519 S E St · Herington, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Unfinished basement
- Back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Lot size approximately 0.16 acres
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Concrete road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes oven, range and refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Oven, Range, Refrigerator; Unfinished basement; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#170 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Herington (rural): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #100 of 169 in KS (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $706 of equity ($552 loan paydown + $154 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.31%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $16,588
- Equity at exit
- $23,974
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $49,232
- Equity at exit
- $29,443
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67449
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,060 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $285
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-12$79,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,018
- − Management
- −$1,018
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,290
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$550
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in average condition with some cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value. The interior walls, flooring, and bathroom could all benefit from freshening up.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen backsplash — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathroom wallpaper — Dated appearance
- Minor Flooring — Worn appearance
- Minor Interior wall paint — Worn appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Refinish the hardwood flooring — Refinished flooring can add value and make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters.
- Both Replace the dated wallpaper in the bathroom — A fresh bathroom can significantly boost the home's appeal and value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and add value to the home.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen backsplash · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom wallpaper · Dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Interior wall paint · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Refinish the hardwood flooring — Refinished flooring can add value and make the home more attractive to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Replace the dated wallpaper in the bathroom — A fresh bathroom can significantly boost the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and add value to the home. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Herington
- NCES district ID
- 2007110
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,012
- Composite
- 25.55/100
- National rank
- #7429
- State rank
- #100 of 169 in KS
Livability — Herington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #8052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Herington, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,756
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,727 people
- By 2030
- 18,312 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 17,433 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 16,493 · -11.9%
- By 2075
- 14,441 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 11,707 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.8% · R 76.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+47.7 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Current HPI
- 146.5368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $79,900 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…