🏷️ Likely Rental
503 Captains Cutt · Oak Ridge, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom 1 bath home offers 808 sq ft of potential. Built in 2007, the property features a metal roof, central heat and air and a simple layout ready for renovation. With no garage, carport or fencing, it's a blank canvas for investors or buyers looking to add value through updates and TLC. Tenant occupied with a month to month lease. Next door is 501 Captains Cutt MLS 21260807 - $65,000.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Central heat and air
- Simple layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession: Closing/funding or lease outstanding; Property type: Residential; Property subtype: Single Family Residence; Lot size: less than 0.5 acre
- Financial info: Selling as cash; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; On-street parking; No carport
- Security: No surveillance devices listed
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Co-op electric service; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Attached property; One story; Built in 2007; Subdivision: Wimmer
- Construction: Siding exterior; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; No fencing; Interior lot; Easements for utilities
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; 3 total rooms; No fireplaces listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 2.9% in Oak Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#900 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Callisburg ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #266 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Callisburg El (math 42% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,283 of 4,322 statewide, top 30%, 549 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 462 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 190 units permitted in Cooke County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.49%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,418
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -64.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $13,808
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $46,592
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76240
- Active inventory
- 462
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 780 Rocky Ridge Flatts Oak Ridge, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-18historical Active Option Contract 400-char remark
-
2026-05-10$80,000 Active 400-char remark
-
2007-03-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,500 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,500 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,155
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,021
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$965
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,072/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Callisburg ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812510
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,269
- Composite
- 38.44/100
- National rank
- #4196
- State rank
- #266 of 826 in TX
Livability — Oak Ridge
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #900
- US rank
- #16164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Ridge, TX
- County
- Cooke County · 29,419 people
- Metro
- Gainesville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,419
- Household income
- $71,502
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 660.0
Population outlook (Cooke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,965 people
- By 2030
- 39,974 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 39,772 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 39,258 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 37,262 · -6.8%
- By 2100
- 33,363 · -16.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cooke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+66.9) · D 16.2% · R 83.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -58.7pp · 2024: -66.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+66.9 2020: R+65.2 2016: R+68.1 2012: R+67.6 2008: R+58.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -198.63%
- Current HPI
- 247.3822
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gainesville, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-10 Listed $80,000 NTREIS
- 2007-03-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,500 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…