13972 E 500 S · Point Isabel, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious 3 bedroom home offering the flexibility of a den that can easily serve as a 4th bedroom if needed. Inside, you'll find an open-concept layout with both a breakfast nook and a dedicated dining area. Situated on . 65 acres in a peaceful rural setting within Eastern Schools, this property provides the space and privacy you've been looking for. Outside, hobbyists and storage-seekers will love the massive 40x44x14 pole barn, complete with electricity and a concrete floor, plus a newer storage shed for added convenience. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for the next owner to bring their own style and finishing touches, creating a space uniquely their own.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- 40x44x14 pole barn
- Newer storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-157 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (14.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $122k (35.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (35.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 45/100 on livability (#662 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Eastern Howard School Corporation (town): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #100 of 301 in IN (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eastern Elementary School (math 50% / reading 39%, grade F, #379 of 994 statewide, top 41%, 770 students, 45% FRL); Eastern Middle School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #152 of 330 statewide, top 47%, 397 students, 48% FRL); Eastern High School (math 42% / reading 82%, grade B-, #41 of 369 statewide, top 12%, 467 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 24% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 194 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
- Howard County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.54%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $55,032
- Equity at exit
- $130,377
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $167,374
- Equity at exit
- $246,501
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46076
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,222 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $560/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $-157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-50 | -5% $-103 | +0% $-157 | +5% $-211 | +10% $-265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-254 | -5% $-205 | +0% $-157 | +5% $-109 | +10% $-61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-61 | -0.5pp $-109 | base $-157 | +0.5pp $-206 | +1.0pp $-256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-02-27soldstatus $190,000 Closed 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 3 bedroom home offering the flexibility of a den that can easily serve as a 4th bedroom if needed. Inside, you'll find an open-concept layout with both a breakfast nook and a dedicated dining area. Situated on . 65 acres in a peaceful rural setting within Eastern Schools, this property provides the space and privacy you've been looking for. Outside, hobbyists and storage-seekers will love the massive 40x44x14 pole barn, complete with electricity and a concrete floor, plus a newer storage shed for added convenience. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for the next owner to bring their own style and finishing touches, creating a space uniquely their own.
-
2026-02-04status Pending
-
2026-01-30historical Active Under Contract 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 3 bedroom home offering the flexibility of a den that can easily serve as a 4th bedroom if needed. Inside, you'll find an open-concept layout with both a breakfast nook and a dedicated dining area. Situated on . 65 acres in a peaceful rural setting within Eastern Schools, this property provides the space and privacy you've been looking for. Outside, hobbyists and storage-seekers will love the massive 40x44x14 pole barn, complete with electricity and a concrete floor, plus a newer storage shed for added convenience. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for the next owner to bring their own style and finishing touches, creating a space uniquely their own.
-
2025-11-14$190,000 Active 695-char remark
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 3 bedroom home offering the flexibility of a den that can easily serve as a 4th bedroom if needed. Inside, you'll find an open-concept layout with both a breakfast nook and a dedicated dining area. Situated on . 65 acres in a peaceful rural setting within Eastern Schools, this property provides the space and privacy you've been looking for. Outside, hobbyists and storage-seekers will love the massive 40x44x14 pole barn, complete with electricity and a concrete floor, plus a newer storage shed for added convenience. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for the next owner to bring their own style and finishing touches, creating a space uniquely their own.
-
2025-11-14$190,000 Active
Show marketing remark (695 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 3 bedroom home offering the flexibility of a den that can easily serve as a 4th bedroom if needed. Inside, you'll find an open-concept layout with both a breakfast nook and a dedicated dining area. Situated on . 65 acres in a peaceful rural setting within Eastern Schools, this property provides the space and privacy you've been looking for. Outside, hobbyists and storage-seekers will love the massive 40x44x14 pole barn, complete with electricity and a concrete floor, plus a newer storage shed for added convenience. This home offers a wonderful opportunity for the next owner to bring their own style and finishing touches, creating a space uniquely their own.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $560 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,088 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$527/yr (+$44/mo · 94.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$560
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,173
- − Management
- −$1,173
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$5,366
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,288
- After-tax cash flow
- $-597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eastern Howard School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803150
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,636
- Composite
- 38.2/100
- National rank
- #4255
- State rank
- #100 of 301 in IN
Livability — Point Isabel
- Score
- 45/100
- State rank
- #662
- US rank
- #26575
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,754
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,522 people
- By 2030
- 80,104 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 76,708 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 72,880 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 64,016 · -21.5%
- By 2100
- 51,705 · -36.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.3) · D 31.4% · R 66.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.1pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -35.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.3 2020: R+32.4 2016: R+33.9 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.90%
- Current HPI
- 289.8652
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Sold (MLS) $190,000 IRMLS
- 2026-02-04 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $190,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Listed $190,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $560 · -32.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…