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245 Pendleton
C+ Composite 62.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$145,000

245 Pendleton · San Antonio, TX 78204
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,190 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 205 Days on market
Built 1930 6,098 sqft lot Est $186k · 22% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come and take a look a this gem of a property! Recently upgraded to a completely modern look! Open space Kitchen/Dining Room and Living Room make this home a great place for your family. New laminate flooring, upgraded Kitchen, Bathroom, Bedrooms and Living Room make this home ideal!

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 205 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 96 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.14%
Cash-on-cash
3.04%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
205 Frio City 0.15mi 1/1.5 (-1) 1,164 (-2%) 6mo $150,000 $129 77
141 Goodwin 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,148 (-4%) 11mo $130,000 $113 68
337 Pendleton 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,044 (-12%) 11mo $70,000 $67 58
319 Roslyn 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (-3%) 3mo $199,000 $173 57
123 Alvarez Pl 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,222 (+3%) 14mo $147,550 $121 57
406 Oriental 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,328 (+12%) 10mo $214,988 $162 51
643 Mercedes St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,152 (-3%) 15mo $180,000 $156 49
335 Kemper 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,280 (+8%) 11mo $245,500 $192 46
114 Sonora 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,048 (-12%) 7mo $145,000 $138 45
116 Rehmann St 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,336 (+12%) 0mo $270,000 $202 44
238 Keller St 0.71mi 2/1.5 1,340 (+13%) 6mo $240,000 $179 39
124 Furnish 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,032 (-13%) 10mo $120,000 $116 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$81,384
Equity at exit
$130,627
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
6.59×
Total profit
$227,106
Equity at exit
$281,703

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78204

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,413/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,294
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $185 -5% $144 +0% $103 +5% $62 +10% $21
Rent -10% $-10 -5% $47 +0% $103 +5% $159 +10% $215
Rate -1.0pp $176 -0.5pp $140 base $103 +0.5pp $65 +1.0pp $27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1901 S San Marcos Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 750 $962 $1.28 4d 1 0.18mi
1901 S San Marcos Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 985 $1,147 $1.16 4d 1 0.18mi
310 Finton Unit A San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 960 $850 $0.89 44d 1 0.25mi
333 Frio City Rd Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,350 $1.00 12d 1 0.27mi
231 Ceralvo St Unit Na San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,695 $1.46 44d 1 0.28mi
242 Drake Ave Unit 242 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1472 $1,700 $1.15 44d 1 0.39mi
222 Glass Ave San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1007 $2,400 $2.38 44d 1 0.46mi
410 N Park Blvd San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,650 $1.24 44d 1 0.47mi
542 Drake Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,875 $1.37 44d 1 0.57mi
438 Pruitt Ave #1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 980 $1,245 $1.27 44d 1 0.57mi
205 Mockert San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 864 $1,050 $1.22 25d 1 0.57mi
2406 S Laredo St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 944 $1,200 $1.27 15d 1 0.59mi
602 Chihuahua St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 783 $1,150 $1.47 44d 1 0.66mi
218 Tampico St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 808 $1,623 $2.01 3d 28 0.66mi
319 Noria St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,100 $1.10 25d 1 0.66mi
308 Keller St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1296 $3,400 $2.62 44d 1 0.68mi
614 Chihuahua St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,400 $1.29 44d 1 0.69mi
305 Keller St Unit NA San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 15d 1 0.70mi
302 W Cevallos Unit 1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1132 $1,550 $1.37 25d 1 0.73mi
120 Bank St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1035 $1,495 $1.44 44d 1 0.78mi
120 Bank St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1035 $1,450 $1.40 21d 1 0.78mi
815 Ripford St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 728 $1,300 $1.79 5d 1 0.79mi
329 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 862 $2,200 $2.55 2d 1 0.80mi
142 Helena St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 840 $1,350 $1.61 5d 1 0.82mi
147 Saint Francis Ave San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,800 $1.47 5d 1 0.83mi
150 Bank St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $795 $1.14 44d 1 0.86mi
2600 S Flores St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 705 $900 $1.28 25d 3 0.86mi
110 Dowdy St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,395 $1.25 25d 1 0.87mi
1938 S Zarzamora St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 744 $915 $1.23 4d 1 0.88mi
1938 S Zarzamora St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 955 $1,102 $1.15 4d 1 0.88mi
1401 S Flores St #300 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 728 $1,750 $2.40 17d 1 0.88mi
127 Clay #2 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 936 $1,250 $1.34 44d 1 0.92mi
2003 S Zarzamora St San Antonio, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,120 $1.09 25d 1 0.92mi
450 Taft Blvd San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 883 $1,295 $1.47 44d 1 0.92mi
939 S Frio St Unit 2294 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 931 $1,467 $1.58 4d 1 0.94mi
1011 S Frio St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0–3.0 1121 $1,820 $1.62 2d 32 0.97mi
215 E Cevallos San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0–3.0 1162 $2,348 $2.02 2d 20 0.98mi
1102 El Paso St San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 888 $1,116 $1.26 4d 1 0.98mi
411 E Lachapelle San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 770 $975 $1.27 23d 1 0.99mi
1209 El Paso St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 966 $975 $1.01 25d 1 1.00mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-15
    historical Active Option
  3. 2026-01-04
    price $145,000
  4. 2025-12-31
    status Back on Market
  5. 2025-12-22
    historical Active Option
  6. 2025-11-24
    price $150,000
  7. 2025-11-14
    price $155,000
  8. 2025-10-05
    price $162,000
  9. 2025-09-24
    listed $170,000 New
  10. 2024-11-12
    historical
  11. 2024-09-18
    price $100,000
  12. 2024-09-10
    price $105,000
  13. 2024-09-07
    price $110,000
  14. 2024-08-19
    price $115,000
  15. 2024-08-10
    price $120,000
  16. 2024-08-10
    status Back on Market
  17. 2024-07-30
    status Pending
  18. 2024-06-27
    historical Active Option
  19. 2024-06-25
    price $150,000
  20. 2024-06-24
    status Back on Market
  21. 2024-06-23
    historical
  22. 2024-06-21
    listed $160,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,413 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,654 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$240/yr (+$20/mo · 10.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,085
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,413
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,127
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$270
After-tax cash flow
$1,505/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
11,983
Household income
$60,255
Rent vs Own
54.7% rent · 45.3% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 37% White 15% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 74%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 49%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.91%
Current HPI
249.0597
Rent YoY
▼ -1.44%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending LERA
  • 2026-03-15 Contingent LERA
  • 2026-01-04 Price Changed $145,000 LERA
  • 2025-12-31 Relisted LERA
  • 2025-12-22 Contingent LERA
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $150,000 LERA
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $155,000 LERA
  • 2025-10-05 Price Changed $162,000 LERA
  • 2025-09-24 Listed $170,000 LERA
  • 2024-11-12 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-09-18 Price Changed $100,000 LERA
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $105,000 LERA
  • 2024-09-07 Price Changed $110,000 LERA
  • 2024-08-19 Price Changed $115,000 LERA
  • 2024-08-10 Price Changed $120,000 LERA
  • 2024-08-10 Relisted LERA
  • 2024-07-30 Pending LERA
  • 2024-06-27 Contingent LERA
  • 2024-06-25 Price Changed $150,000 LERA
  • 2024-06-24 Relisted LERA
  • 2024-06-23 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-06-21 Listed $160,000 LERA

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,413 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…