517 N Jefferson St · Ionia, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unlock the limitless potential of this stately brick Colonial, where historic character meets a blank-slate opportunity. Boasting ''great bones'' and a commanding exterior, this home is primed for a custom transformation. The main level impresses with soaring tall ceilings that offer a sense of grandeur rarely found in modern builds. Significant prep work has already been completed, including recently tuck-pointed basement walls and a full interior demo, saving the next owner weeks of labor. To streamline your renovation, the current owner is including professionally drafted blueprints designed to convert the space into a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom floor plan. Bring your imagination to finish this masterpiece exactly to your taste.
Key facts
- Historic character
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1920
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $188 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.9% in Ionia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#276 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ionia Public Schools (town): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #353 of 540 in MI (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Ionia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ionia County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $125k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.44%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,576
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -36.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 442 E Jones St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-0%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $166 | 88 |
| 342 Pearl St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-4%) | 5mo | $159,900 | $140 | 79 |
| 149 Lafayette St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (-2%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $151 | 77 |
| 447 E Lincoln Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,282 (+8%) | 1mo | $228,000 | $178 | 76 |
| 526 N Jackson St | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,287 (+9%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $136 | 72 |
| 219 E Lincoln Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (-7%) | 9mo | $128,000 | $116 | 70 |
| 558 Cyrus St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,128 (-5%) | 4mo | $184,900 | $164 | 61 |
| 647 E Washington St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,132 (-4%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $137 | 61 |
| 213 E Lytle St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,345 (+14%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $141 | 60 |
| 614 E Washington St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+12%) | 2mo | $227,000 | $171 | 57 |
| 132 E Lincoln Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,044 (-12%) | 4mo | $182,500 | $175 | 54 |
| 142 Mill St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-11%) | 4mo | $186,000 | $176 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,294
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $8,192
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48846
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,580/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $188
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 Jones St Ionia, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active 752-char remark
Show marketing remark (752 chars)
Unlock the limitless potential of this stately brick Colonial, where historic character meets a blank-slate opportunity. Boasting ''great bones'' and a commanding exterior, this home is primed for a custom transformation. The main level impresses with soaring tall ceilings that offer a sense of grandeur rarely found in modern builds. Significant prep work has already been completed, including recently tuck-pointed basement walls and a full interior demo, saving the next owner weeks of labor. To streamline your renovation, the current owner is including professionally drafted blueprints designed to convert the space into a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom floor plan. Bring your imagination to finish this masterpiece exactly to your taste.
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active 752-char remark
Show marketing remark (752 chars)
Unlock the limitless potential of this stately brick Colonial, where historic character meets a blank-slate opportunity. Boasting ''great bones'' and a commanding exterior, this home is primed for a custom transformation. The main level impresses with soaring tall ceilings that offer a sense of grandeur rarely found in modern builds. Significant prep work has already been completed, including recently tuck-pointed basement walls and a full interior demo, saving the next owner weeks of labor. To streamline your renovation, the current owner is including professionally drafted blueprints designed to convert the space into a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom floor plan. Bring your imagination to finish this masterpiece exactly to your taste.
-
2026-04-13$125,000 Active
Show marketing remark (752 chars)
Unlock the limitless potential of this stately brick Colonial, where historic character meets a blank-slate opportunity. Boasting ''great bones'' and a commanding exterior, this home is primed for a custom transformation. The main level impresses with soaring tall ceilings that offer a sense of grandeur rarely found in modern builds. Significant prep work has already been completed, including recently tuck-pointed basement walls and a full interior demo, saving the next owner weeks of labor. To streamline your renovation, the current owner is including professionally drafted blueprints designed to convert the space into a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom floor plan. Bring your imagination to finish this masterpiece exactly to your taste.
-
2025-11-25soldstatus $82,400
-
2013-04-01soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,580 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,753 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 10.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,580
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $261
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,190/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ionia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619250
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,130
- Composite
- 26.12/100
- National rank
- #7283
- State rank
- #353 of 540 in MI
Livability — Ionia
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #276
- US rank
- #6795
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ionia, MI
- City population
- 21,940
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,940
Population outlook (Ionia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,958 people
- By 2030
- 63,321 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 61,544 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 58,682 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 48,909 · -23.5%
- By 2100
- 35,867 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Ionia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.0pp toward R · 2008: -5.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+30.3 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+12.8 2008: R+5.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.67%
- Current HPI
- 247.6648
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+557.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-13 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $82,400 Public Records
- 2013-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,580 · +50.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…