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74 Pine Aire Cir 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 49.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,000

74 Pine Aire Cir · Lake Placid, FL 33852
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured · 576 Days on market
Built 1976 Est $10k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fully furnished and ready to move in at an affordable price. This single wide features a large lanai/screen room for your enjoyment day or night. Included is a Club Car Golf Cart with new batteries, the furniture is newer per seller and the carport roof was installed 2018. The original roof of the single wide was recoated in 2019. Plenty of space for year round living or winter getaway. Monthly lot rent includes water and sewer, trash pickup in front of the home twice weekly, yard irrigation and lawn mowing. The park is pet friendly with a limit of 2 pets weighing under 40 pounds. This single wide is located just a short walk to Lake Huntley, a 680 acre lake known for great Bass fishing an

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1976

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Lakeside Village; Pets allowed; Water body: Huntley
  • Financial info: Land is leased ($850/month)
  • HOA & community: Clubhouse; Community pool; Powered boats allowed; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Single wide; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Metal/other roof
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Screened side porch; Shed; Workshop; Waterfront access; Paved road

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate; Simulated wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Blinds and drapes; Furnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $9,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$10,080) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $9k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $9k).
  • Recommended offer: $8k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 140.1% vs local median 3.7% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#525 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Lake Placid Middle School (math 42% / reading 33%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 621 students, 75% FRL); Lake Placid High School (math 36% / reading 35%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 868 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1488 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $62 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $270 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 576 days — a 12% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (74%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $7,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 576 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
14.99%
Cap rate
140.11%
Cash-on-cash
477.92%
DSCR
22.26
GRM
0.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$10,080
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
74 Pine Aire Cir 0.00mi 2/1.5 672 (0%) 1mo $7,000 $10 99
68 Pine Aire Cir 0.03mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 6mo $5,000 $7 91
29 Pine Aire Cir 0.14mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 6mo $8,000 $12 87
31 Pine Aire Cir 0.14mi 2/1.5 672 (0%) 16mo $22,500 $33 80
54 Pine Aire Cir 0.10mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 19mo $39,900 $59 78
25 Armadillo Trl 0.18mi 1/1.0 (-1) 703 (+5%) 2mo $10,500 $15 76
21 Ranch Rd 0.23mi 2/2.0 624 (-7%) 17mo $28,000 $45 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
24.65×
Total profit
$59,588
Equity at exit
$1,342
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
49.77×
Total profit
$122,904
Equity at exit
$778

Cash invested: $2,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33852

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
1488
Price-to-rent
0.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$47
Tax est. 1.5%
$11 /mo · $135/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$1,004

Break-even live

Break-even rent $79
Max offer price $9,000
Occupancy floor 21%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,010 -5% $1,007 +0% $1,004 +5% $1,001 +10% $997
Rent -10% $897 -5% $950 +0% $1,004 +5% $1,057 +10% $1,110
Rate -1.0pp $1,008 -0.5pp $1,006 base $1,004 +0.5pp $1,001 +1.0pp $999

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,250
Closing costs
$270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    price $9,000
  3. 2026-02-11
    price $15,000
  4. 2025-12-24
    status Active
  5. 2025-12-21
    historical
  6. 2025-06-04
    price $25,000
  7. 2025-01-20
    price $27,900
  8. 2024-12-27
    status Active
  9. 2024-06-24
    status Active
  10. 2024-06-23
    status Active
  11. 2024-06-23
    price $34,400
  12. 2024-02-27
    status Active
  13. 2024-01-20
    historical Active Under Contract
  14. 2023-12-19
    listed $34,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,190
− Mortgage interest
−$504
− Property taxes
−$135
− Insurance
−$45
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$262
Taxable income
$12,654
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,037
After-tax cash flow
$9,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Highlands
NCES district ID
1200840
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,276
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4672
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Placid

Score
68/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#9813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Highlands County · 98,898 people
City population
22,600
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,600
Household income
$54,284
Rent vs Own
18.6% rent · 81.4% own
Severe rent burden
439.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,674 people
By 2030
99,615 · -0.1%
By 2040
99,342 · -0.3%
By 2050
98,242 · -1.4%
By 2075
93,291 · -6.4%
By 2100
79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.31%
Current HPI
224.8693
Rent YoY
▲ 0.82%
Metro
Sebring-Avon Park, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-74.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $9,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $15,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-12-24 Relisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-12-21 Delisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $25,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-01-20 Price Changed $27,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-12-27 Relisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-06-24 Relisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-06-23 Relisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-06-23 Price Changed $34,400 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-02-27 Relisted HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2024-01-20 Contingent HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-12-19 Listed $34,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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