2750 Alden Rd #2 · Fruitland, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this like-new, beautifully maintained 1,500 sq ft home located in a quiet, secluded, and picturesque 55+ community. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a full master suite with ample closet space and a private bath, offering comfort and privacy. The open and functional layout is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful surroundings, friendly neighbors, and a well-kept community designed for relaxed, low-maintenance living right above the Payette river. A rare opportunity to own a like new home in a serene setting. Management approval required. Lot rental $800/month which includes water, sewer, trash and irrigation water.
Key facts
- Full master suite
- Private bath
- Open layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Located in a mobile home park; Over-55 community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space); Covered parking (1 space); Finished driveway
- Utilities: City water service; Sewer connected; Broadband internet available
- Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on a rented lot; Located in an over-55 community; Private paved road access
- Construction: Built in 2022
- Exterior features: Composition roof; Garden; Irrigation available; Pressurized irrigation sprinkler system; Storage shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Freestanding oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Bath in master bedroom; Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar; Pantry; Laminate counters
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.9% in Fruitland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#51 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Fruitland District (town): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #60 of 92 in ID (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Fruitland Elementary School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #247 of 357 statewide, top 70%, 557 students, 45% FRL); Fruitland High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #61 of 169 statewide, top 41%, 542 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 230 units permitted in Payette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.81%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,608
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2750 Alden #23 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-3%) | 8mo | $64,999 | $45 | 85 |
| 2701 N Alder Dr #61 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+3%) | 2mo | $129,999 | $83 | 82 |
| 2750 Alden Rd #5 #5 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,380 (-8%) | 13mo | $69,900 | $51 | 72 |
| 916 Victoria | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-11%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $82 | 51 |
| 3100 Alden Rd Trlr 1 Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-14%) | 23mo | $98,500 | $76 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,912
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $33,411
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83619
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,713 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $483 | -5% $434 | +0% $386 | +5% $337 | +10% $289 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $250 | -5% $318 | +0% $386 | +5% $453 | +10% $521 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $456 | -0.5pp $421 | base $386 | +0.5pp $350 | +1.0pp $313 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2509 Applewood Ave Fruitland, ID | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2046 | $2,100 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 909 Victoria Ave Fruitland, ID | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $700 | $0.61 | 20d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1241 NE 3rd Ave Ontario, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1067 | $1,006 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $140,000
-
2026-01-14$150,000 Active
-
2013-10-29$9,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,557
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,645
- − Management
- −$1,645
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $2,553
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$613
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,017/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fruitland District
- NCES district ID
- 1601140
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,510
- Composite
- 35.43/100
- National rank
- #4933
- State rank
- #60 of 92 in ID
Livability — Fruitland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #6760
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fruitland, ID
- County
- Payette County · 19,928 people
- City population
- 8,823
- Metro
- Ontario, OR-ID
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,823
- Household income
- $66,267
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 211.0
Population outlook (Payette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,392 people
- By 2030
- 23,523 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 23,792 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 24,002 · +2.6%
- By 2075
- 25,286 · +8.1%
- By 2100
- 26,673 · +14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Scottish 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Payette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.9) · D 17.6% · R 80.4% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.5pp · 2024: -62.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.9 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+44.0 2008: R+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.19%
- Current HPI
- 266.5112
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ontario, OR-ID
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
+1373.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $140,000 IMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $150,000 IMLS
- 2013-10-29 Listed $9,500 IMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…