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7440 Highway 17
D- Composite 37.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

7440 Highway 17 · Houston, MO 65483
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,028 sqft · Other public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1957 2.70 ac lot $94/sqft · at area comps Est $200k · at est. ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside to find a well-designed layout with generous living areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample space for cooking and gathering, while the bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside is where this property truly shines—featuring a fully stocked pond, ideal for relaxing afternoons, fishing, or simply enjoying the scenic surroundings. The 2.7-acre lot provides plenty of room to roam, garden, or create your own private retreat while enjoying the quiet beauty of the countryside. Priced at $215,000, this property delivers exceptional value with its size, acreage, and unique features. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this home is ready to welcome you. Schedule your showing today and experience the charm and potential this property has to offer!

Key facts

  • 2.7 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1957

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-518/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (27.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.0% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#824 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Houston R-I (rural): math 24% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #266 of 324 in MO (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Texas County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Texas County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,378 (27.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.97%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,691
List price
$190,000
Delta
-4.85%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-33,623
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-33,173
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65483

Home prices YoY
-8.5%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,384 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$61 /mo · $729/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$-43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,438
Max offer price $182,380
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $64 -5% $11 +0% $-43 +5% $-97 +10% $-151
Rent -10% $-152 -5% $-98 +0% $-43 +5% $12 +10% $66
Rate -1.0pp $53 -0.5pp $5 base $-43 +0.5pp $-92 +1.0pp $-142

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $190,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $190,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    price $190,000 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    Step inside to find a well-designed layout with generous living areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample space for cooking and gathering, while the bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside is where this property truly shines—featuring a fully stocked pond, ideal for relaxing afternoons, fishing, or simply enjoying the scenic surroundings. The 2.7-acre lot provides plenty of room to roam, garden, or create your own private retreat while enjoying the quiet beauty of the countryside. Priced at $215,000, this property delivers exceptional value with its size, acreage, and unique features. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this home is ready to welcome you. Schedule your showing today and experience the charm and potential this property has to offer!

  17. 2026-05-15
    price $190,000 870-char remark
    Show marketing remark (870 chars)

    Step inside to find a well-designed layout with generous living areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample space for cooking and gathering, while the bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside is where this property truly shines--featuring a fully stocked pond, ideal for relaxing afternoons, fishing, or simply enjoying the scenic surroundings. The 2.7-acre lot provides plenty of room to roam, garden, or create your own private retreat while enjoying the quiet beauty of the countryside. Priced at $215,000, this property delivers exceptional value with its size, acreage, and unique features. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this home is ready to welcome you. Schedule your showing today and experience the charm and potential this property has to offer!

  18. 2026-04-18
    listed $215,000 Active 870-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    Step inside to find a well-designed layout with generous living areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample space for cooking and gathering, while the bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside is where this property truly shines—featuring a fully stocked pond, ideal for relaxing afternoons, fishing, or simply enjoying the scenic surroundings. The 2.7-acre lot provides plenty of room to roam, garden, or create your own private retreat while enjoying the quiet beauty of the countryside. Priced at $215,000, this property delivers exceptional value with its size, acreage, and unique features. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this home is ready to welcome you. Schedule your showing today and experience the charm and potential this property has to offer!

  19. 2026-04-18
    listed $215,000 Active 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    Step inside to find a well-designed layout with generous living areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample space for cooking and gathering, while the bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside is where this property truly shines—featuring a fully stocked pond, ideal for relaxing afternoons, fishing, or simply enjoying the scenic surroundings. The 2.7-acre lot provides plenty of room to roam, garden, or create your own private retreat while enjoying the quiet beauty of the countryside. Priced at $215,000, this property delivers exceptional value with its size, acreage, and unique features. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this home is ready to welcome you. Schedule your showing today and experience the charm and potential this property has to offer!

  20. 2026-04-04
    historical $215,000 878-char remark
    Show marketing remark (878 chars)

    Step inside to find a well-designed layout with generous living areas, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen provides ample space for cooking and gathering, while the bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Outside is where this property truly shines—featuring a fully stocked pond, ideal for relaxing afternoons, fishing, or simply enjoying the scenic surroundings. The 2.7-acre lot provides plenty of room to roam, garden, or create your own private retreat while enjoying the quiet beauty of the countryside. Priced at $215,000, this property delivers exceptional value with its size, acreage, and unique features. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a peaceful getaway, this home is ready to welcome you. Schedule your showing today and experience the charm and potential this property has to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$729 · $61/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,843 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$1,114/yr (+$93/mo · 152.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,605
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$729
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,328
− Management
−$1,328
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$3,901
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$936
After-tax cash flow
$419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston R-I
NCES district ID
2914840
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$34,169
Composite
25.88/100
National rank
#7344
State rank
#266 of 324 in MO

Livability — Houston

Score
53/100
State rank
#824
US rank
#24484

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,607

Population outlook (Texas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,648 people
By 2030
23,981 · -2.7%
By 2040
22,840 · -7.3%
By 2050
21,832 · -11.4%
By 2075
19,481 · -21.0%
By 2100
16,634 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Danish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Texas

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.7) · D 13.8% · R 85.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: -35.1pp · 2024: -71.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.7 2020: R+68.6 2016: R+65.4 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+35.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.78%
Current HPI
224.0504
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $190,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $190,000 SOMO
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $215,000 SOMO
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $215,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-04 Coming Soon $215,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $729 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…