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721 Providence Park
D- Composite 36.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0

$275,000

721 Providence Park · Sterlington, LA 71280
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,522 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 2016 5,662 sqft lot Est $256k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Stunning home with upscale finishes throughout! Features include an open floor plan, soaring ceilings, exposed wood accent ceilings, and a gorgeous kitchen with granite countertops, gas range, large island, and custom vent hood. The spacious primary suite offers a spa-like bath with dual vanities, soaking tub, separate shower, and oversized walk-in closet. Beautifully maintained with manicured landscaping and incredible curb appeal.

Key facts

  • 5,662 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2016

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: STERLING FIELDS; Directions available: Hwy 165 N to right on Lenox Bridge, left on Providence Park Dr., property on right
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present (association amenities listed as other)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Open parking available
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built property; One level; Entry at grade
  • Construction: Brick veneer and stucco exterior; Slab foundation; Built as one-story
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Wood fencing; Landscaped and cleared yard; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Dishwasher, Disposal, Gas Range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-356 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (22.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (31.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (31.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,299 (31.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.55%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$255,696
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
123 Providence Park 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,614 (+6%) 4mo $243,650 $151 82
722 Providence Park 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,728 (+14%) 11mo $274,900 $159 67
604 Providence Park 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,637 (+8%) 23mo $279,900 $171 62
116 Providence Park 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,730 (+14%) 12mo $290,000 $168 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$127,083
Equity at exit
$247,742
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.09×
Total profit
$392,063
Equity at exit
$534,265

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71280

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,883 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$287 /mo · $3,444/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$-356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,334
Max offer price $212,086
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-200 -5% $-278 +0% $-356 +5% $-434 +10% $-512
Rent -10% $-505 -5% $-431 +0% $-356 +5% $-282 +10% $-207
Rate -1.0pp $-218 -0.5pp $-286 base $-356 +0.5pp $-427 +1.0pp $-500

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
492 Cliff Bullock Dr Sterlington, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,495 $1.66 45d 1 0.50mi
2120 Old Sterlington Rd Unit 4 Sterlington, LA 2.0 2.0 1050 $925 $0.88 22d 1 0.54mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $275,000 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    status $275,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  9. 2026-05-21
    listed $275,000 Active
  10. 2023-08-18
    listed $260,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,444 · $287/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,444 · $287/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,596
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$3,444
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,808
− Management
−$1,808
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$9,243
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,218
After-tax cash flow
$-2,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ouachita Parish
NCES district ID
2201200
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$43,316
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5791
State rank
#26 of 98 in LA

Livability — Sterlington

Score
70/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#7741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sterlington, LA
Population (ZIP)
4,999

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,370 people
By 2030
165,520 · +1.3%
By 2040
167,652 · +2.6%
By 2050
166,699 · +2.0%
By 2075
156,348 · -4.3%
By 2100
134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.14%
Current HPI
283.4492
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending NELABOR
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $275,000 NELABOR
  • 2023-08-18 Listed $260,000 NELABOR

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,444 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…