CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
465 Mt Airy Rd
B- Composite 65.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$344,900

465 Mt Airy Rd · Mount Royal, PA 17339
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,168 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1900 2.76 ac lot $159/sqft · 35% below area Est $488k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful location for this early 1800's Schoolhouse w/ modern 1965 addition. Exposed beams, open 20x13 loft & cathedral ceilings in the 20x20 kit (formerly the school). Heated floors in FR, DR & bath. FR w/ exposed beams/stone FP. Large wrap around porch, deck and above ground pool. Detached, oversized 2 car garage w/ workshop. 5 year old septic system and well pump. Watch the deer and see Ski Roundtop lights while sitting on your porch. Must see!

Key facts

  • 2.76 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Pool

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached oversized garage with 2 spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic; Electric hot water; Electric cooling
  • Home design: Detached structure; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Stone and block foundation; Architectural shingle roof; Garage(s) and other above-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Partly wooded, rural setting; Outbuilding(s); Deck(s); Above-ground personal pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate plank; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Wood-burning stove; Propane (leased) fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Wood stove; Exposed beams; Drywall and log walls
  • Laundry & utility: Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $747 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $345k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Northern York County SD (rural): math 35% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #223 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $205k; list at $345k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $344,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.28%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$487,970
List price
$344,900
Delta
-29.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
450 Stone Jug Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,924 (-11%) 8mo $513,005 $267 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-8,279
Equity at exit
$51,426
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$54,175
Equity at exit
$29,821

Cash invested: $96,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17339

Home prices YoY
-23.2%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,809
Tax from tax record
$382 /mo · $4,578/yr
Insurance
$144
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$819
Net cashflow
$747

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,954
Max offer price $344,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $942 -5% $845 +0% $747 +5% $649 +10% $552
Rent -10% $439 -5% $593 +0% $747 +5% $901 +10% $1,055
Rate -1.0pp $921 -0.5pp $835 base $747 +0.5pp $658 +1.0pp $567

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,225
Closing costs
$10,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1365 Roundtop Rd Lewisberry, PA 4.0 2.0 1998 $3,900 $1.95 22d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending 1296-char remark
  2. 2026-05-02
    listed $344,900 Active 1296-char remark
  3. 2026-04-28
    historical $344,900 1296-char remark
  4. 2016-08-02
    soldstatus $205,000
  5. 2016-07-29
    historical
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Beautiful location for this early 1800's Schoolhouse w/ modern 1965 addition. Exposed beams, open 20x13 loft & cathedral ceilings in the 20x20 kit (formerly the school). Heated floors in FR, DR & bath. FR w/ exposed beams/stone FP. Large wrap around porch, deck and above ground pool. Detached, oversized 2 car garage w/ workshop. 5 year old septic system and well pump. Watch the deer and see Ski Roundtop lights while sitting on your porch. Must see!

  6. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $205,000
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Beautiful location for this early 1800's Schoolhouse w/ modern 1965 addition. Exposed beams, open 20x13 loft & cathedral ceilings in the 20x20 kit (formerly the school). Heated floors in FR, DR & bath. FR w/ exposed beams/stone FP. Large wrap around porch, deck and above ground pool. Detached, oversized 2 car garage w/ workshop. 5 year old septic system and well pump. Watch the deer and see Ski Roundtop lights while sitting on your porch. Must see!

  7. 2016-06-04
    historical
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Beautiful location for this early 1800's Schoolhouse w/ modern 1965 addition. Exposed beams, open 20x13 loft & cathedral ceilings in the 20x20 kit (formerly the school). Heated floors in FR, DR & bath. FR w/ exposed beams/stone FP. Large wrap around porch, deck and above ground pool. Detached, oversized 2 car garage w/ workshop. 5 year old septic system and well pump. Watch the deer and see Ski Roundtop lights while sitting on your porch. Must see!

  8. 2015-11-11
    listed $205,000
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Beautiful location for this early 1800's Schoolhouse w/ modern 1965 addition. Exposed beams, open 20x13 loft & cathedral ceilings in the 20x20 kit (formerly the school). Heated floors in FR, DR & bath. FR w/ exposed beams/stone FP. Large wrap around porch, deck and above ground pool. Detached, oversized 2 car garage w/ workshop. 5 year old septic system and well pump. Watch the deer and see Ski Roundtop lights while sitting on your porch. Must see!

  9. 2015-11-11
    listed $205,000
    Show marketing remark (464 chars)

    Beautiful location for this early 1800's Schoolhouse w/ modern 1965 addition. Exposed beams, open 20x13 loft & cathedral ceilings in the 20x20 kit (formerly the school). Heated floors in FR, DR & bath. FR w/ exposed beams/stone FP. Large wrap around porch, deck and above ground pool. Detached, oversized 2 car garage w/ workshop. 5 year old septic system and well pump. Watch the deer and see Ski Roundtop lights while sitting on your porch. Must see!

  10. 1995-06-16
    soldstatus $116,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,578 · $382/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,014 · $418/mo
Expected delta
+$436/yr (+$36/mo · 9.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,800
− Mortgage interest
−$19,320
− Property taxes
−$4,578
− Insurance
−$1,724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,744
− Management
−$3,744
− Depreciation
−$10,033
Taxable income
$3,656
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$877
After-tax cash flow
$8,087/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern York County SD
NCES district ID
4217760
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$65,255
Composite
40.84/100
National rank
#3629
State rank
#223 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Royal

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
6,389

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.95%
Current HPI
247.426
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+197.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-02 Listed $344,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Coming Soon $344,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
  • 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-06-04 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-11-11 Listed $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-11-11 Listed $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1995-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $116,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,578 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…