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3230 Cumberland Rd #54
C+ Composite 60.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,000

3230 Cumberland Rd #54 · Ocean Springs, MS 39564
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 756 sqft · Condo public records · 93 Days on market
Built 1972 $164/sqft · 9% below area Est $136k · 9% under $387/mo HOA · 23% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully maintained 1 bedroom, 1.5 bath condo offering a unique and desirable location just steps to the sparkling inground pool. The kitchen appliances were recently updated along with the shower upstairs. A stand out feature are the electric blinds which let you enjoy the view of the pool or have privacy with the push of a button. Owners amenities include a clubhouse, fitness facility, tennis and pickleball courts, putting green and a marina with boat launch. This unit provides the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living--ideal as a primary residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity. Furniture is negotiable with acceptable offer, excluding curio cabinet and select artwork.

Key facts

  • Fitness facility
  • Clubhouse
  • Pickleball courts

Tags

UNIQUE LOCATIONELECTRIC BLINDSCLUBHOUSEFITNESS FACILITYTENNIS COURTSPICKLEBALL COURTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $124k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($756/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in MS, #420 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Ocean Springs School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 130 in MS (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Park Elementary School (math 67% / reading 57%, grade B, #18 of 375 statewide, top 5%, 498 students, 99% FRL); Ocean Springs Upper Elementary Scho (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #12 of 179 statewide, top 6%, 1,332 students, 100% FRL); Ocean Springs High School (math 77% / reading 64%, grade B+, #1 of 197 statewide, top 0%, 1,899 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 33% district-wide (67 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 723 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,840 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,062
List price
$124,000
Delta
-8.86%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-18,621
Equity at exit
$18,489
10-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-21,087
Equity at exit
$10,721

Cash invested: $34,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39564

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
723
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,683 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$650
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,332/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$387
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,603
Max offer price $124,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $133 -5% $98 +0% $63 +5% $28 +10% $-7
Rent -10% $-70 -5% $-4 +0% $63 +5% $129 +10% $196
Rate -1.0pp $125 -0.5pp $94 base $63 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,000
Closing costs
$3,720
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2501 Bienville Blvd Unit 432 Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 1095 $2,300 $2.10 45d 1 0.77mi
2501 Bienville Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 1.0 1.0 855 $1,900 $2.22 15d 1 0.85mi
3500 Groveland Rd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0–3.0 2.0 1173 $1,350 $1.15 15d 1 0.89mi
600 Bechtel Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 944 $1,500 $1.59 15d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$387 · $4,644/yr
Likely covers
electricpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,000 Active 82 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,000 Active 81 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,000 Active 80 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,000 Active 79 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,000 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,000 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-03-19
    listed $124,000 Active 723-char remark
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 1 bedroom, 1.5 bath condo offering a unique and desirable location just steps to the sparkling inground pool. The kitchen appliances were recently updated along with the shower upstairs. A stand out feature are the electric blinds which let you enjoy the view of the pool or have privacy with the push of a button. Owners amenities include a clubhouse, fitness facility, tennis and pickleball courts, putting green and a marina with boat launch. This unit provides the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and low-maintenance living--ideal as a primary residence, weekend getaway, or investment opportunity. Furniture is negotiable with acceptable offer, excluding curio cabinet and select artwork.

  17. 2025-01-31
    soldstatus
  18. 2025-01-17
    soldstatus Closed 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    Experience coastal living with this one-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath condo at Oak Glen Marina! Offering views overlooking the sparkling pool, this residence is perfect for those seeking both relaxation and adventure. Whether you're looking to relax by the pool, enjoy the Gulf, or explore the vibrant downtown area, this condo offers a perfect option with convenience and price. Embrace the coastal lifestyle you've been dreaming of! Don't miss out on this opportunity! Key Features: Awesome Pool Views: Enjoy picturesque views right from your living room and bedroom. Prime Location: Just a short ride to downtown, where you'll find amazing retail, restaurants, and nightlife. Spacious Layout: Open floor plan with ample natural light, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a day of activities. Plus extra large bedroom allows extra space for home office, gym or seating area. Interiors: Bright and spacious living areas. Community Amenities: Clubhouse: Ideal for social gatherings and events. Pool: Relax and soak up the sun in the beautifully maintained pool area. Fitness Facility: Stay active with the conveniently located gym. Tennis Courts: Perfect for all skill levels. Fishing Opportunities: Enjoy fishing at the marina. Marina with Boat Launch: Easy access for boating.

  19. 2025-01-06
    status Pending 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    Experience coastal living with this one-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath condo at Oak Glen Marina! Offering views overlooking the sparkling pool, this residence is perfect for those seeking both relaxation and adventure. Whether you're looking to relax by the pool, enjoy the Gulf, or explore the vibrant downtown area, this condo offers a perfect option with convenience and price. Embrace the coastal lifestyle you've been dreaming of! Don't miss out on this opportunity! Key Features: Awesome Pool Views: Enjoy picturesque views right from your living room and bedroom. Prime Location: Just a short ride to downtown, where you'll find amazing retail, restaurants, and nightlife. Spacious Layout: Open floor plan with ample natural light, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a day of activities. Plus extra large bedroom allows extra space for home office, gym or seating area. Interiors: Bright and spacious living areas. Community Amenities: Clubhouse: Ideal for social gatherings and events. Pool: Relax and soak up the sun in the beautifully maintained pool area. Fitness Facility: Stay active with the conveniently located gym. Tennis Courts: Perfect for all skill levels. Fishing Opportunities: Enjoy fishing at the marina. Marina with Boat Launch: Easy access for boating.

  20. 2024-11-12
    price $119,900 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    Experience coastal living with this one-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath condo at Oak Glen Marina! Offering views overlooking the sparkling pool, this residence is perfect for those seeking both relaxation and adventure. Whether you're looking to relax by the pool, enjoy the Gulf, or explore the vibrant downtown area, this condo offers a perfect option with convenience and price. Embrace the coastal lifestyle you've been dreaming of! Don't miss out on this opportunity! Key Features: Awesome Pool Views: Enjoy picturesque views right from your living room and bedroom. Prime Location: Just a short ride to downtown, where you'll find amazing retail, restaurants, and nightlife. Spacious Layout: Open floor plan with ample natural light, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a day of activities. Plus extra large bedroom allows extra space for home office, gym or seating area. Interiors: Bright and spacious living areas. Community Amenities: Clubhouse: Ideal for social gatherings and events. Pool: Relax and soak up the sun in the beautifully maintained pool area. Fitness Facility: Stay active with the conveniently located gym. Tennis Courts: Perfect for all skill levels. Fishing Opportunities: Enjoy fishing at the marina. Marina with Boat Launch: Easy access for boating.

  21. 2024-07-31
    price $124,900 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    Experience coastal living with this one-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath condo at Oak Glen Marina! Offering views overlooking the sparkling pool, this residence is perfect for those seeking both relaxation and adventure. Whether you're looking to relax by the pool, enjoy the Gulf, or explore the vibrant downtown area, this condo offers a perfect option with convenience and price. Embrace the coastal lifestyle you've been dreaming of! Don't miss out on this opportunity! Key Features: Awesome Pool Views: Enjoy picturesque views right from your living room and bedroom. Prime Location: Just a short ride to downtown, where you'll find amazing retail, restaurants, and nightlife. Spacious Layout: Open floor plan with ample natural light, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a day of activities. Plus extra large bedroom allows extra space for home office, gym or seating area. Interiors: Bright and spacious living areas. Community Amenities: Clubhouse: Ideal for social gatherings and events. Pool: Relax and soak up the sun in the beautifully maintained pool area. Fitness Facility: Stay active with the conveniently located gym. Tennis Courts: Perfect for all skill levels. Fishing Opportunities: Enjoy fishing at the marina. Marina with Boat Launch: Easy access for boating.

  22. 2024-06-12
    listed $132,900 Active 1317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1317 chars)

    Experience coastal living with this one-bedroom, one-and-a-half-bath condo at Oak Glen Marina! Offering views overlooking the sparkling pool, this residence is perfect for those seeking both relaxation and adventure. Whether you're looking to relax by the pool, enjoy the Gulf, or explore the vibrant downtown area, this condo offers a perfect option with convenience and price. Embrace the coastal lifestyle you've been dreaming of! Don't miss out on this opportunity! Key Features: Awesome Pool Views: Enjoy picturesque views right from your living room and bedroom. Prime Location: Just a short ride to downtown, where you'll find amazing retail, restaurants, and nightlife. Spacious Layout: Open floor plan with ample natural light, perfect for entertaining or unwinding after a day of activities. Plus extra large bedroom allows extra space for home office, gym or seating area. Interiors: Bright and spacious living areas. Community Amenities: Clubhouse: Ideal for social gatherings and events. Pool: Relax and soak up the sun in the beautifully maintained pool area. Fitness Facility: Stay active with the conveniently located gym. Tennis Courts: Perfect for all skill levels. Fishing Opportunities: Enjoy fishing at the marina. Marina with Boat Launch: Easy access for boating.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,332 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,332 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,192
− Mortgage interest
−$6,946
− Property taxes
−$1,332
− Insurance
−$1,418
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,615
− Management
−$1,615
− HOA
−$4,644
− Depreciation
−$3,607
Taxable loss
−$985
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$236
After-tax cash flow
$992/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Springs School District
NCES district ID
2803360
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$60,485
Composite
53.35/100
National rank
#1477
State rank
#1 of 130 in MS

Livability — Ocean Springs

Score
86/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#420

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Springs, MS
County
Jackson County · 82,196 people
City population
43,240
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
43,240
Household income
$78,596
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
734.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.77%
Current HPI
204.2244
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $124,000 MLSU
  • 2025-01-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-01-17 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2025-01-06 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-11-12 Price Changed $119,900 MLSU
  • 2024-07-31 Price Changed $124,900 MLSU
  • 2024-06-12 Listed $132,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,332 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…