3306 Almaden Ct · Bowie, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Spacious Colonial Awaits You. .. 4BRM include Master Suite & sitting Rm, 2.5 Bath w/ rough-in full bath in Bsmt. Bsmt is unfinished so you can allow your imagination to run wild!Eat-In kitchen has custom built in microwave, stove converts to indoor grill, leads to private fenced backyard & large deck for great entertaining! Cozy family room off kitchen w/ fireplace & more!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1998
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership: Fee simple
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $250 annually
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Vinyl siding construction
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Foundation: other
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (all upper levels); Two full bathrooms on the first upper level; One half bathroom on the main level; One half bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Cooling: other type, electric-powered; Hot water provided by natural gas
- Interior features: Has fireplace (1); Basement present (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.1% in Bowie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#159 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.46%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $625,014
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15810 Atlantis Dr | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 | 2,560 (-4%) | 21mo | $615,000 | $240 | 61 |
| 16104 Arrowroot Ct | 0.47mi | 4/3.5 | 2,889 (+8%) | 1mo | $675,000 | $234 | 60 |
| 16402 Euro Ct | 0.40mi | 4/3.5 | 2,972 (+11%) | 1mo | $631,000 | $212 | 58 |
| 16403 Edgepark Ct | 0.58mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,732 (+2%) | 7mo | $685,000 | $251 | 54 |
| 16103 Arrowroot Ct | 0.48mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,843 (+6%) | 11mo | $650,000 | $229 | 52 |
| 16113 Atlantis Dr | 0.54mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,857 (+7%) | 16mo | $670,000 | $235 | 41 |
| 2812 Arden Forest Ln | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,902 (+9%) | 19mo | $640,000 | $221 | 40 |
| 16110 Amethyst Ln | 0.69mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,464 (-8%) | 11mo | $645,000 | $262 | 37 |
| 2600 Ann Arbor Ln | 0.68mi | 4/3.5 | 3,044 (+14%) | 19mo | $620,000 | $204 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $160
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $82,369
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20716
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,855 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$664 /mo · $7,968/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$810
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16103 Eastlawn Ct Bowie, MD | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2208 | $5,000 | $2.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 15957 Alameda Dr Bowie, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3024 | $3,650 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4013 Estevez Ct Bowie, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1765 | $3,000 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3511 Saint Robin Ln Bowie, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1792 | $3,650 | $2.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 16913 Saint Marion Way Bowie, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2597 | $3,200 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16912 Saint William Way Bowie, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2219 | $4,000 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 12718 Haskell Ln Bowie, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1872 | $3,150 | $1.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-21$300,000 Active
-
2005-05-13soldstatus $520,000
-
2005-05-13soldstatus $520,000
-
2005-03-31soldstatus $520,000 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This Spacious Colonial Awaits You. .. 4BRM include Master Suite & sitting Rm, 2.5 Bath w/ rough-in full bath in Bsmt. Bsmt is unfinished so you can allow your imagination to run wild!Eat-In kitchen has custom built in microwave, stove converts to indoor grill, leads to private fenced backyard & large deck for great entertaining! Cozy family room off kitchen w/ fireplace & more!
-
2005-03-10historical 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This Spacious Colonial Awaits You. .. 4BRM include Master Suite & sitting Rm, 2.5 Bath w/ rough-in full bath in Bsmt. Bsmt is unfinished so you can allow your imagination to run wild!Eat-In kitchen has custom built in microwave, stove converts to indoor grill, leads to private fenced backyard & large deck for great entertaining! Cozy family room off kitchen w/ fireplace & more!
-
2005-02-24$520,000 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This Spacious Colonial Awaits You. .. 4BRM include Master Suite & sitting Rm, 2.5 Bath w/ rough-in full bath in Bsmt. Bsmt is unfinished so you can allow your imagination to run wild!Eat-In kitchen has custom built in microwave, stove converts to indoor grill, leads to private fenced backyard & large deck for great entertaining! Cozy family room off kitchen w/ fireplace & more!
-
1994-08-05soldstatus $4,603,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,968 · $664/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,968 · $664/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,260
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$7,968
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,701
- − Management
- −$3,701
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable income
- $3,607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$866
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,081/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Bowie
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #7194
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bowie, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- City population
- 105,324
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,362
- Household income
- $125,034
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -302.27%
- Current HPI
- 285.1976
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-93.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $520,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $520,000 Public Records
- 2005-03-31 Sold (MLS) $520,000 MRIS
- 2005-03-10 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-02-24 Listed $520,000 MRIS
- 1994-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $4,603,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $7,968 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…