159 Stewart Ave · Hempstead, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-bedroom, 1-bath home being sold as a short sale, subject to bank approval. Property is in need of a full renovation—upper level is down to the studs and subfloor, and the basement remains unfinished. Due to its current condition, the home is not mortgageable and will require a cash purchase or alternative financing. Ideal opportunity for investors, builders, or buyers looking to complete a custom project. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Custom project
- Full renovation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $350k).
- Recommended offer: $329k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.1% in Hempstead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#123 in NY, #2,002 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, schools D, cost of living F.
- Hempstead Union Free School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #567 of 590 in NY (top 96%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,080/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 2535% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.68%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $682,207
- List price
- $349,999
- Delta
- -48.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Boylston St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,240 (+3%) | 1mo | $1,251,000 | $1,009 | 78 |
| 144 Cornell St | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,159 (-4%) | 5mo | $605,000 | $522 | 77 |
| 133 Wellington St | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,156 (-4%) | 2mo | $660,000 | $571 | 77 |
| 53 James L L Burrell Ave | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 7mo | $695,000 | $579 | 76 |
| 153 Meadow St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,240 (+3%) | 7mo | $965,000 | $778 | 74 |
| 69 Harriet Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-9%) | 3mo | $635,000 | $577 | 65 |
| 93 Vermont Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (+10%) | 5mo | $655,000 | $490 | 60 |
| 305 Warren St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,125 (-7%) | 6mo | $670,000 | $596 | 53 |
| 299 Warren St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+4%) | 7mo | $670,000 | $532 | 51 |
| 95 Rhodes Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,367 (+13%) | 1mo | $737,000 | $539 | 49 |
| 227 Warren St | 0.57mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+4%) | 6mo | $711,000 | $564 | 48 |
| 23 Elizabeth Ct | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (+13%) | 7mo | $665,000 | $488 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-16,619
- Equity at exit
- $52,186
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $37,634
- Equity at exit
- $30,262
Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11550
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,080 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$615 /mo · $7,385/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$857
- Net cashflow
- $627
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $825 | -5% $726 | +0% $627 | +5% $528 | +10% $429 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $305 | -5% $466 | +0% $627 | +5% $788 | +10% $949 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $803 | -0.5pp $716 | base $627 | +0.5pp $536 | +1.0pp $444 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,500
- Closing costs
- $10,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Wellington St Hempstead, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $4,300 | $4.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 21 Union Ave Hempstead, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1342 | $5,700 | $4.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2 Vanata Ct Hempstead, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $3,800 | $3.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 31-33 Burr Ave Hempstead, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,500 | $5.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 343 Jackson St Unit 1 Hempstead, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,300 | $3.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 343 Jackson St Unit 3 Hempstead, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,300 | $3.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 303 Main St Hempstead, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $4,326 | $4.20 | 2d | 7 | 0.58mi |
| 20 Ingraham Ln Hempstead, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,150 | $3.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 539 Front St Hempstead, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $3,200 | $3.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 20 Wendell St Apt 11A Hempstead, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,950 | $3.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 365 Stewart Ave Garden City, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $4,985 | $4.82 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 44 Hilton Ave Unit A3 Garden City, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $2,954 | $2.57 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 44 Hilton Ave Unit C2 Garden City, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1345 | $2,750 | $2.04 | 11d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 12 Elm Ave Unit 1 Hempstead, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $3,500 | $3.61 | 19d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 523 Hawthorne Ave Uniondale, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1328 | $3,300 | $2.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 291 Uniondale Ave Uniondale, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $349,999 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $349,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $349,999 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $349,999 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $349,999 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $349,999 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $349,999 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $349,999 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,999 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $349,999 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $349,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $349,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-27$349,999 Active 428-char remark
Show marketing remark (428 chars)
3-bedroom, 1-bath home being sold as a short sale, subject to bank approval. Property is in need of a full renovation—upper level is down to the studs and subfloor, and the basement remains unfinished. Due to its current condition, the home is not mortgageable and will require a cash purchase or alternative financing. Ideal opportunity for investors, builders, or buyers looking to complete a custom project. Sold as-is.
-
2004-10-29soldstatus $315,000
-
2004-06-18soldstatus $201,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,385 · $615/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,385 · $615/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,605
- − Property taxes
- −$7,385
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,917
- − Management
- −$3,917
- − Depreciation
- −$10,182
- Taxable income
- $2,209
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$530
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hempstead Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3614130
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,774
- Composite
- 28.12/100
- National rank
- #6821
- State rank
- #567 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hempstead
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #2002
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hempstead, NY
- County
- Nassau County · 653,051 people
- City population
- 60,960
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,960
- Household income
- $92,677
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2535.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% Black 43% Two or more races 14% White 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 40% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -297.72%
- Current HPI
- 339.055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+73.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $349,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $201,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2024): $7,385 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…