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81620 Avenue 49 #243
B Composite 74.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

81620 Avenue 49 #243 · Indio, CA 92201
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 159 Days on market
Built 1987 Fair condition 2,178 sqft lot $188/sqft · 45% below area Est $137k · 45% under $383/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the beautiful Desert Aire resort. Desert Aire is an over 55, pet free, 9 month park. Desert Aire does not permit full time residency. This park is primarily used by snow birds looking to spend the winters in our warmer climate. WOW, check out this location. !! If you are looking for a park model with lots of character and fantastic location, then this one is for you!! This park model is located on the water and offers great water views from the back patio and the beautiful pergola and seating arrangement. Inside you will find the wood paneling is warm and inviting. This park model comes fully furnished with everything you need to use as a rental property or for your own use. The love seat converts into a bed if you need an extra sleeping space for those grand kids that will want to visit. There is lots of storage space in the bedroom and hallway. All of the outdoor patio furniture, BBQ, patio heater and tools in the shed are also included.

Key facts

  • Water views
  • Pergola
  • Storage space

Tags

WATER VIEWSBACK PATIOPERGOLAFULLY FURNISHEDSTORAGE SPACEOUTDOOR PATIO FURNITURE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.3% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Coachella Valley Unified (rural): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #481 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
11.71%
Cash-on-cash
19.34%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,944
List price
$75,000
Delta
-45.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 115a 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 2mo $138,000 $345 94
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 152a 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 4mo $95,000 $238 92
81620 Avenue 49 #168 0.04mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 8mo $139,000 $348 91
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 166B 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 12mo $107,500 $269 85
81620 Avenue 49 Unit 235b 0.11mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 18mo $149,000 $373 80

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$10,203
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$39,923
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92201

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
514
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,569 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$383
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,141
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
49839 Pacino St Indio, CA 1.0 300 $1,095 $3.65 24d 1 0.76mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$383 · $4,596/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 159 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 158 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 157 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 156 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 154 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 148 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 143 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 142 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  15. 2026-01-09
    listed $75,000 Active 964-char remark
    Show marketing remark (964 chars)

    Located in the beautiful Desert Aire resort. Desert Aire is an over 55, pet free, 9 month park. Desert Aire does not permit full time residency. This park is primarily used by snow birds looking to spend the winters in our warmer climate. WOW, check out this location. !! If you are looking for a park model with lots of character and fantastic location, then this one is for you!! This park model is located on the water and offers great water views from the back patio and the beautiful pergola and seating arrangement. Inside you will find the wood paneling is warm and inviting. This park model comes fully furnished with everything you need to use as a rental property or for your own use. The love seat converts into a bed if you need an extra sleeping space for those grand kids that will want to visit. There is lots of storage space in the bedroom and hallway. All of the outdoor patio furniture, BBQ, patio heater and tools in the shed are also included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,832
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,125
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,507
− Management
−$1,507
− HOA
−$4,596
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,340
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$802
After-tax cash flow
$3,260/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home in Desert Aire resort is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathtub and sink — Dated appearance
  • Minor Paint — Faded appearance

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics.
  • Both Replace bathtub and sink — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Bathtub and sink · Dated appearance Minor $500–3,000
Paint · Faded appearance Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $1,500–9,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics.
  • Both Replace bathtub and sink — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coachella Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0609070
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,683
Composite
14.62/100
National rank
#9408
State rank
#481 of 517 in CA

Livability — Indio

Score
53/100
State rank
#927
US rank
#24244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Indio, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
100,560
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
65,825
Household income
$66,758
Rent vs Own
42.3% rent · 57.7% own
Severe rent burden
2036.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 74% Two or more races 39% White 19% Black 3% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 69%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
41% English-only · Spanish 55% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.46%
Current HPI
348.6605
Rent YoY
▲ 3.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $75,000 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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