CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
617 S Pacific St
B- Composite 66.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

617 S Pacific St · Cape Girardeau, MO 63703
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,283 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1900 7,492 sqft lot $33/sqft · 16% above area Est $72k · at est. ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you’ve been looking for a home with good bones and the opportunity to build equity, this is it. This charming home features original hardwood floors, classic trim, a newer roof, and timeless details you don’t see anymore. From the arched openings to the spacious layout, there’s a strong foundation here to make it your own. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet storage and the space to create something truly special. Upstairs provides extra flexibility for a bedroom, office, or creative space, plus a large floored attic that’s currently unfinished and ready for future expansion. Outside, you’ll find a covered front porch, private drive with a carport, and a manageable yard. The unfinished basement offers additional space for storage and utilities.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Arched openings
  • Large floored attic

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSNEWER ROOFARCHED OPENINGSSPACIOUS LAYOUTPLENTY OF CABINET STORAGELARGE FLOORED ATTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $553 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 3.9% in Cape Girardeau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#297 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Cape Girardeau 63 (urban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #188 of 324 in MO (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 81 units permitted in Cape Girardeau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cape Girardeau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
15.14%
Cash-on-cash
31.58%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,815
List price
$75,000
Delta
4.43%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
617 S Pacific St 0.00mi 3/1.0 2,529 (+11%) 1mo $75,000 $30 81
1506 Jefferson Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 2,320 (+2%) 3mo $219,000 $94 67
1317 Bloomfield St 0.43mi 3/1.0 2,174 (-5%) 6mo $139,000 $64 67
718 Morgan Oak St 0.29mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,152 (-6%) 4mo $99,900 $46 66
622 S Park Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 2,112 (-8%) 10mo $109,900 $52 65
1210 S Sprigg St 0.54mi 3/1.5 2,352 (+3%) 12mo $80,000 $34 58
1219 Merriwether St 0.62mi 3/2.5 2,201 (-4%) 6mo $120,000 $55 54
229 S West End Blvd 0.53mi 3/2.5 2,488 (+9%) 2mo $195,000 $78 53
1610 Bloomfield Rd 0.63mi 3/1.5 2,424 (+6%) 8mo $199,900 $82 52
1819 College St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 2,340 (+2%) 9mo $134,900 $58 49
1425 Cousin St 0.45mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,138 (-6%) 15mo $50,000 $23 47
1201 Good Hope St 0.43mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,940 (-15%) 15mo $35,000 $18 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$23,030
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
4.11×
Total profit
$65,300
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63703

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,273 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $343/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$553

Break-even live

Break-even rent $574
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 789-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    If you’ve been looking for a home with good bones and the opportunity to build equity, this is it. This charming home features original hardwood floors, classic trim, a newer roof, and timeless details you don’t see anymore. From the arched openings to the spacious layout, there’s a strong foundation here to make it your own. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet storage and the space to create something truly special. Upstairs provides extra flexibility for a bedroom, office, or creative space, plus a large floored attic that’s currently unfinished and ready for future expansion. Outside, you’ll find a covered front porch, private drive with a carport, and a manageable yard. The unfinished basement offers additional space for storage and utilities.

  2. 2026-05-01
    price $75,000 789-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    If you’ve been looking for a home with good bones and the opportunity to build equity, this is it. This charming home features original hardwood floors, classic trim, a newer roof, and timeless details you don’t see anymore. From the arched openings to the spacious layout, there’s a strong foundation here to make it your own. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet storage and the space to create something truly special. Upstairs provides extra flexibility for a bedroom, office, or creative space, plus a large floored attic that’s currently unfinished and ready for future expansion. Outside, you’ll find a covered front porch, private drive with a carport, and a manageable yard. The unfinished basement offers additional space for storage and utilities.

  3. 2026-04-06
    listed $80,000 Active 789-char remark
    Show marketing remark (789 chars)

    If you’ve been looking for a home with good bones and the opportunity to build equity, this is it. This charming home features original hardwood floors, classic trim, a newer roof, and timeless details you don’t see anymore. From the arched openings to the spacious layout, there’s a strong foundation here to make it your own. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet storage and the space to create something truly special. Upstairs provides extra flexibility for a bedroom, office, or creative space, plus a large floored attic that’s currently unfinished and ready for future expansion. Outside, you’ll find a covered front porch, private drive with a carport, and a manageable yard. The unfinished basement offers additional space for storage and utilities.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$343 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$728 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$384/yr (+$32/mo · 112.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,279
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$343
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,222
− Management
−$1,222
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,733
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,376
After-tax cash flow
$5,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cape Girardeau 63
NCES district ID
2907120
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,543
Composite
31.49/100
National rank
#5974
State rank
#188 of 324 in MO

Livability — Cape Girardeau

Score
64/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#13759

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cape Girardeau, MO
County
Cape Girardeau County · 75,175 people
City population
47,546
Metro
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
8,201
Household income
$38,695
Rent vs Own
57.4% rent · 42.6% own
Severe rent burden
617.0

Population outlook (Cape Girardeau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,807 people
By 2030
88,016 · +3.8%
By 2040
93,914 · +10.7%
By 2050
99,541 · +17.4%
By 2075
114,527 · +35.0%
By 2100
121,718 · +43.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cape Girardeau

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -46.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.0 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+33.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.10%
Current HPI
152.013
Rent YoY
Metro
Cape Girardeau, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $343 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…