🏗️ New Construction
Daphne 3-Story 2-Car Garage Plan · Castle Hayne, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This three-story townhome includes three bedrooms, two full bathrooms, two half bathrooms, and a two-car garage. The porch and garage entrances lead to a half bathroom and flex space, which can be converted into an office or guest bedroom with a full bathroom. The garage entrance offers an optional bench and cubbies or organizational cabinet. The first flight of stairs leads to the open concept great room with optional deck access, a fireplace, and built-ins, which flows directly into the kitchen and eat-in area. A powder room completes the second floor. The third floor includes the primary suite with a walk-in closet and an optional boxed ceiling and dual vanities.
Key facts
- Dual vanities
- Walk-in closet
- Laundry closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $276k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-395 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (4.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $251k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#335 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- New Hanover County Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #61 of 178 in NC (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Castle Hayne Elementary (math 47% / reading 53%, grade D+, #409 of 1,410 statewide, top 29%, 459 students, 99% FRL); Holly Shelter Middle (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #209 of 475 statewide, top 45%, 858 students, 100% FRL); Emsley A Laney High (math 62% / reading 63%, grade B-, #179 of 535 statewide, top 34%, 2,220 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 42% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 263 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,581 units permitted in New Hanover County in 2024 (1,185 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Hanover County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.72%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $358,953
- List price
- $275,990
- Delta
- -23.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4333 Rough Stalk Ln Lot 295 | 1.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (-1%) | 1mo | $418,990 | $236 | 55 |
| 4314 Rough Stalk Ln Lot 308 | 1.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,774 (-1%) | 3mo | $401,490 | $226 | 54 |
| 1218 Saint Augustine Dr | 0.98mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,803 (+1%) | 5mo | $359,000 | $199 | 53 |
| 6220 Centipede Pl | 0.90mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,810 (+1%) | 5mo | $395,000 | $218 | 52 |
| 6201 Centipede Pl Lot 163 | 0.85mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,811 (+1%) | 5mo | $375,000 | $207 | 52 |
| 1121 Saint Augustine Dr Lot 37 | 0.76mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,896 (+6%) | 0mo | $369,000 | $195 | 50 |
| 4334 Rough Stalk Ln Lot 313 | 1.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (-10%) | 3mo | $392,490 | $243 | 44 |
| 2238 Emerald Ave Lot 242 | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (-10%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $213 | 43 |
| 2206 Emerald Ave | 0.95mi | 3/2.0 | 1,653 (-8%) | 9mo | $350,000 | $212 | 42 |
| 1221 Saint Augustine Dr | 0.99mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (-10%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $213 | 40 |
| 2173 Emerald Ave | 0.91mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,987 (+11%) | 5mo | $365,000 | $184 | 38 |
| 5813 Sidbury Rd | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,558 (-13%) | 10mo | $395,000 | $254 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-83,309
- Equity at exit
- $53,521
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-104,810
- Equity at exit
- $31,036
Cash invested: $100,507 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 21.6 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $369,990 ($210/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 104 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 28429
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,640 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,882
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$449 /mo · $5,384/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$554
- Net cashflow
- $-395
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-147 | -5% $-271 | +0% $-395 | +5% $-519 | +10% $-643 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-604 | -5% $-500 | +0% $-395 | +5% $-291 | +10% $-187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-215 | -0.5pp $-304 | base $-395 | +0.5pp $-488 | +1.0pp $-583 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,738
- Closing costs
- $10,769
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5300 Sidbury Rd Castle Hayne, NC | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2074 | $2,714 | $1.31 | 0d | 7 | 0.12mi |
| 4605 Sidbury Crossing Dr Castle Hayne, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1031 | $2,041 | $1.98 | 0d | 76 | 0.29mi |
| 6105 Dichondra Dr Castle Hayne, NC | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2064 | $2,301 | $1.11 | 0d | 9 | 0.70mi |
| 4413 Cohan Cir Wilmington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 979 | $1,736 | $1.77 | 0d | 12 | 1.18mi |
| 4348 Majesty Dr Unit 362 Castle Hayne, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1948 | $2,400 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4339 Majesty Dr Castle Hayne, NC | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1554 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address marketed as Daphne 3-Story 2-Car Garage Plan, Castle Hayne, NC 28429Inventory type: Plan (new construction)
- Financial info
- List price $275,990
Exterior
- Parking
- 2-car garage (per plan)
- Home design
- 3-story designDaphne 3-Story 2-Car Garage plan
- Exterior features
- Living area of 1792
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features
- Plan home — details per builder's Daphne 3-Story design
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $275,990 Active 115 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $275,990 Active 114 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $275,990 Active 113 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $275,990 Active 112 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $275,990 Active 111 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $275,990 Active 110 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $275,990 Active 109 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $275,990 Active 108 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $275,990 Active 107 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $275,990 Active 106 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $275,990 Active 105 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $275,990 Active 104 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $275,990 Active 103 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $275,990 Active 102 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $275,990 Active 96 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $275,990 Active 95 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $275,990 Active 94 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $275,990 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-30days on market $275,990 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $275,990 Active 89 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $275,990 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $275,990 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $275,990 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $275,990 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $275,990 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $275,990 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $275,990 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $275,990 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $275,990 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $275,990 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $275,990 Active 77 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $275,990 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $275,990 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $275,990 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $275,990 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $275,990 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $275,990 Active 71 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $275,990 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $275,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $275,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $275,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $275,990 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $275,990 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $275,990 Active 64 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $275,990 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $275,990 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $275,990 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $275,990 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $275,990 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $275,990 Active 54 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,675
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,107
- − Property taxes
- −$5,384
- − Insurance
- −$1,795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,534
- − Management
- −$2,534
- − Depreciation
- −$10,442
- Taxable loss
- −$11,122
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,669
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,076/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This three-story townhome is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and has the potential to be further enhanced with minor updates to increase its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the overall appearance and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Fresh flooring can improve the look and feel of the home, making it more appealing to buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both New kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances can make the home more appealing to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both New bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathroom fixtures can make the home more appealing to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both New HVAC system — A new HVAC system can improve the comfort and energy efficiency of the home, making it more appealing to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Hanover County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703330
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,406
- Composite
- 43.13/100
- National rank
- #3081
- State rank
- #61 of 178 in NC
Livability — Castle Hayne
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #335
- US rank
- #13604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New Hanover County · 259,517 people
- City population
- 9,662
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,662
- Household income
- $72,337
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (New Hanover County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,517 people
- By 2030
- 279,586 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 318,223 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 354,831 · +36.7%
- By 2075
- 437,158 · +68.5%
- By 2100
- 486,769 · +87.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Hanover
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+4.1 2012: R+4.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.39%
- Current HPI
- 220.4084
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Wilmington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…