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81620 Avenue 49 #243
C- Composite 54.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -4.8

$75,000

81620 Avenue 49 #243 · Indio, CA 92201
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 171 Days on market
Manufactured home likely 55+ (park) Built 1987 Fair condition 2,178 sqft lot $188/sqft · 45% below area Est $138k · 45% under $383/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the beautiful Desert Aire resort. Desert Aire is an over 55, pet free, 9 month park. Desert Aire does not permit full time residency. This park is primarily used by snow birds looking to spend the winters in our warmer climate. WOW, check out this location. !! If you are looking for a park model with lots of character and fantastic location, then this one is for you!! This park model is located on the water and offers great water views from the back patio and the beautiful pergola and seating arrangement. Inside you will find the wood paneling is warm and inviting. This park model comes fully furnished with everything you need to use as a rental property or for your own use. The love seat converts into a bed if you need an extra sleeping space for those grand kids that will want to visit. There is lots of storage space in the bedroom and hallway. All of the outdoor patio furniture, BBQ, patio heater and tools in the shed are also included.

Key facts

  • Water views
  • Pergola
  • Storage space

Tags

WATER VIEWSBACK PATIOPERGOLAFULLY FURNISHEDSTORAGE SPACEOUTDOOR PATIO FURNITURE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.1% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mountain Vista Elementary (math 11% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,329 of 1,571 statewide, top 85%, 600 students, 74% FRL); Cahuilla Desert Academy Junior High (math 18% / reading 36%, grade F, #242 of 498 statewide, top 50%, 669 students, 79% FRL); Coachella Valley High (math 18% / reading 38%, grade F, #777 of 1,170 statewide, top 67%, 2,657 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 80% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.08%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,610
List price
$75,000
Delta
-45.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 115a 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 3mo $138,000 $345 92
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 152a 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 5mo $95,000 $238 91
81620 Avenue 49 #168 0.04mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 10mo $139,000 $348 90
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 166B 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 14mo $107,500 $269 84
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 235b 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 20mo $149,000 $373 79

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-4,686
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$7,487
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
13 active
Months of supply
39.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$125,000 ($312/sqft)
Median days on market
159 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+10.1% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 92201

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
601
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,276 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$383
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,141
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $158 -5% $132 +0% $106 +5% $80 +10% $55
Rent -10% $6 -5% $56 +0% $106 +5% $157 +10% $207
Rate -1.0pp $144 -0.5pp $125 base $106 +0.5pp $87 +1.0pp $67

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
49839 Pacino St Indio, CA 1.0 300 $995 $3.32 27d 1 0.76mi

HOA detail $383/mo · $4,596/yr

Likely covers
water

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 171 DOM
  2. 2026-06-29
    days on market $75,000 Active 170 DOM
  3. 2026-06-28
    days on market $75,000 Active 169 DOM
  4. 2026-06-27
    days on market $75,000 Active 168 DOM
  5. 2026-06-26
    days on market $75,000 Active 167 DOM
  6. 2026-06-24
    days on market $75,000 Active 165 DOM
  7. 2026-06-22
    days on market $75,000 Active 163 DOM
  8. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 162 DOM
  9. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 159 DOM
  10. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 158 DOM
  11. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 157 DOM
  12. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 156 DOM
  13. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 154 DOM
  14. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 153 DOM
  15. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 150 DOM
  16. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 149 DOM
  17. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 148 DOM
  18. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 145 DOM
  19. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
  20. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 143 DOM
  21. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 142 DOM
  22. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  23. 2026-01-09
    listed $75,000 Active 964-char remark
    Show marketing remark (964 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Desert Aire resort. Desert Aire is an over 55, pet free, 9 month park. Desert Aire does not permit full time residency. This park is primarily used by snow birds looking to spend the winters in our warmer climate. WOW, check out this location. !! If you are looking for a park model with lots of character and fantastic location, then this one is for you!! This park model is located on the water and offers great water views from the back patio and the beautiful pergola and seating arrangement. Inside you will find the wood paneling is warm and inviting. This park model comes fully furnished with everything you need to use as a rental property or for your own use. The love seat converts into a bed if you need an extra sleeping space for those grand kids that will want to visit. There is lots of storage space in the bedroom and hallway. All of the outdoor patio furniture, BBQ, patio heater and tools in the shed are also included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,307
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,225
− Management
−$1,225
− HOA
−$4,596
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$91
After-tax cash flow
$1,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $2,000–$6,000 screening

This manufactured home in Desert Aire resort is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathtub and sink — Dated appearance
  • Minor Paint — Faded appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics.
  • Both Replace bathtub and sink — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 24/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Mountain Vista Elementary F CA #1,329/1,571 Nat'l #34,936/41,679 Middle Cahuilla Desert Academy Junior High F CA #242/498 Nat'l #9,793/14,009 High Coachella Valley High F CA #777/1,170 Nat'l #11,740/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coachella Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0609070
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,683
Composite
14.62/100
National rank
#9408
State rank
#481 of 517 in CA
D Composite livability gradescore 53/100

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indio, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
65,825
Household income
$66,758
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
17% of renters

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $75,000 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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