) | 9mo | $169,000 | $127 | 63 |
| 106 W Greendale St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (-2%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $184 | 53 |
| 915 W 8th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,251 (-6%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $159 | 53 |
| 913 W 8th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,244 (-7%) | 10mo | $225,900 | $182 | 49 |
| 131 Reasor St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,233 (-8%) | 9mo | $280,000 | $227 | 48 |
| 206 Hamlin Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (-13%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $95 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $21,907
- Equity at exit
- $57,706
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $71,539
- Equity at exit
- $82,021
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40701
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 332
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $396/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1003 W 5th St Corbin, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1186 | $1,375 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-23status Pending
-
2026-04-23historical Contingent
-
2026-03-31price $149,900
-
2026-03-22status Active
-
2026-03-17historical Contingent
-
2026-02-17status Active
-
2026-01-17price $159,900
-
2025-10-24price $164,900
-
2025-09-26price $169,900
-
2025-09-05status Active
-
2025-08-27historical Contingent
-
2025-08-26historical
-
2025-08-22price $174,900
-
2025-08-15$183,900 Active
-
2023-10-04soldstatus $120,900
-
2023-10-01soldstatus $120,900 Closed 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
First Time on the market! This 3 Bedroom Home located within walking distance to downtown could be just the home for you! The newly renovated exterior sets this home apart from homes near by with new siding, new windows, and a new roof you are sure to have a home that will last for years to come. This home features a inclosed front sitting area and a private backyard that will suite all of your hosting needs. Not to forget that this home is only one of few in the are with a large amount of drive way space so that all your family and friends can come over to enjoy your new home. Buyer is to verify all aspects of the home so you don't miss out on any of the details.
-
2023-09-01status Pending 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
First Time on the market! This 3 Bedroom Home located within walking distance to downtown could be just the home for you! The newly renovated exterior sets this home apart from homes near by with new siding, new windows, and a new roof you are sure to have a home that will last for years to come. This home features a inclosed front sitting area and a private backyard that will suite all of your hosting needs. Not to forget that this home is only one of few in the are with a large amount of drive way space so that all your family and friends can come over to enjoy your new home. Buyer is to verify all aspects of the home so you don't miss out on any of the details.
-
2023-08-26$119,999 Active 673-char remark
Show marketing remark (673 chars)
First Time on the market! This 3 Bedroom Home located within walking distance to downtown could be just the home for you! The newly renovated exterior sets this home apart from homes near by with new siding, new windows, and a new roof you are sure to have a home that will last for years to come. This home features a inclosed front sitting area and a private backyard that will suite all of your hosting needs. Not to forget that this home is only one of few in the are with a large amount of drive way space so that all your family and friends can come over to enjoy your new home. Buyer is to verify all aspects of the home so you don't miss out on any of the details.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $396 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,289 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$893/yr (+$74/mo · 225.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$396
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$43
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,467/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corbin Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101320
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,928
- Composite
- 38.19/100
- National rank
- #4259
- State rank
- #20 of 165 in KY
Livability — Corbin
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #179
- US rank
- #8891
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corbin, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,767
Population outlook (Whitley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,362 people
- By 2030
- 34,807 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 33,525 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 32,550 · -8.0%
- By 2075
- 29,555 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 24,308 · -31.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Whitley
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.3) · D 14.8% · R 84.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.7pp toward R · 2008: -47.7pp · 2024: -69.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.3 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+67.2 2012: R+57.8 2008: R+47.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Current HPI
- 294.7961
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+24.9% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2026-04-23 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $149,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-22 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-17 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2026-02-17 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $159,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $164,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $169,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — ImagineMLS
- 2025-08-27 Contingent — ImagineMLS
- 2025-08-26 Listing Removed — ImagineMLS
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $174,900 ImagineMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $183,900 ImagineMLS
- 2023-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $120,900 Public Records
- 2023-10-01 Sold (MLS) $120,900 ImagineMLS
- 2023-09-01 Pending — ImagineMLS
- 2023-08-26 Listed $119,999 ImagineMLS
Property tax history
+22.1%/yrLatest (2024): $396 · +3203.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…