1205 Wilmuth St · Bogalusa, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in Bogalusa. This move-in ready property has been completely updated with a new roof, HVAC system, electrical, and plumbing, offering peace of mind for years to come. The home features a functional layout with ample natural light throughout. The primary suite includes a built-in vanity, adding both style and convenience. Each bedroom is well-sized, making this home desirable for a variety of living arrangements. The large corner lot provides excellent curb appeal and outdoor space for entertaining or future enhancements. Don't miss this opportunity to own a fully updated home at an affordable price. Schedule your private showing today. Owner is licensed real estate agent in the State of Louisiana.
Key facts
- Plumbing
- Natural light
- Electrical
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 6.0% in Bogalusa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#273 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- City Of Bogalusa School District (town): math 4% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #96 of 98 in LA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.19%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,032
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- 96.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1304 Victoria St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,435 (+2%) | 3mo | $136,999 | $95 | 81 |
| 1309 Catherine St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (+10%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $91 | 64 |
| 907 Saint John St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 22mo | $25,000 | $17 | 63 |
| 1137 Pearl St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,443 (+3%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 911 Saint John St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-11%) | 14mo | $17,500 | $14 | 48 |
| 508 Caston Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,482 (+6%) | 13mo | $35,000 | $24 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $635
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $35,590
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70427
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,779 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $489/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $431
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $169,000 785-char remark
Show marketing remark (791 chars)
Beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in Bogalusa. This move-in ready property has been completely updated with a new roof, HVAC system, electrical, and plumbing, offering peace of mind for years to come. The home features a functional layout with ample natural light throughout. The primary suite includes a built-in vanity, adding both style and convenience. Each bedroom is well-sized, making this home desirable for a variety of living arrangements. The large corner lot provides excellent curb appeal and outdoor space for entertaining or future enhancements. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a fully updated home at an affordable price. Schedule your private showing today. Owner is licensed real estate agent in the State of Louisiana.
-
2026-05-17price $169,000 791-char remark
Show marketing remark (791 chars)
Beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in Bogalusa. This move-in ready property has been completely updated with a new roof, HVAC system, electrical, and plumbing, offering peace of mind for years to come. The home features a functional layout with ample natural light throughout. The primary suite includes a built-in vanity, adding both style and convenience. Each bedroom is well-sized, making this home desirable for a variety of living arrangements. The large corner lot provides excellent curb appeal and outdoor space for entertaining or future enhancements. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a fully updated home at an affordable price. Schedule your private showing today. Owner is licensed real estate agent in the State of Louisiana.
-
2026-04-17$175,000 Active 785-char remark
Show marketing remark (791 chars)
Beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in Bogalusa. This move-in ready property has been completely updated with a new roof, HVAC system, electrical, and plumbing, offering peace of mind for years to come. The home features a functional layout with ample natural light throughout. The primary suite includes a built-in vanity, adding both style and convenience. Each bedroom is well-sized, making this home desirable for a variety of living arrangements. The large corner lot provides excellent curb appeal and outdoor space for entertaining or future enhancements. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a fully updated home at an affordable price. Schedule your private showing today. Owner is licensed real estate agent in the State of Louisiana.
-
2026-04-17$175,000 Active 791-char remark
Show marketing remark (791 chars)
Beautifully renovated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a spacious corner lot in Bogalusa. This move-in ready property has been completely updated with a new roof, HVAC system, electrical, and plumbing, offering peace of mind for years to come. The home features a functional layout with ample natural light throughout. The primary suite includes a built-in vanity, adding both style and convenience. Each bedroom is well-sized, making this home desirable for a variety of living arrangements. The large corner lot provides excellent curb appeal and outdoor space for entertaining or future enhancements. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a fully updated home at an affordable price. Schedule your private showing today. Owner is licensed real estate agent in the State of Louisiana.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $489 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $908 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$419/yr (+$35/mo · 85.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,352
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$489
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,708
- − Management
- −$1,708
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $2,580
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$619
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,552/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- City Of Bogalusa School District
- NCES district ID
- 2200240
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -36.00%
- Median HH income
- $26,185
- Composite
- 6.48/100
- National rank
- #9994
- State rank
- #96 of 98 in LA
Livability — Bogalusa
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #19955
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bogalusa, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,564
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,642 people
- By 2030
- 43,302 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 40,345 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 37,434 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 29,954 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 21,579 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 29.3% · R 69.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+32.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.26%
- Current HPI
- 112.358
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-3.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $169,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $169,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-17 Listed $175,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-17 Listed $175,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $489 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…