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8301 Tieton Dr #81
B- Composite 65.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

8301 Tieton Dr #81 · Yakima, WA 98908
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1972 $94/sqft · 24% above area Est $104k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Gated community; Community pool; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property; MFG on leased land; Above-grade finished area 1,368
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Range; Refrigerator; Washer; Oven
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $537 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.4% in Yakima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#98 in WA, #1,912 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • West Valley School District (Yakima) (urban): math 58% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #47 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 326 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $72k; list at $129k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,065 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.28%
Cash-on-cash
17.83%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,424
List price
$129,000
Delta
23.54%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
406 S 82nd Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,302 (-5%) 7mo $310,000 $238 77
307 S 76th Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+5%) 0mo $361,000 $251 64
8801 Alpine Ct 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,444 (+6%) 4mo $380,000 $263 63
424 S 81st Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,542 (+13%) 3mo $375,000 $243 62
8401 Summitview Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,452 (+6%) 6mo $365,000 $251 61
213 S 76th Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,266 (-8%) 1mo $360,000 $284 58
315 S 76th Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,474 (+8%) 3mo $367,000 $249 58
107 N 90th Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,491 (+9%) 0mo $405,000 $272 56
9503 W Walnut St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,388 (+2%) 6mo $335,000 $241 55
913 S 77th Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,432 (+5%) 6mo $410,000 $286 53
8207 Westbrook Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,533 (+12%) 3mo $399,900 $261 48
1007 S 79th Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-12%) 3mo $313,500 $261 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$19,790
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$89,949
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98908

Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
326
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,808 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax est. 1.5%
$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$380
Net cashflow
$537

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,128
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $626 -5% $581 +0% $537 +5% $492 +10% $447
Rent -10% $394 -5% $465 +0% $537 +5% $608 +10% $679
Rate -1.0pp $602 -0.5pp $569 base $537 +0.5pp $503 +1.0pp $469

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7410 W Walnut St Yakima, WA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,150 $1.19 44d 1 0.55mi
407 N 75th Ave Yakima, WA 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,950 $1.35 44d 1 0.92mi
123 N 66th Ave Yakima, WA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,725 $1.92 21d 1 1.16mi
7221 Willow Pl Yakima, WA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,400 $1.47 44d 1 1.26mi
7209 Willow Ct Yakima, WA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,400 $1.47 21d 1 1.27mi
7116 W Mead Ave Unit 2 Yakima, WA 3.0 2.5 1623 $1,945 $1.20 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    listed $129,000 Active 1451-char remark
  2. 2024-10-31
    listed $99,900 Active
  3. 2024-02-09
    soldstatus $72,500 Closed
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.

  4. 2024-02-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.

  5. 2023-12-04
    price $77,500
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.

  6. 2023-09-08
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.

  7. 2023-08-31
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.

  8. 2023-08-22
    listed $99,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (692 chars)

    West Valley's Mobile Manor Estate Unit #81 is a great home. This is a 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom in a spacious 1368 sq. ft. interior. It's a well maintenance home ready for move in. Both sides of the home have a covered deck for sitting and entertaining guests. There's a nice clubhouse to gather inside with a kitchen, reading room, pool table, exercise room and fireplace for winter gatherings. Additionally there's an outside space with a beautiful pool. The lot rent includes water, sewer, snow removal, irrigation, and pool & clubhouse use. Park owners are putting in a gate to make the park a gated community. Park approval must be given by Mobile Manor Estate as well as pet approval.

  9. 1988-07-28
    soldstatus $16,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,692
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,935
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,735
− Management
−$1,735
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$4,663
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,119
After-tax cash flow
$5,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Valley School District (Yakima)
NCES district ID
5309720
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$61,876
Composite
54.99/100
National rank
#2784
State rank
#47 of 291 in WA

Livability — Yakima

Score
80/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#1912

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Yakima, WA
County
Yakima County · 134,789 people
City population
115,918
Metro
Yakima, WA
Population (ZIP)
38,060
Household income
$84,197
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
1265.0

Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
256,514 people
By 2030
259,403 · +1.1%
By 2040
265,677 · +3.6%
By 2050
273,061 · +6.5%
By 2075
296,991 · +15.8%
By 2100
315,291 · +22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 16% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yakima

2024 margin
R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -337.28%
Current HPI
258.8688
Rent YoY
▲ 6.45%
Metro
Yakima, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+701.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending YAMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $129,000 YAMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Listed $99,900 YAMLS
  • 2024-02-09 Sold (MLS) $72,500 YAMLS
  • 2024-02-01 Pending YAMLS
  • 2023-12-04 Price Changed $77,500 YAMLS
  • 2023-09-08 Relisted YAMLS
  • 2023-08-31 Pending YAMLS
  • 2023-08-22 Listed $99,500 YAMLS
  • 1988-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $16,100 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $40 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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