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145 Highgate Ave
B Composite 72.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

145 Highgate Ave · Buffalo, NY 14214
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,771 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1925 4,810 sqft lot Est $241k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This spacious home in the University Heights neighborhood is just steps from UB and other amenities. Perfect for a hands-on homeowner, savvy renovator, or investor ready to build equity. The home features 4 large bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, one conveniently located on each floor. The layout offers excellent flow, highlighted by a huge living room ideal for entertaining, complete hardwood accents and built-ins that add timeless character. Key updates include: brand new windows on the first floor, updated mechanics, tankless hot water heater, central air conditioning and a large, well-insulated basement. This is a fixer-upper, where your vision can transform the space into something specia

Key facts

  • Mechanical upgrades
  • Brand new windows
  • 4,810 sq ft lot

Tags

BRAND NEW WINDOWSTANKLESS HOT WATER HEATERCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONINGWELL-INSULATED BASEMENTMECHANICAL UPGRADESENERGY-EFFICIENT FEATURES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,484/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1820% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.45%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,856
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
145 Highgate Ave 0.00mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,771 (0%) 0mo $218,000 $123 95
296 Highgate Ave 0.29mi 5/2.0 1,771 (0%) 7mo $221,000 $125 81
216 Lasalle Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,638 (-8%) 6mo $140,000 $85 70
176 Lasalle Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,601 (-10%) 2mo $270,000 $169 69
187 Highgate Ave 0.08mi 5/2.5 2,008 (+13%) 5mo $295,000 $147 68
253 Winspear Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,584 (-11%) 6mo $315,100 $199 60
251 Minnesota Ave 0.18mi 5/3.0 2,002 (+13%) 9mo $325,000 $162 58
106 Lasalle Ave 0.24mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,563 (-12%) 7mo $205,000 $131 56
243 Berkshire Ave 0.60mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,617 (-9%) 1mo $220,000 $136 52
379 Minnesota Ave 0.39mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-12%) 6mo $227,000 $146 51
618 Lasalle Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,844 (+4%) 5mo $155,000 $84 51
307 Berkshire Ave 0.67mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,623 (-8%) 4mo $182,000 $112 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$11,864
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$89,514
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14214

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,484 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$522
Net cashflow
$581

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $719 -5% $650 +0% $581 +5% $512 +10% $443
Rent -10% $385 -5% $483 +0% $581 +5% $679 +10% $777
Rate -1.0pp $682 -0.5pp $632 base $581 +0.5pp $529 +1.0pp $476

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
175 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2000 $2,500 $1.25 15d 1 0.04mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 0.08mi
85 Highgate Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2193 $3,750 $1.71 15d 1 0.14mi
65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 1467 $2,500 $1.70 15d 1 0.16mi
24 Custer St Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 2500 $3,000 $1.20 15d 1 0.34mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,997 $2.93 2d 10 0.35mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 2d 1 0.45mi
91 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2500 $2,000 $0.80 2d 1 0.52mi
102 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2426 $2,750 $1.13 2d 1 0.52mi
63 Montrose Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 2240 $2,000 $0.89 2d 1 0.60mi
196 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 2560 $2,000 $0.78 2d 1 0.68mi
80 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.5 2591 $2,800 $1.08 2d 1 0.73mi
91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1660 $2,350 $1.42 24d 1 0.97mi
4098 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.5 2108 $2,200 $1.04 44d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,808
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,385
− Management
−$2,385
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$4,028
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$967
After-tax cash flow
$6,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,314
Household income
$58,228
Rent vs Own
57.7% rent · 42.3% own
Severe rent burden
1820.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -282.52%
Current HPI
373.377
Rent YoY
▲ 5.81%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $257 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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