5628 Skylite Ln · Rochester, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investors bring your offers. Great opportunity to finish off to your liking a rare find on Lake Apollo in Shelby Twp, Beautiful views. Home is down to the studs. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. NO CONTINGENCIES CASH ONLY Submit all offers with proof of funds. There is no power or water in the home. Only to be shown during daylight hours and bring a flashlight. All offers much present with $25,000 non refundable deposit. Property will be on market for 30 days After 30 days a judgement order will be placed for closing to take place within 22 days of order. HIGHEST AND BEST BY SEPTEMBER 3,2025 SELLER WILL NOT CONSIDER ANY OFFERS UNDER LIST
Key facts
- 0.44 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1972
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $252k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 2.5% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#150 in MI, #3,744 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.18%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $475,438
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54815 Camden Ct | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 | 2,410 (-10%) | 3mo | $648,000 | $269 | 69 |
| 54778 Camden Ct | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,428 (-9%) | 3mo | $646,000 | $266 | 69 |
| 5594 Woodmire Dr | 0.20mi | 4/3.0 | 2,413 (-10%) | 4mo | $626,000 | $259 | 69 |
| 54808 Camden Ct | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,453 (-8%) | 6mo | $654,877 | $267 | 68 |
| 5541 Meadow Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,552 (-4%) | 6mo | $400,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 54895 Starlite Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,813 (+5%) | 0mo | $329,999 | $117 | 64 |
| 54011 Mound Rd | 0.30mi | 4/2.5 | 2,956 (+11%) | 5mo | $417,000 | $141 | 64 |
| 55162 Benson Ct | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,475 (-7%) | 0mo | $685,000 | $277 | 62 |
| 5091 Vincent Trl | 0.58mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,555 (-4%) | 5mo | $455,000 | $178 | 56 |
| 5267 Rostraver Ct | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 | 2,900 (+9%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $138 | 55 |
| 53223 Sophia Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 2,958 (+11%) | 4mo | $415,000 | $140 | 45 |
| 53249 Villa Cir | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,404 (-10%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $146 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,738
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $48,479
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48316
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$284 /mo · $3,407/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$47
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$643
- Net cashflow
- $618
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $765 | -5% $691 | +0% $618 | +5% $544 | +10% $471 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $376 | -5% $497 | +0% $618 | +5% $739 | +10% $860 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $749 | -0.5pp $684 | base $618 | +0.5pp $550 | +1.0pp $482 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4269 Summer Pl Shelby Township, MI | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2650 | $3,294 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 6015 Brynthrop Dr Shelby Township, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,450 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $47 · $564/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 8 events
-
2025-12-06status Pending
-
2025-10-03status Pending
-
2025-09-29status Pending 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Investors bring your offers. Great opportunity to finish off to your liking a rare find on Lake Apollo in Shelby Twp, Beautiful views. Home is down to the studs. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. NO CONTINGENCIES CASH ONLY Submit all offers with proof of funds. There is no power or water in the home. Only to be shown during daylight hours and bring a flashlight. All offers much present with $25,000 non refundable deposit. Property will be on market for 30 days After 30 days a judgement order will be placed for closing to take place within 22 days of order. HIGHEST AND BEST BY SEPTEMBER 3,2025 SELLER WILL NOT CONSIDER ANY OFFERS UNDER LIST
-
2025-09-29status Pending
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Investors bring your offers. Great opportunity to finish off to your liking a rare find on Lake Apollo in Shelby Twp, Beautiful views. Home is down to the studs. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. NO CONTINGENCIES CASH ONLY Submit all offers with proof of funds. There is no power or water in the home. Only to be shown during daylight hours and bring a flashlight. All offers much present with $25,000 non refundable deposit. Property will be on market for 30 days After 30 days a judgement order will be placed for closing to take place within 22 days of order. HIGHEST AND BEST BY SEPTEMBER 3,2025 SELLER WILL NOT CONSIDER ANY OFFERS UNDER LIST
-
2025-09-26historical
-
2025-09-26historical
-
2025-08-04$260,000 Active
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Investors bring your offers. Great opportunity to finish off to your liking a rare find on Lake Apollo in Shelby Twp, Beautiful views. Home is down to the studs. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. NO CONTINGENCIES CASH ONLY Submit all offers with proof of funds. There is no power or water in the home. Only to be shown during daylight hours and bring a flashlight. All offers much present with $25,000 non refundable deposit. Property will be on market for 30 days After 30 days a judgement order will be placed for closing to take place within 22 days of order. HIGHEST AND BEST BY SEPTEMBER 3,2025 SELLER WILL NOT CONSIDER ANY OFFERS UNDER LIST
-
2025-08-04$260,000 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Investors bring your offers. Great opportunity to finish off to your liking a rare find on Lake Apollo in Shelby Twp, Beautiful views. Home is down to the studs. HOME IS BEING SOLD AS IS. NO CONTINGENCIES CASH ONLY Submit all offers with proof of funds. There is no power or water in the home. Only to be shown during daylight hours and bring a flashlight. All offers much present with $25,000 non refundable deposit. Property will be on market for 30 days After 30 days a judgement order will be placed for closing to take place within 22 days of order. HIGHEST AND BEST BY SEPTEMBER 3,2025 SELLER WILL NOT CONSIDER ANY OFFERS UNDER LIST
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,407 · $284/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,706 · $309/mo
- Expected delta
- +$298/yr (+$25/mo · 8.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,767
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$3,407
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,941
- − Management
- −$2,941
- − HOA
- −$564
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable income
- $3,485
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$836
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634470
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,953
- Composite
- 40.52/100
- National rank
- #3709
- State rank
- #126 of 540 in MI
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #150
- US rank
- #3744
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,355
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -200.39%
- Current HPI
- 186.8397
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-10-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-29 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-29 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-09-26 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-04 Listed $260,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-08-04 Listed $260,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,407 · -12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…