126 Sherwood Dr · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
126 Sherwood is a 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom residential property. The home is currently vacant and available for immediate occupancy. It was previously utilized as a rental property and may be suitable for continued investment use. Schedule your showing today for more information. The owner is a La licensed real estate agent.
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Listed 48 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); Lafayette Middle School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #161 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 369 students, 83% FRL); Northside High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #186 of 265 statewide, top 73%, 655 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lafayette Parish average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.48%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,275
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -7.14%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 382 Sunset Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 857 (+10%) | 4mo | $76,500 | $89 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $15,526
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $62,643
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 247
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $997 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $498/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $390 | -5% $370 | +0% $350 | +5% $331 | +10% $311 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $272 | -5% $311 | +0% $350 | +5% $390 | +10% $429 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $386 | -0.5pp $368 | base $350 | +0.5pp $332 | +1.0pp $314 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Sunset Dr Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 319 Tissington St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $775 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 241 N Pine St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 313 Hobson St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 215 Peggy St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1002 E Simcoe St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1030 9th St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 810 Fairmont Ln Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $992 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 127 Nancy Ln Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 125 Nancy Ln Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2820 Louisiana Ave Lafayette, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,145 | $1.39 | 15d | 20 | 1.03mi |
| 206 N Washington St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2826 Louisiana Ave #907 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2830 Louisiana Ave #6 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 815 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Apt 29 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $800 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 815 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 40 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $800 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 617 E Vermilion St Unit C Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,199 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-30status $69,900 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $69,900 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
126 Sherwood is a 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom residential property. The home is currently vacant and available for immediate occupancy. It was previously utilized as a rental property and may be suitable for continued investment use. Schedule your showing today for more information. The owner is a La licensed real estate agent.
-
2026-04-11$75,000 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
126 Sherwood is a 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom residential property. The home is currently vacant and available for immediate occupancy. It was previously utilized as a rental property and may be suitable for continued investment use. Schedule your showing today for more information. The owner is a La licensed real estate agent.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $498 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $498 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,963
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$498
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$957
- − Management
- −$957
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $3,252
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$780
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,423/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-6.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $69,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $498 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…