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14949 Coyle St
F Composite 34.77
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

14949 Coyle St · Detroit, MI 48227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1939 7,841 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for extra space and added value? This 3-bedroom, 1 full bath, 2 half bath brick home delivers both! Featuring generous living space, spacious bedrooms, and a layout designed for comfortable living, this home is ready for its next owner. The adjacent side lot will be quitclaimed to the buyer with the purchase of the property, giving you additional outdoor space and endless possibilities. Whether you're looking to call it home or add to your investment portfolio, this is an opportunity you don't want to miss. 72 HOURS NOTICE!!! Schedule your showing today! BATVAI!!!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1939

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 131.77 (0.18 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (15.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Burns Elementarymiddle School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 382 students, 93% FRL); Cody High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 466 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 90% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $3k; list at $135k implies a 4182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,615 (15.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.66%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$61,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15328 Prest St E 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,298 (-1%) 3mo $66,999 $52 80
14644 Hubbell St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-5%) 2mo $45,000 $36 75
14736 Mansfield St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,318 (+0%) 0mo $62,000 $47 73
14232 Lauder St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,272 (-3%) 2mo $60,000 $47 67
15868 Whitcomb St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,332 (+2%) 2mo $95,000 $71 66
15771 Rutherford St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,289 (-2%) 1mo $55,106 $43 62
15727 Mansfield St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,300 (-1%) 3mo $55,000 $42 59
15748 Freeland St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,243 (-5%) 4mo $78,000 $63 56
15316 Prevost St NE 0.49mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,193 (-9%) 2mo $157,000 $132 54
14400 Hubbell St 0.46mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,444 (+10%) 4mo $108,000 $75 51
15763 Robson St 0.54mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,485 (+13%) 3mo $58,500 $39 44
14321 Ardmore St 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (-10%) 2mo $11,000 $9 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-25,480
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-15,487
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
392
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,338 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$409 /mo · $4,902/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$-115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,484
Max offer price $114,615
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-39 -5% $-77 +0% $-115 +5% $-154 +10% $-192
Rent -10% $-221 -5% $-168 +0% $-115 +5% $-63 +10% $-10
Rate -1.0pp $-47 -0.5pp $-81 base $-115 +0.5pp $-150 +1.0pp $-186

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 45d 1 0.13mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 16d 1 0.20mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 14d 1 0.23mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 26d 1 0.23mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 26d 1 0.23mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 19d 1 0.23mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1080 $1,475 $1.37 18d 1 0.27mi
15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 45d 1 0.38mi
14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1033 $1,150 $1.11 22d 1 0.40mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 45d 1 0.40mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 45d 1 0.41mi
14615 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1217 $1,300 $1.07 18d 1 0.42mi
14580 Forrer St Unit Unit Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1300 $900 $0.69 21d 1 0.45mi
14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1104 $950 $0.86 45d 1 0.51mi
14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 0.51mi
16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 45d 1 0.53mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 4d 1 0.55mi
15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 907 $1,300 $1.43 18d 1 0.55mi
15810 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1142 $1,500 $1.31 26d 1 0.58mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 6d 1 0.64mi
15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 18d 1 0.65mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 18d 1 0.66mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 6d 1 0.67mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 14d 1 0.67mi
14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1362 $1,473 $1.08 45d 1 0.68mi
14903 Tracey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1004 $1,100 $1.10 18d 1 0.70mi
15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1174 $1,386 $1.18 6d 1 0.70mi
15387 Lesure St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,350 $1.27 14d 1 0.71mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 18d 1 0.74mi
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,525 $1.17 16d 1 0.74mi
14535 Mettetal St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 45d 1 0.75mi
14800 Woodmont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1612 $1,525 $0.95 16d 1 0.75mi
15517 Lesure St Unit BDRM1A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 26d 1 0.78mi
14510 Asbury Park Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1771 $1,250 $0.71 45d 1 0.78mi
14891 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 0.81mi
15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,425 $1.08 26d 1 0.84mi
15340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 18d 1 0.87mi
15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 45d 1 0.92mi
15736 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 0.95mi
15088 Littlefield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1294 $1,275 $0.99 23d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 578-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 104-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Looking for extra space and added value? This 3-bedroom, 1 full bath, 2 half bath brick home delivers both! Featuring generous living space, spacious bedrooms, and a layout designed for comfortable living, this home is ready for its next owner. The adjacent side lot will be quitclaimed to the buyer with the purchase of the property, giving you additional outdoor space and endless possibilities. Whether you're looking to call it home or add to your investment portfolio, this is an opportunity you don't want to miss. 72 HOURS NOTICE!!! Schedule your showing today! BATVAI!!!

  6. 2026-06-15
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Looking for extra space and added value? This 3-bedroom, 1 full bath, 2 half bath brick home delivers both! Featuring generous living space, spacious bedrooms, and a layout designed for comfortable living, this home is ready for its next owner. The adjacent side lot will be quitclaimed to the buyer with the purchase of the property, giving you additional outdoor space and endless possibilities. Whether you're looking to call it home or add to your investment portfolio, this is an opportunity you don't want to miss. 72 HOURS NOTICE!!! Schedule your showing today! BATVAI!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,902 · $409/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,902 · $409/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,061
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$4,902
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$3,576
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$858
After-tax cash flow
$-527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6650.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $135,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $135,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-05-07 Sold (MLS) $3,153 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-05-07 Sold (MLS) $3,153 REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-13 Listed $2,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-13 Listed $2,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+27.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,902 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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