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1515 Arlington Ave
B Composite 73.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

1515 Arlington Ave · Bessemer, AL 35020
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,336 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 181 Days on market
Built 1900 6,534 sqft lot $45/sqft · 27% below area Est $82k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Opportunity! This 3-bedroom home offers strong potential for rental income or value-add renovation. Featuring a functional floor plan, spacious bedrooms, and solid bones, this property is ideal for investors looking to rehab.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 181 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 5.9% in Bessemer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 35% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
15.76%
Cash-on-cash
33.80%
DSCR
2.50
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$81,505
List price
$59,900
Delta
-26.51%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1615 Dartmouth Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,186 (-11%) 4mo $47,500 $40 65
419 19th St S 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,430 (+7%) 1mo $28,000 $20 62
529 12th St N 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,347 (+1%) 10mo $90,000 $67 58
1607 Holbrook Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,264 (-5%) 5mo $31,000 $25 54
1506 Avenue I 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,312 (-2%) 12mo $141,000 $107 53
1711 Holbrook Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-3%) 11mo $124,000 $95 53
1500 7th Ave N 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,421 (+6%) 3mo $46,000 $32 52
1625 Holbrook Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-4%) 14mo $123,500 $96 49
820 N 3rd Ave 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-4%) 17mo $23,200 $18 45
802 Clarendon Ave 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,214 (-9%) 5mo $106,000 $87 40
2306 Clarendon Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,492 (+12%) 5mo $10,000 $7 38
2232 Dartmouth Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-12%) 16mo $79,900 $68 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$17,099
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$40,953
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35020

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,126 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $940/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$472

Break-even live

Break-even rent $528
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
320 16th St S Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1792 $950 $0.53 43d 1 0.21mi
1307 3rd Ave N Bessemer, AL 4.0 1.0 960 $1,200 $1.25 43d 1 0.37mi
1622 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 2.0 1104 $995 $0.90 2d 1 0.42mi
420 19th St S Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 910 $850 $0.93 43d 1 0.42mi
1830 Exeter Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 913 $850 $0.93 43d 1 0.44mi
419 19th St S Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 11d 1 0.45mi
1811 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1732 $1,350 $0.78 23d 1 0.52mi
931 Dartmouth Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 984 $925 $0.94 43d 1 0.56mi
1600 Holbrook Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 885 $999 $1.13 2d 1 0.58mi
1909 Holbrook Ave Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 1064 $930 $0.87 43d 1 0.71mi
719 16th St N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1085 $1,075 $0.99 23d 1 0.72mi
810 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,050 $1.01 23d 1 0.74mi
808 Fairfax Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,050 $1.01 23d 1 0.75mi
830 5th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1072 $1,000 $0.93 43d 1 0.77mi
806 4th Ave N Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,050 $0.96 23d 1 0.79mi
817 15th St N Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,125 $1.01 3d 1 0.80mi
434 Bryant St Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1540 $1,523 $0.99 3d 1 0.95mi
704 Avenue I Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,200 $0.97 23d 1 0.97mi
1015 11th St N Bessemer, AL 2.0 1.0 876 $975 $1.11 11d 1 1.05mi
300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 966 $900 $0.93 11d 1 1.20mi
300 Norwood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 966 $1,000 $1.04 23d 1 1.20mi
200 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.5 1826 $1,200 $0.66 10d 1 1.22mi
531 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,200 $1.18 3d 1 1.25mi
510 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,025 $1.08 16d 1 1.27mi
512 W Lake Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 944 $1,125 $1.19 11d 1 1.27mi
18 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1418 $1,100 $0.78 43d 1 1.28mi
10 Center St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,000 $0.87 43d 1 1.30mi
236 Clifton St Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,100 $0.76 43d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 181 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 178 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 176 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 173 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 172 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 171 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 170 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 166 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 165 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 164 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 163 DOM
  15. 2026-05-09
    price $59,900 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity! This 3-bedroom home offers strong potential for rental income or value-add renovation. Featuring a functional floor plan, spacious bedrooms, and solid bones, this property is ideal for investors looking to rehab.

  16. 2026-02-12
    price $69,000 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity! This 3-bedroom home offers strong potential for rental income or value-add renovation. Featuring a functional floor plan, spacious bedrooms, and solid bones, this property is ideal for investors looking to rehab.

  17. 2025-12-19
    listed $74,900 Active 242-char remark
    Show marketing remark (242 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity! This 3-bedroom home offers strong potential for rental income or value-add renovation. Featuring a functional floor plan, spacious bedrooms, and solid bones, this property is ideal for investors looking to rehab.

  18. 2025-03-11
    soldstatus $65,500
  19. 2022-12-27
    soldstatus $49,500
  20. 2021-05-17
    soldstatus $36,000 Sold 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEW PRICE!! INVESTORS! If you are looking for an instant cash flowing investment, look no further. This property is currently rented for $675 per month. Current lease will expire on 5/31/21. 48 hour notice required for showings.

  21. 2021-04-23
    historical Contingent 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEW PRICE!! INVESTORS! If you are looking for an instant cash flowing investment, look no further. This property is currently rented for $675 per month. Current lease will expire on 5/31/21. 48 hour notice required for showings.

  22. 2021-04-10
    price $40,000 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEW PRICE!! INVESTORS! If you are looking for an instant cash flowing investment, look no further. This property is currently rented for $675 per month. Current lease will expire on 5/31/21. 48 hour notice required for showings.

  23. 2021-04-09
    status Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEW PRICE!! INVESTORS! If you are looking for an instant cash flowing investment, look no further. This property is currently rented for $675 per month. Current lease will expire on 5/31/21. 48 hour notice required for showings.

  24. 2021-03-09
    historical Contingent 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEW PRICE!! INVESTORS! If you are looking for an instant cash flowing investment, look no further. This property is currently rented for $675 per month. Current lease will expire on 5/31/21. 48 hour notice required for showings.

  25. 2021-02-26
    listed $55,000 Active 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEW PRICE!! INVESTORS! If you are looking for an instant cash flowing investment, look no further. This property is currently rented for $675 per month. Current lease will expire on 5/31/21. 48 hour notice required for showings.

  26. 2021-02-20
    historical $55,000 228-char remark
    Show marketing remark (228 chars)

    NEW PRICE!! INVESTORS! If you are looking for an instant cash flowing investment, look no further. This property is currently rented for $675 per month. Current lease will expire on 5/31/21. 48 hour notice required for showings.

  27. 2016-06-01
    soldstatus $47,500
  28. 2015-07-23
    soldstatus $49,000
  29. 1992-11-25
    soldstatus $27,000
  30. 1979-04-01
    soldstatus $21,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$940 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$940 · $78/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 35% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,516
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$940
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,081
− Management
−$1,081
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$5,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,204
After-tax cash flow
$4,465/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bessemer City
NCES district ID
0100330
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$29,721
Composite
8.45/100
National rank
#9905
State rank
#120 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bessemer, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,892
Household income
$35,362
Rent vs Own
40.6% rent · 59.4% own
Severe rent burden
1001.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 11% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.54%
Current HPI
179.7702
Rent YoY
▼ -3.12%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+185.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $69,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $74,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
  • 2022-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2021-05-17 Sold (MLS) $36,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-04-23 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-04-10 Price Changed $40,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-04-09 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-03-09 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-02-26 Listed $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-02-20 Coming Soon $55,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2016-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
  • 2015-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1992-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
  • 1979-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $940 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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