160 N Pine St · Gramercy, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers approximately 1,100 sq ft of living space, including a living room, dining area, and a versatile bonus room that could serve as an office or den. The property sits on a spacious lot, providing plenty of outdoor potential. The home is in need of repairs and updates but offers a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property.
Key facts
- Living room
- Dining area
- Bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Raised foundation; Shingle roof
- Construction: Built on a raised foundation
- Exterior features: City lot; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 102 x 111
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Property reported in poor condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $560 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#32 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. James Parish (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #30 of 98 in LA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in St. James Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. James County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.29%
- DSCR
- 3.37
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,560
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161 N Pine St | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 952 (-11%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $121 | 70 |
| 1377 2nd St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+6%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $169 | 66 |
| 1442 2nd St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,011 (-5%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $173 | 62 |
| 1875 Hymel St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,161 (+9%) | 10mo | $186,000 | $160 | 57 |
| 320 N Airline Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,165 (+9%) | 18mo | $83,000 | $71 | 52 |
| 2409 N Albert St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-6%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $135 | 43 |
| 310 N Millet Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,225 (+15%) | 19mo | $197,000 | $161 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $28,371
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- 56.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.61×
- Total profit
- $70,689
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70052
- Home prices YoY
- -26.3%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $782/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $560
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $585 | -5% $572 | +0% $560 | +5% $547 | +10% $534 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $472 | -5% $516 | +0% $560 | +5% $604 | +10% $648 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $582 | -0.5pp $571 | base $560 | +0.5pp $548 | +1.0pp $536 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-17status $45,000 Pending 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 400-char remark
-
2026-06-02$45,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $782 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $782 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$782
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $6,385
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,532
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,183/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. James Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201500
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -38.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,020
- Composite
- 31.24/100
- National rank
- #6031
- State rank
- #30 of 98 in LA
Livability — Gramercy
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #5303
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gramercy, LA
- City population
- 2,931
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,931
Population outlook (St. James County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,741 people
- By 2030
- 20,140 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 18,560 · -10.5%
- By 2050
- 16,673 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 12,535 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 8,610 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 31%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. James
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 50.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.4pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+8.0 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+12.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.00%
- Current HPI
- 134.6668
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $45,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $45,000 GSREIN
- 2004-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $782 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…