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559 N Cumberland St
B+ Composite 75.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,000

559 N Cumberland St · Jackson, TN 38301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,147 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 233 Days on market
Built 1925 3,484 sqft lot Est $85k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!!

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 232 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: $298 annual tax amount

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered parking reported; No parking spaces reported
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot about 0.08 acres (40 x 85) — calculated from plat

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Kitchen approx. 15x12
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level) — approx. 12x11, 12x11, 13x10
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No basement; Wood flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Has heating and cooling

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $973 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 32.8% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alexander Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #848 of 952 statewide, top 91%, 385 students, 0% FRL); South Side High School (math 10% / reading 15%, grade F, #257 of 332 statewide, top 78%, 810 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 233 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $47k implies a 1243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $41,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 233 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.58%
Cap rate
32.84%
Cash-on-cash
94.83%
DSCR
5.22
GRM
2.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,878
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
124 Hale St 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,180 (+3%) 11mo $176,000 $149 76
258 Oak St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-2%) 1mo $55,000 $49 73
124 Conger St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,272 (+11%) 5mo $38,500 $30 71
122 Walsh St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,224 (+7%) 10mo $177,000 $145 57
201 N Hays Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,190 (+4%) 8mo $56,000 $47 57
449 N Hays Ave 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,058 (-8%) 18mo $40,000 $38 50
668 N Hays Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+5%) 19mo $185,000 $154 50
223 W Grand St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,268 (+10%) 13mo $164,900 $130 47
222 Park Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,082 (-6%) 21mo $80,500 $74 43
431 Arlington Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,297 (+13%) 2mo $182,500 $141 42
309 Martha St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,226 (+7%) 15mo $82,000 $67 37
316 Lexington Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,272 (+11%) 20mo $32,000 $25 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
91.9%
Equity multiple
5.42×
Total profit
$58,223
Equity at exit
$7,008
10-year hold
IRR
95.3%
Equity multiple
12.17×
Total profit
$146,998
Equity at exit
$4,064

Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 38301

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
254
Price-to-rent
2.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,685 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $298/yr
Insurance
$20
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$973

Break-even live

Break-even rent $452
Max offer price $47,000
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,000 -5% $987 +0% $973 +5% $960 +10% $947
Rent -10% $840 -5% $907 +0% $973 +5% $1,040 +10% $1,107
Rate -1.0pp $997 -0.5pp $985 base $973 +0.5pp $961 +1.0pp $949

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,750
Closing costs
$1,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
102 Jackson Walk Plz Jackson, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1082 $2,600 $2.40 44d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $47,000 Active 233 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $47,000 Active 231 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,000 Active 230 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,000 Active 229 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,000 Active 228 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,000 Active 227 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $47,000 Active 225 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,000 Active 224 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $47,000 Active 222 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,000 Active 221 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,000 Active 220 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,000 Active 219 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $47,000 Active 216 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $47,000 Active 215 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,000 Active 214 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $47,000 Active 213 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,000 Active 212 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $47,000 Active 211 DOM
  19. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!!

  20. 2026-05-02
    status Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!!

  21. 2026-04-25
    historical 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!!

  22. 2026-04-22
    status Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!!

  23. 2026-01-05
    status Pending 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!!

  24. 2025-10-31
    listed $47,000 Active
  25. 2025-10-24
    listed $47,000 Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!! This 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home sits on a corner Lot!! The Home Features Hardwood Flooring, Large Rooms, Updated Electrical Wiring and a Large Kitchen!! This is the Perfect Investment Property!! Its Minutes from Downtown Jackson and North Jackson!!

  26. 2019-08-23
    soldstatus $3,500
  27. 2019-07-30
    listed $3,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$298 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$334 · $28/mo
Expected delta
+$36/yr (+$3/mo · 12.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,215
− Mortgage interest
−$2,633
− Property taxes
−$298
− Insurance
−$1,032
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,617
− Management
−$1,617
− Depreciation
−$1,367
Taxable income
$11,650
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,796
After-tax cash flow
$8,886/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
4702580
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,015
Composite
11.74/100
National rank
#9687
State rank
#131 of 139 in TN

Livability — Jackson

Score
62/100
State rank
#216
US rank
#16488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, TN
County
Madison County · 87,024 people
City population
87,024
Metro
Jackson, TN
Population (ZIP)
33,536
Household income
$43,227
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
1701.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,952 people
By 2030
94,264 · -1.8%
By 2040
89,607 · -6.6%
By 2050
84,133 · -12.3%
By 2075
72,215 · -24.7%
By 2100
62,062 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.26%
Current HPI
162.2273
Rent YoY
▲ 5.19%
Metro
Jackson, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1242.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending CWTAR
  • 2026-05-02 Relisted CWTAR
  • 2026-04-25 Delisted CWTAR
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted CWTAR
  • 2026-01-05 Pending CWTAR
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $47,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $47,000 CWTAR
  • 2019-08-23 Sold (MLS) $3,500 CWTAR
  • 2019-07-30 Listed $3,500 CWTAR

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $298 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…