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144 Slab Hill Rd
A Composite 85.21
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$79,900

144 Slab Hill Rd · Porter, PA 18328
3 bd · None ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily · 95 Days on market
Built 1940 Fair condition $100/sqft · 42% below area Est $139k · 42% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A Lakeview PA State Forest Cabin. 2-3 bedrooms. Kitchenett with range and refrigerator. Enclosed porch with view of lake. In great condition. PA resident and cash only. Low taxes and only $200 per year land fee. This is where you go to find an inexpensive low carrying cost Vacation / Recreation Home.

Key facts

  • Low taxes
  • In great condition
  • Built 1940

Tags

LAKEVIEW PA STATE FOREST CABININ GREAT CONDITIONLOW TAXES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $903 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 4.1% in Porter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bushkill El Sch (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 366 students, 70% FRL); Lehman Intermediate Sch (math 11% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 512 statewide, top 79%, 603 students, 59% FRL); East Stroudsburg Shs North (math 29% / reading 24%, grade F, #371 of 437 statewide, top 85%, 940 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 61% FRL vs 42% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 309 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,709 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
19.85%
Cash-on-cash
48.42%
DSCR
3.15
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,868
List price
$79,900
Delta
-42.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Slab Hill Rd 0.13mi 2/— (-1) 782 (-2%) 25mo $115,000 $147 65
121 Ness Rd 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (-10%) 12mo $134,000 $186 50
107 Stoney Hill Rd 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 820 (+2%) 12mo $165,000 $201 49
162 Ness Rd 0.63mi 3/1.5 864 (+8%) 26mo $114,297 $132 37
218 Rock Hill Dr 0.80mi 2/1.0 (-1) 700 (-12%) 14mo $145,000 $207 27
224 Rock Hill Dr 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+20%) 19mo $140,000 $146 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.3%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$101,036
Equity at exit
$71,980
10-year hold
IRR
55.8%
Equity multiple
12.28×
Total profit
$252,379
Equity at exit
$155,228

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
1 active
Median asking
$79,900 ($107/sqft)
Median days on market
167 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+62.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 18328

Home prices YoY
18.1%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,842 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$903

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $958 -5% $930 +0% $903 +5% $875 +10% $847
Rent -10% $757 -5% $830 +0% $903 +5% $975 +10% $1,048
Rate -1.0pp $943 -0.5pp $923 base $903 +0.5pp $882 +1.0pp $861

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Property used for hunting, recreational, and residential purposesResidential property subtype: cabin
HOA & community
Community features include fishing and lake access (Pecks Pond)

Exterior

Parking
No garageOn-site parking pad, off-street parking
Utilities
Electricity connected with 100 amp serviceHolding tank for sewerNo municipal water source listed
Home design
CabinOne story
Construction
Frame constructionBlock foundationAsbestos shingle roofApproximately 750 above-grade finished area
Exterior features
Wooded, level lotGravel road accessPrivate maintained road and private road frontageAccess to Pecks Pond

Interior

Kitchen
Electric rangeRefrigerator
Bedrooms
5 total rooms (bedrooms not specified individually)
Flooring
CarpetVinyl
Heating & cooling
Heating present: coal, space heater, wood stove, coal stoveNo central cooling
Interior features
Fire pitNo basement

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $79,900 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-09-24
    days on market $79,900 Active 94 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $79,900 Active 93 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $79,900 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 87 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 86 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 85 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 75 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
  16. 2026-09-02
    days on market $79,900 Active 73 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 70 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $79,900 Active 69 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $79,900 Active 65 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $79,900 Active 62 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 61 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $79,900 Active 60 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 55 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 52 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $79,900 Active 51 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $79,900 Active 50 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 49 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 48 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 47 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $79,900 Active 46 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $79,900 Active 45 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $79,900 Active 44 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $79,900 Active 43 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $79,900 Active 40 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $79,900 Active 39 DOM
  47. 2026-07-29
    days on market $79,900 Active 38 DOM
  48. 2026-07-27
    days on market $79,900 Active 36 DOM
  49. 2026-07-25
    days on market $79,900 Active 34 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $79,900 Active 32 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,099
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,768
− Management
−$1,768
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$10,165
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,440
After-tax cash flow
$8,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $20,000–$36,000 screening

The property requires significant updates to appliances, flooring, and landscaping to improve its resale and rental value.

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof) — No roof material or condition visible
  • Major Windows (windows) — No window material or condition visible
  • Major Electrical (electrical) — No electrical panel or condition visible
  • Major Plumbing (plumbing) — No plumbing fixtures or condition visible
  • Major Exterior (exterior) — No exterior siding or condition visible

Repairs flagged

  • Major Appliances — Outdated and in disrepair.
  • Major Paint — Peeling and in poor condition.
  • Major Flooring — Worn and in need of replacement or repair.
  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming and maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating appliances — Improves both resale and rental value.
  • Both Flooring replacement — Enhances both resale and rental appeal.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances both resale and rental appeal.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 30/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Bushkill El Sch F PA #1,049/1,518 Nat'l #23,081/41,679 Middle Lehman Intermediate Sch F PA #399/512 Nat'l #9,659/14,009 High East Stroudsburg Shs North F PA #371/437 Nat'l #12,194/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Stroudsburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4208670
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$57,142
Composite
30.13/100
National rank
#6332
State rank
#413 of 539 in PA

Livability — Porter

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Pike · 53,548 people
Population (ZIP)
8,061
Household income
$81,833
Rent vs Own
9.7% rent · 90.3% own
Severe rent burden
14% of renters

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,548 people
By 2030
51,622 · -3.6%
By 2040
46,490 · -13.2%
By 2050
40,372 · -24.6%
By 2075
31,951 · -40.3%
By 2100
26,821 · -49.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-5.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-06 Price Changed $79,900 PWMLS
  • 2026-06-23 Relisted PWMLS
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $84,900 PWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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