🏷️ Likely Rental
11284 U.s. 9 · Champlain, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$146,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This unique property presents an incredible duplex opportunity for homeowners. You can savor the comfort of living in a cozy apartment on one side while earning an income from renting out the second apartment, making it a sustainable investment. The duplex features a spacious 2-bedroom apartment and an additional 1-bedroom unit, perfect for a smaller tenant or utilizing as a mother-in-law suite. Each unit provides ample living space designed for comfort and efficiency. Dividing both apartments is a well-structured separation which ensures privacy for both parties, making it easy to enjoy your own space while generating income. Situated on a deep village lot, this property offers plenty of o
Key facts
- Mother-in-law suite
- Deep village lot
- Outdoor space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property); One and one-half levels; Vinyl siding; Facing information not provided; Entry level information not provided
- Construction: Built with block foundation
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Paved road access; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Double-pane windows; Basement present (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 1×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $146k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $349 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $175/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $144k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#623 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Northeastern Clinton Central School District (rural): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #203 of 590 in NY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $146k implies a 1117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.25%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,053
- List price
- $146,000
- Delta
- -48.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $53,523
- Equity at exit
- $80,148
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.52×
- Total profit
- $143,934
- Equity at exit
- $136,231
Cash invested: $40,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12919
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,811 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$766
- Tax from tax record
- −$255 /mo · $3,062/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$380
- Net cashflow
- $349
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $962 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $850 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,811 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,500
- Closing costs
- $4,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $146,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $146,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $146,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $146,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $146,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $146,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $146,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-12$146,000 Active 1445-char remark
-
2012-01-13soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,062 · $255/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,062 · $255/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,732
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,178
- − Property taxes
- −$3,062
- − Insurance
- −$730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,739
- − Management
- −$1,739
- − Depreciation
- −$4,247
- Taxable income
- $2,038
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$489
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeastern Clinton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621250
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,921
- Composite
- 53.46/100
- National rank
- #1461
- State rank
- #203 of 590 in NY
Livability — Champlain
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #623
- US rank
- #11356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Champlain, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,789
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,791 people
- By 2030
- 76,848 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 71,579 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 66,471 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 57,361 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 47,232 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% German 8% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.71%
- Current HPI
- 281.0541
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1116.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Relisted — ACVMLS
- 2026-05-22 Pending — ACVMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $146,000 ACVMLS
- 2012-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,062 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…