166 Ann St · Middletown, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
UPDATE: Price just reduced. This will be a short sale. Buyer will need to be flexible with getting offer approved and settlement. Tenants have been moved out. Home has been cleaned out. This home will need good amount of repairs and updates. We are looking for a cash or conventional offer. Discover an investment opportunity in the heart of Middletown Borough! This traditional detached home boasts 2,576 sq. ft. of potential, featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Set on a manageable 0.11-acre lot, this property includes off-street paved parking, ensuring convenience for tenants or guests. The classic architectural style and solid frame construction provide a timeless appeal. With a strong rental market in the area, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking steady returns. Whether you're looking to renovate and increase value or maintain as a reliable rental, this property is a canvas ready for your vision. Don't miss out on this chance to invest in a warm and inviting community!
Key facts
- Strong rental market
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.1% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#214 in PA, #1,886 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F.
- Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.07%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $224,728
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- -35.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 Russell Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,978 (+0%) | 9mo | $259,000 | $131 | 83 |
| 162 E Water St | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 2,112 (+7%) | 6mo | $189,900 | $90 | 54 |
| 209 N Pine St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 2,100 (+6%) | 19mo | $310,000 | $148 | 52 |
| 552 N Spring St | 0.56mi | 3/3.0 | 2,133 (+8%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $164 | 51 |
| 109 Spruce St | 0.48mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,080 (+5%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $132 | 51 |
| 320 E Water St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 2,006 (+2%) | 20mo | $259,900 | $130 | 48 |
| 20 W Water St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,692 (-14%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $65 | 46 |
| 280 E High St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 2,031 (+3%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $121 | 45 |
| 115 Spruce St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 2,155 (+9%) | 16mo | $305,000 | $142 | 45 |
| 153 N Catherine St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,178 (+10%) | 23mo | $205,000 | $94 | 42 |
| 518 Spruce St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (-12%) | 14mo | $295,000 | $170 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,494
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $19,977
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17057
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,940 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$270 /mo · $3,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $469 | -5% $428 | +0% $387 | +5% $345 | +10% $304 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $233 | -5% $310 | +0% $387 | +5% $463 | +10% $540 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $460 | -0.5pp $423 | base $387 | +0.5pp $349 | +1.0pp $311 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Market St Middletown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1825 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 112 Nissley St Unit 2 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5001 Walden WAY Middletown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1638 | $2,800 | $1.71 | 14d | 9 | 0.83mi |
| 1900 Pineford Dr Middletown, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1020 | $1,690 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $145,000 Pending 238 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-03-30price $145,000 1030-char remark
Show marketing remark (1030 chars)
UPDATE: Price just reduced. This will be a short sale. Buyer will need to be flexible with getting offer approved and settlement. Tenants have been moved out. Home has been cleaned out. This home will need good amount of repairs and updates. We are looking for a cash or conventional offer. Discover an investment opportunity in the heart of Middletown Borough! This traditional detached home boasts 2,576 sq. ft. of potential, featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Set on a manageable 0.11-acre lot, this property includes off-street paved parking, ensuring convenience for tenants or guests. The classic architectural style and solid frame construction provide a timeless appeal. With a strong rental market in the area, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking steady returns. Whether you're looking to renovate and increase value or maintain as a reliable rental, this property is a canvas ready for your vision. Don't miss out on this chance to invest in a warm and inviting community!
-
2026-03-08price $149,000 1030-char remark
Show marketing remark (1030 chars)
UPDATE: Price just reduced. This will be a short sale. Buyer will need to be flexible with getting offer approved and settlement. Tenants have been moved out. Home has been cleaned out. This home will need good amount of repairs and updates. We are looking for a cash or conventional offer. Discover an investment opportunity in the heart of Middletown Borough! This traditional detached home boasts 2,576 sq. ft. of potential, featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Set on a manageable 0.11-acre lot, this property includes off-street paved parking, ensuring convenience for tenants or guests. The classic architectural style and solid frame construction provide a timeless appeal. With a strong rental market in the area, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking steady returns. Whether you're looking to renovate and increase value or maintain as a reliable rental, this property is a canvas ready for your vision. Don't miss out on this chance to invest in a warm and inviting community!
-
2025-11-20price $155,000 1030-char remark
Show marketing remark (1030 chars)
UPDATE: Price just reduced. This will be a short sale. Buyer will need to be flexible with getting offer approved and settlement. Tenants have been moved out. Home has been cleaned out. This home will need good amount of repairs and updates. We are looking for a cash or conventional offer. Discover an investment opportunity in the heart of Middletown Borough! This traditional detached home boasts 2,576 sq. ft. of potential, featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Set on a manageable 0.11-acre lot, this property includes off-street paved parking, ensuring convenience for tenants or guests. The classic architectural style and solid frame construction provide a timeless appeal. With a strong rental market in the area, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking steady returns. Whether you're looking to renovate and increase value or maintain as a reliable rental, this property is a canvas ready for your vision. Don't miss out on this chance to invest in a warm and inviting community!
-
2025-11-05price $170,000 1030-char remark
Show marketing remark (1030 chars)
UPDATE: Price just reduced. This will be a short sale. Buyer will need to be flexible with getting offer approved and settlement. Tenants have been moved out. Home has been cleaned out. This home will need good amount of repairs and updates. We are looking for a cash or conventional offer. Discover an investment opportunity in the heart of Middletown Borough! This traditional detached home boasts 2,576 sq. ft. of potential, featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Set on a manageable 0.11-acre lot, this property includes off-street paved parking, ensuring convenience for tenants or guests. The classic architectural style and solid frame construction provide a timeless appeal. With a strong rental market in the area, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking steady returns. Whether you're looking to renovate and increase value or maintain as a reliable rental, this property is a canvas ready for your vision. Don't miss out on this chance to invest in a warm and inviting community!
-
2025-10-09$180,000 Active 1030-char remark
Show marketing remark (1030 chars)
UPDATE: Price just reduced. This will be a short sale. Buyer will need to be flexible with getting offer approved and settlement. Tenants have been moved out. Home has been cleaned out. This home will need good amount of repairs and updates. We are looking for a cash or conventional offer. Discover an investment opportunity in the heart of Middletown Borough! This traditional detached home boasts 2,576 sq. ft. of potential, featuring 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Set on a manageable 0.11-acre lot, this property includes off-street paved parking, ensuring convenience for tenants or guests. The classic architectural style and solid frame construction provide a timeless appeal. With a strong rental market in the area, this home presents an excellent opportunity for investors seeking steady returns. Whether you're looking to renovate and increase value or maintain as a reliable rental, this property is a canvas ready for your vision. Don't miss out on this chance to invest in a warm and inviting community!
-
2022-11-30soldstatus $169,000
-
2022-11-18soldstatus $170,500 Closed 557-char remark
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
This huge 4-bedroom 2 bath Multi-family home is located on a huge corner lot in Middletown Borough. This home is in walking distance to Penn State Harrisburg Campus and Harrisburg Int' Airport. It boasts a first-floor master bedroom and bathroom. 3 generous sized bedrooms and a 2nd kitchen located on the second floor. This home has a side porch with a wheel chair accessible ramp, a back and side yard and a paved off street parking pad! This home has endless possibilities. Property is being sold "AS IS". This won't last long! Show and Sell!
-
2022-10-14status Pending 557-char remark
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
This huge 4-bedroom 2 bath Multi-family home is located on a huge corner lot in Middletown Borough. This home is in walking distance to Penn State Harrisburg Campus and Harrisburg Int' Airport. It boasts a first-floor master bedroom and bathroom. 3 generous sized bedrooms and a 2nd kitchen located on the second floor. This home has a side porch with a wheel chair accessible ramp, a back and side yard and a paved off street parking pad! This home has endless possibilities. Property is being sold "AS IS". This won't last long! Show and Sell!
-
2022-09-01$159,900 Active 557-char remark
Show marketing remark (557 chars)
This huge 4-bedroom 2 bath Multi-family home is located on a huge corner lot in Middletown Borough. This home is in walking distance to Penn State Harrisburg Campus and Harrisburg Int' Airport. It boasts a first-floor master bedroom and bathroom. 3 generous sized bedrooms and a 2nd kitchen located on the second floor. This home has a side porch with a wheel chair accessible ramp, a back and side yard and a paved off street parking pad! This home has endless possibilities. Property is being sold "AS IS". This won't last long! Show and Sell!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,236 · $270/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,236 · $270/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$3,236
- − Insurance
- −$1,392
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,862
- − Management
- −$1,862
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $2,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$621
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215240
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,128
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5567
- State rank
- #368 of 539 in PA
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #1886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 23,560
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,560
- Household income
- $73,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 748.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.17%
- Current HPI
- 265.6077
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-08 Price Changed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $180,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $169,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-18 Sold (MLS) $170,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-10-14 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-09-01 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $3,236 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…