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851 Cleveland Ave
D Composite 44.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

851 Cleveland Ave · Orrville, OH 44667
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,326 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1947 7,300 sqft lot $106/sqft · 28% below area Est $194k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step inside this versatile single-family home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined neighborhood offering space, flexibility, and endless potential. Enter through the front living room, which flows seamlessly into the newly renovated kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen features brand-new flooring, hickory cabinetry, and all appliances included, thoughtfully designed on a single level for ease and convenience. Just off the main living space, you’ll find a full bathroom with laundry conveniently located toward the front of the home, and one bedroom. Moving toward the rear, an additional breezeway area offers utility access along with a half bath, creating a functional transition space that could also serve as a bedroom or home office. The attached rear living suite provides incredible flexibility with its own full bathroom, additional kitchen with ceramic tile flooring, washer and dryer, and a spacious family room or bonus area highlighted by newer vinyl flooring—ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or rental potential. Beyond the living areas, an unfinished space with patio doors leads to the rear yard and offers the opportunity to create an additional bedroom or living area. Some wiring, drywall and insulation just need to be completed to bring this space to life. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees. With multiple living areas, two kitchens, and abundant possibilities, this home is packed with potential. Don’t miss your chance to explore all it has to offer—call today to schedule your private tour.

Key facts

  • Breezeway area
  • Additional kitchen
  • Spacious family room

Tags

NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHENFULL BATHROOM WITH LAUNDRYBREEZEWAY AREAATTACHED REAR LIVING SUITEADDITIONAL KITCHENSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (10.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (27.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $101k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Orrville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#161 in OH, #2,403 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Orrville City (town): math 65% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #251 of 656 in OH (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 284 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (42 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $140k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $101,471 (27.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.60%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$194,107
List price
$139,900
Delta
-27.93%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
717 Beaver St 0.20mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-7%) 2mo $160,000 $130 72
316 W Paradise St 0.35mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,296 (-2%) 11mo $169,000 $130 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-28,119
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-31,597
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44667

Home prices YoY
-23.8%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,015 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,136/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$-85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,122
Max offer price $124,880
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-30
    price $139,900 1626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1626 chars)

    Step inside this versatile single-family home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined neighborhood offering space, flexibility, and endless potential. Enter through the front living room, which flows seamlessly into the newly renovated kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen features brand-new flooring, hickory cabinetry, and all appliances included, thoughtfully designed on a single level for ease and convenience. Just off the main living space, you’ll find a full bathroom with laundry conveniently located toward the front of the home, and one bedroom. Moving toward the rear, an additional breezeway area offers utility access along with a half bath, creating a functional transition space that could also serve as a bedroom or home office. The attached rear living suite provides incredible flexibility with its own full bathroom, additional kitchen with ceramic tile flooring, washer and dryer, and a spacious family room or bonus area highlighted by newer vinyl flooring—ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or rental potential. Beyond the living areas, an unfinished space with patio doors leads to the rear yard and offers the opportunity to create an additional bedroom or living area. Some wiring, drywall and insulation just need to be completed to bring this space to life. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees. With multiple living areas, two kitchens, and abundant possibilities, this home is packed with potential. Don’t miss your chance to explore all it has to offer—call today to schedule your private tour.

  2. 2026-03-19
    price $149,900 1626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1626 chars)

    Step inside this versatile single-family home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined neighborhood offering space, flexibility, and endless potential. Enter through the front living room, which flows seamlessly into the newly renovated kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen features brand-new flooring, hickory cabinetry, and all appliances included, thoughtfully designed on a single level for ease and convenience. Just off the main living space, you’ll find a full bathroom with laundry conveniently located toward the front of the home, and one bedroom. Moving toward the rear, an additional breezeway area offers utility access along with a half bath, creating a functional transition space that could also serve as a bedroom or home office. The attached rear living suite provides incredible flexibility with its own full bathroom, additional kitchen with ceramic tile flooring, washer and dryer, and a spacious family room or bonus area highlighted by newer vinyl flooring—ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or rental potential. Beyond the living areas, an unfinished space with patio doors leads to the rear yard and offers the opportunity to create an additional bedroom or living area. Some wiring, drywall and insulation just need to be completed to bring this space to life. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees. With multiple living areas, two kitchens, and abundant possibilities, this home is packed with potential. Don’t miss your chance to explore all it has to offer—call today to schedule your private tour.

  3. 2026-02-25
    price $159,900 1626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1626 chars)

    Step inside this versatile single-family home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined neighborhood offering space, flexibility, and endless potential. Enter through the front living room, which flows seamlessly into the newly renovated kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen features brand-new flooring, hickory cabinetry, and all appliances included, thoughtfully designed on a single level for ease and convenience. Just off the main living space, you’ll find a full bathroom with laundry conveniently located toward the front of the home, and one bedroom. Moving toward the rear, an additional breezeway area offers utility access along with a half bath, creating a functional transition space that could also serve as a bedroom or home office. The attached rear living suite provides incredible flexibility with its own full bathroom, additional kitchen with ceramic tile flooring, washer and dryer, and a spacious family room or bonus area highlighted by newer vinyl flooring—ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or rental potential. Beyond the living areas, an unfinished space with patio doors leads to the rear yard and offers the opportunity to create an additional bedroom or living area. Some wiring, drywall and insulation just need to be completed to bring this space to life. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees. With multiple living areas, two kitchens, and abundant possibilities, this home is packed with potential. Don’t miss your chance to explore all it has to offer—call today to schedule your private tour.

  4. 2026-01-29
    listed $169,900 Active 1626-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1626 chars)

    Step inside this versatile single-family home nestled in a quiet, tree-lined neighborhood offering space, flexibility, and endless potential. Enter through the front living room, which flows seamlessly into the newly renovated kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The kitchen features brand-new flooring, hickory cabinetry, and all appliances included, thoughtfully designed on a single level for ease and convenience. Just off the main living space, you’ll find a full bathroom with laundry conveniently located toward the front of the home, and one bedroom. Moving toward the rear, an additional breezeway area offers utility access along with a half bath, creating a functional transition space that could also serve as a bedroom or home office. The attached rear living suite provides incredible flexibility with its own full bathroom, additional kitchen with ceramic tile flooring, washer and dryer, and a spacious family room or bonus area highlighted by newer vinyl flooring—ideal for multi-generational living, guests, or rental potential. Beyond the living areas, an unfinished space with patio doors leads to the rear yard and offers the opportunity to create an additional bedroom or living area. Some wiring, drywall and insulation just need to be completed to bring this space to life. Outside, enjoy the peaceful setting surrounded by mature trees. With multiple living areas, two kitchens, and abundant possibilities, this home is packed with potential. Don’t miss your chance to explore all it has to offer—call today to schedule your private tour.

  5. 2012-05-30
    soldstatus $50,270
  6. 2008-10-08
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,136 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,659 · $138/mo
Expected delta
+$523/yr (+$44/mo · 46.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,177
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$1,136
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$974
− Management
−$974
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$3,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$843
After-tax cash flow
$-177/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orrville City
NCES district ID
3904461
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,347
Composite
53.24/100
National rank
#1497
State rank
#251 of 656 in OH

Livability — Orrville

Score
78/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#2403

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orrville, OH
County
Wayne · 117,095 people
City population
13,688
Population (ZIP)
13,688
Household income
$72,402
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
6.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
116,616 people
By 2030
116,214 · -0.3%
By 2040
113,891 · -2.3%
By 2050
109,009 · -6.5%
By 2075
94,622 · -18.9%
By 2100
70,577 · -39.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · German/W. Germanic 8% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.6pp · 2024: -39.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.3 2020: R+37.0 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.83%
Current HPI
220.2626
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+179.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $139,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $149,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $159,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $169,900 MLSNOW
  • 2012-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $50,270 Public Records
  • 2008-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,136 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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