144 Slab Hill Rd · Porter, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A Lakeview PA State Forest Cabin. 2-3 bedrooms. Kitchenett with range and refrigerator. Enclosed porch with view of lake. In great condition. PA resident and cash only. Low taxes and only $200 per year land fee. This is where you go to find an inexpensive low carrying cost Vacation / Recreation Home.
Key facts
- Low taxes
- In great condition
- Built 1940
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $903 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 4.1% in Porter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bushkill El Sch (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 366 students, 70% FRL); Lehman Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 512 statewide, top 79%, 603 students, 59% FRL); East Stroudsburg Shs North (math 29% / reading 24%, grade F, #371 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 940 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 309 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.42%
- DSCR
- 3.15
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,868
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -42.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Slab Hill Rd | 0.13mi | 2/— (-1) | 782 (-2%) | 25mo | $115,000 | $147 | 65 |
| 121 Ness Rd | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-10%) | 12mo | $134,000 | $186 | 50 |
| 107 Stoney Hill Rd | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 820 (+2%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $201 | 49 |
| 162 Ness Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 864 (+8%) | 26mo | $114,297 | $132 | 37 |
| 218 Rock Hill Dr | 0.80mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-12%) | 14mo | $145,000 | $207 | 27 |
| 224 Rock Hill Dr | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+20%) | 19mo | $140,000 | $146 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.52×
- Total profit
- $101,036
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 55.8%
- Equity multiple
- 12.28×
- Total profit
- $252,379
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Median asking
- $79,900 ($107/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 167 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +62.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 18328
- Home prices YoY
- 18.1%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,842 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $903
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $958 | -5% $930 | +0% $903 | +5% $875 | +10% $847 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $757 | -5% $830 | +0% $903 | +5% $975 | +10% $1,048 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $943 | -0.5pp $923 | base $903 | +0.5pp $882 | +1.0pp $861 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property used for hunting, recreational, and residential purposesResidential property subtype: cabin
- HOA & community
- Community features include fishing and lake access (Pecks Pond)
Exterior
- Parking
- No garageOn-site parking pad, off-street parking
- Utilities
- Electricity connected with 100 amp serviceHolding tank for sewerNo municipal water source listed
- Home design
- CabinOne story
- Construction
- Frame constructionBlock foundationAsbestos shingle roofApproximately 750 above-grade finished area
- Exterior features
- Wooded, level lotGravel road accessPrivate maintained road and private road frontageAccess to Pecks Pond
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 5 total rooms (bedrooms not specified individually)
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Heating & cooling
- Heating present: coal, space heater, wood stove, coal stoveNo central cooling
- Interior features
- Fire pitNo basement
Listing history 50 events
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2026-09-24days on market $79,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $79,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $79,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $79,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $79,900 Active 89 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $79,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $79,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $79,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $79,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $79,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $79,900 Active 83 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $79,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $79,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $79,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $79,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $79,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $79,900 Active 50 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $79,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $79,900 Active 48 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,768
- − Management
- −$1,768
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $10,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,440
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,393/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
The property requires significant updates to appliances, flooring, and landscaping to improve its resale and rental value.
Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening
- Major Roof (roof) — No roof material or condition visible
- Major Windows (windows) — No window material or condition visible
- Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel or condition visible
- Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing fixtures or condition visible
- Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior siding or condition visible
Repairs flagged
- Major Appliances — Outdated and in disrepair.
- Major Paint — Peeling and in poor condition.
- Major Flooring — Worn and in need of replacement or repair.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and updating appliances — Improves both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Enhances both resale and rental appeal. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances both resale and rental appeal. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Porter
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Pike · 53,548 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,061
- Household income
- $81,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 38.13%
- Current HPI
- 248.4494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-06 Price Changed $79,900 PWMLS
- 2026-06-23 Relisted — PWMLS
- 2026-05-26 Listed $84,900 PWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…