209 E Woodland St · Collinsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
Key facts
- Split floor plan
- Unique retro vibe
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.4% in Collinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#834 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Collinsville ISD (rural): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #414 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 762 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 762 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.39%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $265,723
- List price
- $179,500
- Delta
- -32.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 E Woodland St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,772 (0%) | 1mo | $179,500 | $101 | 99 |
| 127 E Woodland St | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,764 (-0%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $142 | 83 |
| 507 Reeves St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,764 (-0%) | 10mo | $194,900 | $110 | 78 |
| 210 Stewart St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,824 (+3%) | 10mo | $269,000 | $147 | 77 |
| 706 David Ln | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,725 (-3%) | 9mo | $403,000 | $234 | 63 |
| 130 Amy Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,752 (-1%) | 9mo | $322,500 | $184 | 62 |
| 806 Mary Lee Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,683 (-5%) | 13mo | $340,000 | $202 | 55 |
| 114 Amy Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,509 (-15%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $162 | 45 |
| 706 Georgia Blvd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,994 (+12%) | 10mo | $425,000 | $213 | 45 |
| 804 Mary Lee Ln | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,994 (+12%) | 12mo | $420,000 | $211 | 43 |
| 808 Shirley Jean Ln | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,970 (+11%) | 7mo | $395,000 | $201 | 42 |
| 900 Mary Lee Ln | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,969 (+11%) | 14mo | $414,900 | $211 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,552
- Equity at exit
- $26,764
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $23,722
- Equity at exit
- $15,520
Cash invested: $50,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76233
- Home prices YoY
- -5.4%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$941
- Tax from tax record
- −$410 /mo · $4,919/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $453 | -5% $402 | +0% $351 | +5% $301 | +10% $250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $174 | -5% $263 | +0% $351 | +5% $440 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $442 | -0.5pp $397 | base $351 | +0.5pp $305 | +1.0pp $258 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,875
- Closing costs
- $5,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 Goodjohn St Collinsville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,250 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-20status Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2026-05-05historical Active Option Contract 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2026-03-20price $179,500 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2026-03-19status Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2026-03-09historical Active Option Contract 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2026-02-20status Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2026-02-09historical Active Option Contract 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2026-01-15price $185,000 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2025-10-08price $198,000 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2025-04-08price $225,000 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2024-10-22price $229,500 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2024-06-14price $230,000 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
-
2024-04-19$249,500 Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
Check out this charming home in Collinsville! Step into the cozy living room that opens up to a roomy eat-in kitchen with a handy pantry. The house features spacious rooms with well-preserved original flooring. It offers a split floor plan, with the secondary bedrooms separated by a shared bathroom. The generous master suite includes a private bath.
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1996-10-22soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,919 · $410/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,919 · $410/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,055
- − Property taxes
- −$4,919
- − Insurance
- −$898
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,160
- − Management
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$5,222
- Taxable income
- $1,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$381
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collinsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814580
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,810
- Composite
- 34.07/100
- National rank
- #5300
- State rank
- #414 of 826 in TX
Livability — Collinsville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #834
- US rank
- #15040
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Collinsville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,604
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.91%
- Current HPI
- 278.8187
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-28.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $179,500 NTREIS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-03-09 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-02-20 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-02-09 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $198,000 NTREIS
- 2025-04-08 Price Changed $225,000 NTREIS
- 2024-10-22 Price Changed $229,500 NTREIS
- 2024-06-14 Price Changed $230,000 NTREIS
- 2024-04-19 Listed $249,500 NTREIS
- 1996-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,919 · -12.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…