81620 Avenue 49 #243 · Indio, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the beautiful Desert Aire resort. Desert Aire is an over 55, pet free, 9 month park. Desert Aire does not permit full time residency. This park is primarily used by snow birds looking to spend the winters in our warmer climate. WOW, check out this location. !! If you are looking for a park model with lots of character and fantastic location, then this one is for you!! This park model is located on the water and offers great water views from the back patio and the beautiful pergola and seating arrangement. Inside you will find the wood paneling is warm and inviting. This park model comes fully furnished with everything you need to use as a rental property or for your own use. The love seat converts into a bed if you need an extra sleeping space for those grand kids that will want to visit. There is lots of storage space in the bedroom and hallway. All of the outdoor patio furniture, BBQ, patio heater and tools in the shed are also included.
Key facts
- Water views
- Pergola
- Storage space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.34%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,944
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -45.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81620 Avenue 49 Unit 115a | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 2mo | $138,000 | $345 | 94 |
| 81620 Avenue 49 Unit 152a | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $238 | 92 |
| 81620 Avenue 49 #168 | 0.04mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 8mo | $139,000 | $348 | 91 |
| 81620 Avenue 49 Unit 166B | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 12mo | $107,500 | $269 | 85 |
| 81620 Avenue 49 Unit 235b | 0.11mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 18mo | $149,000 | $373 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $10,203
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $39,923
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92201
- Home prices YoY
- -28.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 514
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,569 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$383
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49839 Pacino St Indio, CA | — | 1.0 | 300 | $1,095 | $3.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $383 · $4,596/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $75,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-01-09$75,000 Active 964-char remark
Show marketing remark (964 chars)
Located in the beautiful Desert Aire resort. Desert Aire is an over 55, pet free, 9 month park. Desert Aire does not permit full time residency. This park is primarily used by snow birds looking to spend the winters in our warmer climate. WOW, check out this location. !! If you are looking for a park model with lots of character and fantastic location, then this one is for you!! This park model is located on the water and offers great water views from the back patio and the beautiful pergola and seating arrangement. Inside you will find the wood paneling is warm and inviting. This park model comes fully furnished with everything you need to use as a rental property or for your own use. The love seat converts into a bed if you need an extra sleeping space for those grand kids that will want to visit. There is lots of storage space in the bedroom and hallway. All of the outdoor patio furniture, BBQ, patio heater and tools in the shed are also included.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,507
- − Management
- −$1,507
- − HOA
- −$4,596
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $3,340
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$802
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,260/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home in Desert Aire resort is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathtub and sink — Dated appearance
- Minor Paint — Faded appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics.
- Both Replace bathtub and sink — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathtub and sink · Dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint · Faded appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace bathtub and sink — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coachella Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609070
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,683
- Composite
- 14.62/100
- National rank
- #9408
- State rank
- #481 of 517 in CA
Livability — Indio
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #927
- US rank
- #24244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indio, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 100,560
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,825
- Household income
- $66,758
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2036.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.46%
- Current HPI
- 348.6605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.34%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-09 Listed $75,000 GPSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…