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2750 Alden Rd #2
C Composite 55.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

2750 Alden Rd #2 · Fruitland, ID 83619
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · Manufactured · 158 Days on market
Built 2022 Est $115k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this like-new, beautifully maintained 1,500 sq ft home located in a quiet, secluded, and picturesque 55+ community. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence features a full master suite with ample closet space and a private bath, offering comfort and privacy. The open and functional layout is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy peaceful surroundings, friendly neighbors, and a well-kept community designed for relaxed, low-maintenance living right above the Payette river. A rare opportunity to own a like new home in a serene setting. Management approval required. Lot rental $800/month which includes water, sewer, trash and irrigation water.

Key facts

  • Full master suite
  • Private bath
  • Open layout

Tags

FULL MASTER SUITEPRIVATE BATHOPEN LAYOUTWELL-KEPT COMMUNITYLOW-MAINTENANCE LIVINGSERENE SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in a mobile home park; Over-55 community

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Covered parking (1 space); Finished driveway
  • Utilities: City water service; Sewer connected; Broadband internet available
  • Home design: Mobile/manufactured home on a rented lot; Located in an over-55 community; Private paved road access
  • Construction: Built in 2022
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Garden; Irrigation available; Pressurized irrigation sprinkler system; Storage shed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Freestanding oven/range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Bath in master bedroom; Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar; Pantry; Laminate counters
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.9% in Fruitland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#51 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fruitland District (town): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #60 of 92 in ID (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fruitland Elementary School (math 38% / reading 40%, grade F, #247 of 357 statewide, top 70%, 557 students, 45% FRL); Fruitland High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #61 of 169 statewide, top 41%, 542 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 230 units permitted in Payette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.60%
Cash-on-cash
11.81%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$114,608
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2750 Alden #23 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-3%) 8mo $64,999 $45 85
2701 N Alder Dr #61 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+3%) 2mo $129,999 $83 82
2750 Alden Rd #5 #5 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,380 (-8%) 13mo $69,900 $51 72
916 Victoria 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-11%) 2mo $110,000 $82 51
3100 Alden Rd Trlr 1 Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-14%) 23mo $98,500 $76 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,912
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$33,411
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83619

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
111
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,713 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax est. 1.5%
$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$386

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,225
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $483 -5% $434 +0% $386 +5% $337 +10% $289
Rent -10% $250 -5% $318 +0% $386 +5% $453 +10% $521
Rate -1.0pp $456 -0.5pp $421 base $386 +0.5pp $350 +1.0pp $313

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2509 Applewood Ave Fruitland, ID 3.0 3.0 2046 $2,100 $1.03 24d 1 0.28mi
909 Victoria Ave Fruitland, ID 3.0 1.0 1152 $700 $0.61 20d 1 0.59mi
1241 NE 3rd Ave Ontario, OR 2.0 1.5 1067 $1,006 $0.94 3d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 679-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 147 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 141 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 140 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 139 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 138 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 137 DOM
  18. 2026-04-17
    price $140,000
  19. 2026-01-14
    listed $150,000 Active
  20. 2013-10-29
    listed $9,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,557
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$2,100
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,645
− Management
−$1,645
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$2,553
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$613
After-tax cash flow
$4,017/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fruitland District
NCES district ID
1601140
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$47,510
Composite
35.43/100
National rank
#4933
State rank
#60 of 92 in ID

Livability — Fruitland

Score
71/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#6760

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fruitland, ID
County
Payette County · 19,928 people
City population
8,823
Metro
Ontario, OR-ID
Population (ZIP)
8,823
Household income
$66,267
Rent vs Own
24.9% rent · 75.1% own
Severe rent burden
211.0

Population outlook (Payette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
23,392 people
By 2030
23,523 · +0.6%
By 2040
23,792 · +1.7%
By 2050
24,002 · +2.6%
By 2075
25,286 · +8.1%
By 2100
26,673 · +14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Scottish 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Payette

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.9) · D 17.6% · R 80.4% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.5pp · 2024: -62.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.9 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+59.9 2012: R+44.0 2008: R+41.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.19%
Current HPI
266.5112
Rent YoY
Metro
Ontario, OR-ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1373.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $140,000 IMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $150,000 IMLS
  • 2013-10-29 Listed $9,500 IMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…