8301 Tieton Dr #81 · Yakima, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
- Built 1972
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Gated community; Community pool; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; MFG on leased land; Above-grade finished area 1,368
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Range; Refrigerator; Washer; Oven
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.4% in Yakima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#98 in WA, #1,912 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- West Valley School District (Yakima) (urban): math 58% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #47 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 326 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; list at $129k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.83%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,424
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- 23.54%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 S 82nd Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,302 (-5%) | 7mo | $310,000 | $238 | 77 |
| 307 S 76th Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+5%) | 0mo | $361,000 | $251 | 64 |
| 8801 Alpine Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,444 (+6%) | 4mo | $380,000 | $263 | 63 |
| 424 S 81st Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (+13%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $243 | 62 |
| 8401 Summitview Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (+6%) | 6mo | $365,000 | $251 | 61 |
| 213 S 76th Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,266 (-8%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $284 | 58 |
| 315 S 76th Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,474 (+8%) | 3mo | $367,000 | $249 | 58 |
| 107 N 90th Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,491 (+9%) | 0mo | $405,000 | $272 | 56 |
| 9503 W Walnut St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,388 (+2%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $241 | 55 |
| 913 S 77th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,432 (+5%) | 6mo | $410,000 | $286 | 53 |
| 8207 Westbrook Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,533 (+12%) | 3mo | $399,900 | $261 | 48 |
| 1007 S 79th Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-12%) | 3mo | $313,500 | $261 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $19,790
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $89,949
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98908
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,808 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $537
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $626 | -5% $581 | +0% $537 | +5% $492 | +10% $447 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $394 | -5% $465 | +0% $537 | +5% $608 | +10% $679 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $602 | -0.5pp $569 | base $537 | +0.5pp $503 | +1.0pp $469 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7410 W Walnut St Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 407 N 75th Ave Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,950 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 123 N 66th Ave Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,725 | $1.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7221 Willow Pl Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,400 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7209 Willow Ct Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,400 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7116 W Mead Ave Unit 2 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1623 | $1,945 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-08$129,000 Active 1451-char remark
-
2024-10-31$99,900 Active
-
2024-02-09soldstatus $72,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (692 chars)
West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.
-
2024-02-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (692 chars)
West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.
-
2023-12-04price $77,500
Show marketing remark (692 chars)
West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.
-
2023-09-08status Active
Show marketing remark (692 chars)
West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.
-
2023-08-31status Pending
Show marketing remark (692 chars)
West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.
-
2023-08-22$99,500 Active
Show marketing remark (692 chars)
West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.
-
1988-07-28soldstatus $16,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $4,663
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,119
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,320/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Valley School District (Yakima)
- NCES district ID
- 5309720
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,876
- Composite
- 54.99/100
- National rank
- #2784
- State rank
- #47 of 291 in WA
Livability — Yakima
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #1912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yakima, WA
- County
- Yakima County · 134,789 people
- City population
- 115,918
- Metro
- Yakima, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,060
- Household income
- $84,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1265.0
Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 256,514 people
- By 2030
- 259,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 265,677 · +3.6%
- By 2050
- 273,061 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 296,991 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 315,291 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yakima
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -337.28%
- Current HPI
- 258.8688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.45%
- Metro
- Yakima, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+701.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Pending — YAMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $129,000 YAMLS
- 2024-10-31 Listed $99,900 YAMLS
- 2024-02-09 Sold (MLS) $72,500 YAMLS
- 2024-02-01 Pending — YAMLS
- 2023-12-04 Price Changed $77,500 YAMLS
- 2023-09-08 Relisted — YAMLS
- 2023-08-31 Pending — YAMLS
- 2023-08-22 Listed $99,500 YAMLS
- 1988-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $16,100 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.4%/yrLatest (2026): $40 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…