503 W Ellwood Blvd · Anton, TX 79313

$90,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,623 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market

2.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.1/30.0
• Appreciation +8.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.1/10.0
• DSCR +6.7/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This Home in Anton sits on 2 acres and It features 2 bedrooms, 2 (full) bathrooms, 2 living areas, 2 separate carports, a dining area, a utility room with a sink and counter space, a bonus room AND an underground shelter.

Key facts

• Gazebo
• Storm shelter
• Covered back patio

Tags

• STORM SHELTER
• STORAGE SHEDS
• CARPORTS
• GAZEBO
• COVERED BACK PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family; Lot size: 2 acres; Zoned for single-family use

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (2 spaces); Additional paved parking
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available and connected
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Marked as fixer condition
• Construction: Stucco and other construction materials; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Approximately 1,623 above-grade finished area
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard with front and back yard and gated access; Paved road frontage (city street)

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas water heater
• Flooring: Other
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; Wall/window cooling units
• Interior features: Pantry; Fireplace (free-standing, wood burning) — located in the family room
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#877 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Anton ISD (rural): math 6% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #1,121 of 1,141 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Hockley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
• Hockley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $88,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.21% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.00%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.11%
• DSCR: 1.27
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.38×
• Total profit: $34,771
• Equity at exit: $57,136

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.81×
• Total profit: $95,907
• Equity at exit: $104,098

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79313

• Home prices YoY: 5.3%
• Active inventory: 12
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,092 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$225 /mo · $2,701/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $930

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $179	-5% $154	+0% $128	+5% $103	+10% $77
Rent	-10% $42	-5% $85	+0% $128	+5% $172	+10% $215
Rate	-1.0pp $174	-0.5pp $151	base $128	+0.5pp $105	+1.0pp $81

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-12
   statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 25 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $90,000 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $90,000 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-08
   days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-05
   days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
10. 2026-05-18
    listed $90,000 Active
11. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus 222-char remark

    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    This Home in Anton sits on 2 acres and It features 2 bedrooms, 2 (full) bathrooms, 2 living areas, 2 separate carports, a dining area, a utility room with a sink and counter space, a bonus room AND an underground shelter.

12. 2021-04-08
    listed $75,000 222-char remark

    Show marketing remark (222 chars)

    This Home in Anton sits on 2 acres and It features 2 bedrooms, 2 (full) bathrooms, 2 living areas, 2 separate carports, a dining area, a utility room with a sink and counter space, a bonus room AND an underground shelter.

13. 2019-02-28
    soldstatus
14. 2018-10-24
    soldstatus
15. 2017-03-27
    soldstatus
16. 1999-10-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,701 · $225/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,701 · $225/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,107
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$2,701
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,049
• − Management: −$1,049
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $200
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$48
• After-tax cash flow: $1,492/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Anton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4808460
• Math proficiency: 6% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $39,118
• Composite: 14.57/100
• National rank: #14409
• State rank: #1121 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Anton

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #877
• US rank: #15794

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Anton, TX
• City population: 1,537
• Population (ZIP): 1,537

Population outlook (Hockley County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 25,295 people
• By 2030: 26,230 · +3.7%
• By 2040: 28,268 · +11.8%
• By 2050: 30,536 · +20.7%
• By 2075: 36,867 · +45.7%
• By 2100: 40,662 · +60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 52% White 36% Two or more races 28% Black 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 50%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 72% English-only · Spanish 27% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hockley

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+66.3) · D 16.6% · R 82.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -52.3pp · 2024: -66.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+66.3 2020: R+62.4 2016: R+62.3 2012: R+57.0 2008: R+52.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 6.10%
• Current HPI: 120.0991
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+20.0% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-18 Listed $90,000 LARMLS
• 2021-10-29 Sold (MLS) — LARMLS
• 2021-04-08 Listed $75,000 LARMLS
• 2019-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2018-10-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2017-03-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1999-10-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+12.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,701 · +55.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.