1326 Eastern Ave · Connersville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$134,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 3 bedroom, 2 full bath offering character and charm including woodwork throughout. Built in China cabinet, features a beautiful natural wood and brick fireplace and more. Upstairs includes laundry area for convenience. Large yard, front porch and close to Little Spartans Preschool. 30x10 nice deck in back.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1910
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Level lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Fireplace (1); Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (1.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.9% in Connersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Fayette County School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #206 of 301 in IN (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Grandview Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #652 of 994 statewide, top 68%, 539 students, 71% FRL).
- Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.48%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $108,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 337 W 12th St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,922 (-0%) | 8mo | $68,500 | $36 | 69 |
| 1327 Indiana Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,708 (-12%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $95 | 69 |
| 718 Western Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,948 (+1%) | 5mo | $37,000 | $19 | 66 |
| 226 W 12th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 2,117 (+10%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $76 | 65 |
| 626 E 5th St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,948 (+1%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $49 | 65 |
| 311 W 12th St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,772 (-8%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $48 | 59 |
| 645 Lexington Pl | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,968 (+2%) | 5mo | $185,400 | $94 | 57 |
| 2015 Vermont Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (-7%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $84 | 54 |
| 1947 Ohio Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,140 (+11%) | 9mo | $72,250 | $34 | 51 |
| 202 Davis St | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,072 (+7%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $56 | 46 |
| 1841 N Grand Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (-13%) | 12mo | $99,069 | $59 | 45 |
| 724 E 5th St E | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,872 (-3%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $48 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-8,869
- Equity at exit
- $20,054
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $8,839
- Equity at exit
- $11,629
Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47331
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,331 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$705
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,045/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,625
- Closing costs
- $4,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,500 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $134,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07$134,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,045 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,094 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$49/yr (+$4/mo · 4.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,534
- − Property taxes
- −$1,045
- − Insurance
- −$672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$3,913
- Taxable income
- $257
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$62
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,379/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803510
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,669
- Composite
- 28.81/100
- National rank
- #6659
- State rank
- #206 of 301 in IN
Livability — Connersville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #12417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Connersville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,769
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,758 people
- By 2030
- 20,673 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 18,335 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 16,056 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 11,030 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 6,800 · -68.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.3) · D 21.2% · R 77.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -56.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.33%
- Current HPI
- 252.3898
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $134,500 ECIAOR
- 2026-06-05 Listed $134,500 RRELMS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,045 · +23.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…