625 W Dewey St · Shawnee, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful well kept home. Look for a great home look no more. 3 bed one bath shop in the back ready for all your project shop has a bath. Built in Back yard BBQ ready for all your entertaining..
Key facts
- Fenced interior lot
- Gas log fireplace
- Backyard shop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Interior lot; Homestead not indicated
- Financial info: Loan qualification possible; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: No flood insurance indicated
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Existing property
- Construction: Masonry veneer and other construction materials; Composition roof; Combination foundation
- Exterior features: Open patio; Outdoor grill; Outdoor kitchen; Outbuildings; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Living area includes one living area; Total of 6 rooms; One gas log fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.9% in Shawnee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#217 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Shawnee (town): math 11% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #238 of 270 in OK (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Jefferson Es (math 7% / reading 9%, grade F, #740 of 845 statewide, top 88%, 293 students, 0% FRL); Shawnee Hs (math 16% / reading 35%, grade F, #142 of 447 statewide, top 32%, 987 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 183 units permitted in Pottawatomie County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pottawatomie County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $120k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.12%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,936
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 635 W Ford St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-5%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $129 | 81 |
| 531 N Ione Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,161 (+2%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $99 | 80 |
| 619 N Chapman Ave | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,182 (+3%) | 3mo | $81,500 | $69 | 78 |
| 515 W 10th St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,131 (-1%) | 3mo | $43,500 | $38 | 69 |
| 706 N Louisa Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,229 (+7%) | 3mo | $43,500 | $35 | 68 |
| 1220 W Dewey St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+8%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $97 | 67 |
| 220 N Aydelotte Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,186 (+4%) | 3mo | $43,500 | $37 | 66 |
| 1422 W Wheeler St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,071 (-6%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $33 | 64 |
| 527 W 10th St Unit 527/529 | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,058 (-8%) | 3mo | $43,500 | $41 | 63 |
| 607 W Poplar St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $37 | 62 |
| 902 N Beard Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-8%) | 1mo | $160,900 | $152 | 58 |
| 513 N Dorothy Ave | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,294 (+13%) | 2mo | $136,900 | $106 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-10,554
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,601
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74801
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,133 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $873/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $211 | -5% $177 | +0% $143 | +5% $109 | +10% $75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $54 | -5% $99 | +0% $143 | +5% $188 | +10% $233 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $204 | -0.5pp $174 | base $143 | +0.5pp $112 | +1.0pp $81 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414 N Aydelotte Ave Shawnee, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,250 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 515 W 10th St Shawnee, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1131 | $825 | $0.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 315 S Kennedy Ave Shawnee, OK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 979 | $898 | $0.92 | 24d | 5 | 0.99mi |
| 721 E Wallace St Shawnee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $850 | $0.72 | 5d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 319 S Center Ave Shawnee, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $1,245 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-03-12$120,000 Active
-
2021-06-25soldstatus $78,500
-
2021-06-24soldstatus $78,500 Sold 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Wonderful well kept home. Look for a great home look no more. 3 bed one bath shop in the back ready for all your project shop has a bath. Built in Back yard BBQ ready for all your entertaining..
-
2021-05-12historical 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Wonderful well kept home. Look for a great home look no more. 3 bed one bath shop in the back ready for all your project shop has a bath. Built in Back yard BBQ ready for all your entertaining..
-
2021-05-12$89,000 197-char remark
Show marketing remark (197 chars)
Wonderful well kept home. Look for a great home look no more. 3 bed one bath shop in the back ready for all your project shop has a bath. Built in Back yard BBQ ready for all your entertaining..
-
1998-02-27soldstatus $34,000
-
1993-11-20soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $873 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$207/yr (+$17/mo · 23.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$873
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$262
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$63
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,782/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shawnee
- NCES district ID
- 4027570
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,128
- Composite
- 11.21/100
- National rank
- #9724
- State rank
- #238 of 270 in OK
Livability — Shawnee
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #15593
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shawnee, OK
- County
- Pottawatomie County · 45,194 people
- City population
- 45,194
- Metro
- Shawnee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,967
- Household income
- $55,077
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 594.0
Population outlook (Pottawatomie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,622 people
- By 2030
- 78,816 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 82,766 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 86,031 · +12.3%
- By 2075
- 93,316 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 95,820 · +25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Native American 15% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pottawatomie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.2% · R 72.7% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+46.0 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.66%
- Current HPI
- 266.7965
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.82%
- Metro
- Shawnee, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+380.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $120,000 MLSOK
- 2021-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
- 2021-06-24 Sold (MLS) $78,500 MLSOK
- 2021-05-12 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2021-05-12 Listed $89,000 MLSOK
- 1998-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1993-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $873 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…