11 SE Magnolia Ave Unit A · Fort Walton Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.0/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**Reduced for fast sale**This adorable townhome has all new interior and ready for a new owner. Location is perfect only a few miles to the beaches, restaurants, and shopping. Home has been upgraded to include New flooring (luxury vinyl hardwood look & carpet), new lighting throughout, new interior paint, new cabinets with new hardware, stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, new door knobs and hinges, new mirrors and counter tops in baths and additional living space in form of Florida Room. fully fenced sodded back yard with storage shed. . This home will be gone quickly.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Dedicated pantry
- Open flowing layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: BAY BREEZE T/H
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with space for 6 vehicles
- Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Townhome style; Single-story (1 story); Built in 1981
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private yard; Open patio; Level lot; City street frontage; Lot accessed via city road and paved road; Paved road surface; Zoned for multi-family residential
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms; Master bedroom is carpeted; Master bedroom located on the second floor
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (2 full)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Newly painted; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($181/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (21.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 0.9% in Fort Walton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#111 in FL, #1,628 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $168k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.27%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,404
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 SE Third St Unit H | 0.16mi | 2/2.5 | 1,344 (+5%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $167 | 78 |
| 208 3rd St Unit J | 0.20mi | 2/1.5 | 1,188 (-8%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $185 | 75 |
| 204 SE 4th St Unit B4 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (-8%) | 3mo | $192,000 | $162 | 75 |
| 211 SE Third St Unit I | 0.16mi | 2/2.5 | 1,344 (+5%) | 14mo | $290,000 | $216 | 71 |
| 144 SE Scottwood Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 | 1,216 (-5%) | 2mo | $294,000 | $242 | 71 |
| 204 SE 4Th St Unit B3 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (-8%) | 13mo | $159,000 | $134 | 67 |
| 134 SE Scottwood Dr | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 1,216 (-5%) | 14mo | $157,000 | $129 | 61 |
| 126 SE Scottwood Dr | 0.34mi | 2/1.5 | 1,216 (-5%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $181 | 61 |
| 159 SE BROOKS St Unit 307 | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-6%) | 6mo | $340,000 | $283 | 50 |
| 159 SE Brooks St Unit 202 | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-6%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $279 | 45 |
| 208 SE 1st St Unit A | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,116 (-13%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $148 | 44 |
| 36 SE Chatelaine Cir | 0.75mi | 2/1.5 | 1,350 (+5%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $111 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-40,257
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-46,270
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32548
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,368/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $148 | -5% $82 | +0% $15 | +5% $-51 | +10% $-118 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-131 | -5% $-58 | +0% $15 | +5% $88 | +10% $161 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $133 | -0.5pp $75 | base $15 | +0.5pp $-46 | +1.0pp $-108 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Alder Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1742 | $2,145 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 10 Alder Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1749 | $2,145 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 36 Alder Ave SE #3 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1061 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 107 Magnolia Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 15d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 22 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 128 Elm Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 208 Oak St SE Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 133 Alder Ave SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 159 Scottwood Dr SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 37 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $2,095 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 50 Laurie Dr NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 165 Brooks St SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 159 Brooks St SE #306 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,400 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 115 Hughes St NE Unit D2 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,900 | $1.78 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 101 Church Ave SE Unit 204 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,676 | $1.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 101 Church Ave SE Unit 105 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,397 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 103 Church Ave SE Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 120 Opp Blvd NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 13 Chatelaine Cir SE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1728 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 140 Opp Blvd NE Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $1,750 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 119 Beal Pkwy SE #203 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1588 | $2,150 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 330 Bluefish Dr #103 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5 Laguna St #104 Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,575 | $2.03 | 46d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 115 Beal Pkwy NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $1,995 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 110 Loizos Dr NW Fort Walton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,200 | $1.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $235,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$235,000 Active
-
2019-08-22soldstatus $167,500
-
2019-08-21soldstatus $167,500 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
**Reduced for fast sale**This adorable townhome has all new interior and ready for a new owner. Location is perfect only a few miles to the beaches, restaurants, and shopping. Home has been upgraded to include New flooring (luxury vinyl hardwood look & carpet), new lighting throughout, new interior paint, new cabinets with new hardware, stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, new door knobs and hinges, new mirrors and counter tops in baths and additional living space in form of Florida Room. fully fenced sodded back yard with storage shed. . This home will be gone quickly.
-
2019-08-21soldstatus $167,500 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
**Reduced for fast sale**This adorable townhome has all new interior and ready for a new owner. Location is perfect only a few miles to the beaches, restaurants, and shopping. Home has been upgraded to include New flooring (luxury vinyl hardwood look & carpet), new lighting throughout, new interior paint, new cabinets with new hardware, stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, new door knobs and hinges, new mirrors and counter tops in baths and additional living space in form of Florida Room. fully fenced sodded back yard with storage shed. . This home will be gone quickly.
-
2019-06-21$169,900 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
**Reduced for fast sale**This adorable townhome has all new interior and ready for a new owner. Location is perfect only a few miles to the beaches, restaurants, and shopping. Home has been upgraded to include New flooring (luxury vinyl hardwood look & carpet), new lighting throughout, new interior paint, new cabinets with new hardware, stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, new door knobs and hinges, new mirrors and counter tops in baths and additional living space in form of Florida Room. fully fenced sodded back yard with storage shed. . This home will be gone quickly.
-
1994-11-18soldstatus $54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,368 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,950 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- +$582/yr (+$49/mo · 42.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$1,368
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,922
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$941
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,122/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Fort Walton Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #1628
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Walton Beach, FL
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 59,301
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,774
- Household income
- $65,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 889.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.88%
- Current HPI
- 274.8418
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+335.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $235,000 ECAR
- 2019-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $167,500 Public Records
- 2019-08-21 Sold (MLS) $167,500 NAMLS
- 2019-08-21 Sold (MLS) $167,500 ECAR
- 2019-06-21 Listed $169,900 NAMLS
- 1994-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,368 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…