1301 Runnymead Ave · Decatur, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 bed 3.5 bath home with 2585sqft and 2 car garage.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1970
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Decatur City (urban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #66 of 129 in AL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (43%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $270,817
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -37.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1208 Byron Ave SW | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,307 (-5%) | 18mo | $310,000 | $134 | 69 |
| 1919 Patterson St SW | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,284 (-6%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $114 | 67 |
| 1922 SW Leeann St | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,700 (+11%) | 8mo | $243,000 | $90 | 59 |
| 1305 Fletcher Ave SW | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,064 (-15%) | 14mo | $279,800 | $136 | 48 |
| 1819 Cumberland Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,456 (+1%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $102 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-10,289
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $21,186
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35601
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,601 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $170,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $170,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $170,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $170,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $170,000 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
4 bed 3.5 bath home with 2585sqft and 2 car garage.
-
2026-03-09$300,000 Active 51-char remark
Show marketing remark (51 chars)
4 bed 3.5 bath home with 2585sqft and 2 car garage.
-
2019-05-30soldstatus $159,000 Sold 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This large home is tastefully decorated with a great floor plan that makes entertainig a breeze. You will enjoy the spacious family room, formal dining room, living room/study with French doors, beautiful kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, tile backsplash, tile floor, stainless steel appliances. There is a bedroom and two bathrooms downstairs and 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms upstairs.
-
2019-04-30status Pending 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This large home is tastefully decorated with a great floor plan that makes entertainig a breeze. You will enjoy the spacious family room, formal dining room, living room/study with French doors, beautiful kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, tile backsplash, tile floor, stainless steel appliances. There is a bedroom and two bathrooms downstairs and 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms upstairs.
-
2019-04-28status Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This large home is tastefully decorated with a great floor plan that makes entertainig a breeze. You will enjoy the spacious family room, formal dining room, living room/study with French doors, beautiful kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, tile backsplash, tile floor, stainless steel appliances. There is a bedroom and two bathrooms downstairs and 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms upstairs.
-
2019-04-17historical Contingent 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This large home is tastefully decorated with a great floor plan that makes entertainig a breeze. You will enjoy the spacious family room, formal dining room, living room/study with French doors, beautiful kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, tile backsplash, tile floor, stainless steel appliances. There is a bedroom and two bathrooms downstairs and 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms upstairs.
-
2019-04-08price $159,000 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This large home is tastefully decorated with a great floor plan that makes entertainig a breeze. You will enjoy the spacious family room, formal dining room, living room/study with French doors, beautiful kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, tile backsplash, tile floor, stainless steel appliances. There is a bedroom and two bathrooms downstairs and 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms upstairs.
-
2019-02-28$169,900 Active 390-char remark
Show marketing remark (390 chars)
This large home is tastefully decorated with a great floor plan that makes entertainig a breeze. You will enjoy the spacious family room, formal dining room, living room/study with French doors, beautiful kitchen with new cabinets, countertops, tile backsplash, tile floor, stainless steel appliances. There is a bedroom and two bathrooms downstairs and 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms upstairs.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $885 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,537
- − Management
- −$1,537
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$62
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur City
- NCES district ID
- 0101170
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,170
- Composite
- 26.21/100
- National rank
- #7261
- State rank
- #66 of 129 in AL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5989
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, AL
- County
- Morgan County · 67,628 people
- City population
- 67,628
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,449
- Household income
- $51,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1386.0
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 24% Two or more races 10% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.26%
- Current HPI
- 247.8437
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Decatur, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+0.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $170,000 VMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $300,000 VMLS
- 2019-05-30 Sold (MLS) $159,000 VMLS
- 2019-04-30 Pending — VMLS
- 2019-04-28 Relisted — VMLS
- 2019-04-17 Contingent — VMLS
- 2019-04-08 Price Changed $159,000 VMLS
- 2019-02-28 Listed $169,900 VMLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $885 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…