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12450 SW Fischer Rd #103
B Composite 70.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

12450 SW Fischer Rd #103 · King City, OR 97224
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,508 sqft · Manufactured public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1986 $112/sqft · 121% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully updated and spacious 1508 sq ft home in desirable King Village! This well-maintained home features numerous upgrades, including new windows, updated plumbing, fresh exterior paint, and a newer heat pump with A/C for year-round comfort. The large, updated kitchen offers abundant space and comes complete with newer appliances.Enjoy outdoor living with two decks—perfect for entertaining—along with a yard featuring garden boxes and a storage shed. A standout feature is the versatile additional outbuilding ideal for a hobby space, entertaining area, or extra storage.Move-in ready with thoughtful updates throughout—don’t miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • Newer appliances
  • Two decks
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED PLUMBINGNEW WINDOWSNEWER HEAT PUMPUPDATED KITCHENNEWER APPLIANCESTWO DECKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $778 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.7% in King City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#24 in OR, #539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $169k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $163,930 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.82%
Cash-on-cash
19.72%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,316
List price
$169,000
Delta
121.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17123 SW Eldorado Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+4%) 2mo $129,985 $83 78
17088 SW Eldorado Dr 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-4%) 2mo $23,000 $16 76
13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #1 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,525 (+1%) 1mo $199,000 $130 66
11668 SW Royal Villa Dr #77 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-4%) 3mo $67,000 $47 62
17151 SW Eldorado Dr #85 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-11%) 3mo $62,000 $46 60
18485 SW Pacific Dr #64 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-3%) 4mo $94,000 $65 57
11656 SW Royal Villa Dr #71 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-11%) 6mo $42,500 $32 55
18485 SW Pacific Dr #53 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-4%) 3mo $120,000 $83 52
13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #66 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,684 (+12%) 1mo $120,000 $71 50
11560 SW Royal Villa Dr 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,334 (-12%) 5mo $35,000 $26 47
13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #146 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,728 (+15%) 0mo $115,000 $67 46
18485 SW Pacific Dr #37 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-14%) 0mo $85,000 $66 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$15,363
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$50,931
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97224

Rents YoY
-0.4%
Active inventory
412
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,300 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $990/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$483
Net cashflow
$778

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,315
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12070 SW Fischer Rd Portland, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,099 $2.27 2d 9 0.20mi
13060 SW Dickson St Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1108 $1,850 $1.67 44d 1 0.38mi
17865 SW Pacific Hwy Tualatin, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 970 $2,242 $2.31 2d 13 0.38mi
16903 SW 133rd Ter Portland, OR 3.0 2.5 1665 $2,845 $1.71 10d 1 0.45mi
11865 SW Tualatin Rd Tualatin, OR 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1154 $2,737 $2.37 2d 19 0.48mi
17979 SW 115th Ave Unit 6 Tualatin, OR 2.0 1.5 1064 $1,625 $1.53 24d 1 0.59mi
17335 SW Montague Way Portland, OR 3.0 2.5 1687 $3,175 $1.88 2d 1 0.63mi
17989 SW 115th Ave Tualatin, OR 2.0 1.0–1.5 982 $1,550 $1.58 24d 2 0.65mi
15205 SW 119th Ave Portland, OR 2.0 2.0 1650 $2,150 $1.30 20d 1 0.93mi
15199 SW Royalty Pkwy Portland, OR 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 884 $2,205 $2.49 2d 12 1.18mi
15050 SW 141st Ave Portland, OR 3.0 2.0 2051 $3,495 $1.70 18d 1 1.26mi
10695 SW Murdock St Tigard, OR 2.0 1.0 793 $1,806 $2.28 2d 13 1.41mi
9720 SW Tualatin Rd Tualatin, OR 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $169,000 Pending 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-04-14
    listed $179,000 Active 681-char remark
    Show marketing remark (681 chars)

    Beautifully updated and spacious 1508 sq ft home in desirable King Village! This well-maintained home features numerous upgrades, including new windows, updated plumbing, fresh exterior paint, and a newer heat pump with A/C for year-round comfort. The large, updated kitchen offers abundant space and comes complete with newer appliances.Enjoy outdoor living with two decks—perfect for entertaining—along with a yard featuring garden boxes and a storage shed. A standout feature is the versatile additional outbuilding ideal for a hobby space, entertaining area, or extra storage.Move-in ready with thoughtful updates throughout—don’t miss this opportunity!

  8. 1989-12-29
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$990 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,639 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$649/yr (+$54/mo · 65.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,599
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$990
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,208
− Management
−$2,208
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$6,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,671
After-tax cash flow
$7,661/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J
NCES district ID
4112240
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$60,739
Composite
48.72/100
National rank
#2100
State rank
#6 of 58 in OR

Livability — King City

Score
85/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#539

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Washington County · 583,254 people
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
Population (ZIP)
36,569
Household income
$98,125
Rent vs Own
30.0% rent · 70.0% own
Severe rent burden
1468.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
674,042 people
By 2030
721,804 · +7.1%
By 2040
812,732 · +20.6%
By 2050
895,143 · +32.8%
By 2075
1,058,806 · +57.1%
By 2100
1,131,692 · +67.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -287.40%
Current HPI
277.57
Rent YoY
▼ -0.38%
Metro
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+258.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $179,000 RMLS
  • 1989-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $990 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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