238 S Governors Blvd · Kent Acres, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to add your own equity. Priced to sell this home needs a little work but has some great bones. New siding and roof in past 2 years. Great location backing to woods. See it soon.
Key facts
- New siding
- Backing to woods
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#41 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Capital School District (urban): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #24 of 26 in DE (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,201 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $175k implies a 127% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.92%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $205,282
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -14.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Congress Pl | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (0%) | 0mo | $238,000 | $252 | 97 |
| 223 President | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (0%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $212 | 91 |
| 1 Congress Pl | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (0%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $254 | 90 |
| 230 President Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (0%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $222 | 87 |
| 153 President Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (0%) | 6mo | $222,000 | $235 | 84 |
| 126 President Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (0%) | 10mo | $217,000 | $230 | 77 |
| 115 President Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (+1%) | 10mo | $219,900 | $231 | 74 |
| 121 S Governors Blvd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,082 (+15%) | 7mo | $152,500 | $141 | 54 |
| 151 Roosevelt Ave Unit D5 | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+4%) | 17mo | $65,500 | $67 | 49 |
| 1131 S Bay Rd #84 | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,050 (+11%) | 11mo | $25,000 | $24 | 36 |
| 200 Beechwood Ave #214 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+13%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $56 | 30 |
| 200 Beechwood Ave #61 | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+13%) | 13mo | $59,000 | $55 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-6,986
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $16,448
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19901
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,835 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,139/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $414 | +0% $364 | +5% $315 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $219 | -5% $292 | +0% $364 | +5% $437 | +10% $509 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $452 | -0.5pp $409 | base $364 | +0.5pp $319 | +1.0pp $273 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2030 Generals Way Dover, DE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,499 | $2.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 814 New Castle Ave Dover, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,650 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 480 Country Dr Dover, DE | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 715 | $1,875 | $2.62 | 44d | 22 | 1.24mi |
| 4 Carolee Dr Dover, DE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,100 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 51 Webbs Ln Dover, DE | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,525 | $1.94 | 44d | 11 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $175,000 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Great opportunity to add your own equity. Priced to sell this home needs a little work but has some great bones. New siding and roof in past 2 years. Great location backing to woods. See it soon.
-
2025-12-11price $188,000 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Great opportunity to add your own equity. Priced to sell this home needs a little work but has some great bones. New siding and roof in past 2 years. Great location backing to woods. See it soon.
-
2025-11-20$189,000 Active 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Great opportunity to add your own equity. Priced to sell this home needs a little work but has some great bones. New siding and roof in past 2 years. Great location backing to woods. See it soon.
-
2023-09-01soldstatus $77,000 Closed
-
2023-08-02Active Under Contract
-
2023-08-02$92,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,139 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,139 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,021
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,139
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,762
- − Management
- −$1,762
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $1,590
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$382
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Capital School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000190
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,499
- Composite
- 19.78/100
- National rank
- #8703
- State rank
- #24 of 26 in DE
Livability — Kent Acres
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #11466
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kent County · 82,184 people
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,763
- Household income
- $66,388
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1320.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 194,477 people
- By 2030
- 204,351 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 222,135 · +14.2%
- By 2050
- 236,483 · +21.6%
- By 2075
- 266,327 · +36.9%
- By 2100
- 275,335 · +41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 48.2% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: 2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.0 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+4.9 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+9.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -113.29%
- Current HPI
- 199.5132
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.03%
- Metro
- Dover, DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+90.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $188,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-01 Sold (MLS) $77,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-02 Listed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-08-02 Listed $92,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,139 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…