505 E Ave · Rock Rapids, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- Built 2013
- Listed 309 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-486/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (4.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (16.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $100k (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.4% in Rock Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#41 in IA, #1,035 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Central Lyon Community School District (rural): math 79% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #25 of 289 in IA (top 9%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Lyon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.45%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,469
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -42.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809 S Tama St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,924 (-5%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $120 | 57 |
| 1002 S Tama | 0.67mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 2,044 (+1%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 211 S Tama St | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 | 1,992 (-1%) | 17mo | $215,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 1009 S Tama St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,166 (+7%) | 2mo | $243,000 | $112 | 47 |
| 1006 S Marshall St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,159 (+7%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $109 | 44 |
| 404 S Tama St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,832 (-9%) | 21mo | $162,000 | $88 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-22,012
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-22,430
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51246
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $998 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$210
- Net cashflow
- $-41
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $42 | -5% $1 | +0% $-41 | +5% $-82 | +10% $-123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-119 | -5% $-80 | +0% $-41 | +5% $-1 | +10% $38 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $20 | -0.5pp $-10 | base $-41 | +0.5pp $-72 | +1.0pp $-103 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2025-08-15$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,981
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$958
- − Management
- −$958
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$2,549
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$612
- After-tax cash flow
- $125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
The home requires moderate repairs to the exterior siding and some landscaping, with both resale and rental value improvements possible through these updates.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant weathering and discoloration
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal
- Rental landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping attracts tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant weathering and discoloration | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping attracts tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Lyon Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1906960
- Math proficiency
- 79% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,612
- Composite
- 69.14/100
- National rank
- #320
- State rank
- #25 of 289 in IA
Livability — Rock Rapids
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #1035
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rock Rapids, IA
- City population
- 4,075
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,075
Population outlook (Lyon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,776 people
- By 2030
- 11,706 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 11,654 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 11,573 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 11,046 · -6.2%
- By 2100
- 9,712 · -17.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 32% Portuguese 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Lyon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.8) · D 14.7% · R 84.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -69.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.8 2020: R+67.6 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+45.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.98%
- Current HPI
- 193.8893
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-15 Listed $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…