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1371 Louisville Ave
C+ Composite 63.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

1371 Louisville Ave · St. Louis, MO 63139
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 889 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1924 7,679 sqft lot Est $205k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 bedroom brick home. HUD Aquired Property. Property Being sold ' AS IS '. All utilities are turned OFF. Please use discretion When showing and bring a flashlight.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Full basement
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFULL BASEMENTOFF STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mason Elem. (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 389 students, 99% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.89%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,359
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1371 Louisville Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 889 (0%) 1mo $149,900 $169 99
1234 Louisville Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 950 (+7%) 2mo $200,000 $211 80
6462 Villa Ave 0.16mi 2/1.5 (-1) 936 (+5%) 2mo $225,000 $240 75
1122 Grandview Pl 0.37mi 3/1.5 864 (-3%) 2mo $199,900 $231 74
1338 Fairmount Ct 0.10mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-11%) 1mo $179,000 $226 72
1334 Fairmount Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,012 (+14%) 0mo $100,000 $99 68
6136 Victoria Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-3%) 2mo $249,000 $288 64
6758 Wise Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 981 (+10%) 3mo $225,000 $229 61
6554 Mitchell Ter 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-14%) 1mo $194,900 $254 56
5927 W Park Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 923 (+4%) 2mo $215,000 $233 56
1523 Graham 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 779 (-12%) 0mo $199,900 $257 55
1347 Graham St 0.37mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,000 (+12%) 1mo $182,500 $183 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-406
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
2.02×
Total profit
$42,760
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63139

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,660 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$152 /mo · $1,825/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,267
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6620 Wise Ave Unit 6620 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 664 $2,400 $3.61 43d 1 0.21mi
6605 Clayton Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 860 $1,723 $2.00 2d 8 0.27mi
6723 Glades Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 980 $1,750 $1.79 7d 1 0.41mi
6320 Berthold Ave Unit 1st Flr St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 23d 1 0.42mi
6226-6238 Oakland Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 571 $1,125 $1.97 2d 3 0.52mi
7018 Plateau Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,995 $1.92 1d 1 0.59mi
7027 Plateau Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,750 $2.14 43d 1 0.60mi
2533 Tamm Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 720 $1,550 $2.15 4d 1 0.78mi
2050 Yale Ave Maplewood, MO 2.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 23d 1 0.81mi
6238 Southwood Ave Unit 3S St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,595 $1.45 43d 1 0.81mi
5700 Highlands Plaza Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1029 $4,100 $3.98 2d 24 0.84mi
665 S Skinker Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $3,500 $3.24 16d 40 0.87mi
665 S Skinker Blvd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 1080 $3,045 $2.82 1d 43 0.87mi
6300 N Rosebury Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,595 $1.72 43d 1 0.90mi
6300 N Rosebury Ave Unit 1N Clayton, MO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,600 $1.72 43d 1 0.90mi
6302 N Rosebury Ave Unit 1W Clayton, MO 2.0 1.0 870 $1,200 $1.38 43d 1 0.91mi
6301 N Rosebury Ave Unit 3W Clayton, MO 2.0 1.0 870 $1,595 $1.83 43d 1 0.92mi
6323 S Rosebury Ave Unit 2E Clayton, MO 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,995 $1.81 17d 1 0.94mi
2262 Yale Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $2,700 $3.00 14d 1 1.03mi
6225 Marmaduke Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1008 $2,179 $2.16 4d 1 1.10mi
7208 Zephyr Pl Apt 1E Maplewood, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,199 $1.09 43d 1 1.11mi
2507 Bellevue Ave Unit 2507 1 Maplewood, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,245 $1.56 43d 1 1.11mi
6048 Southwest Ave St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 770 $1,200 $1.56 43d 1 1.11mi
7473 Wise Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 917 $1,295 $1.41 43d 1 1.14mi
7210 Lyndover Pl Unit 3E Maplewood, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 7d 1 1.16mi
2624 Roseland Ter Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,045 $1.39 2d 2 1.24mi
6228 Arsenal St Unit 1F St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 43d 1 1.30mi
1421 Claytonia Ter Unit 1F Richmond Heights, MO 2.0 1.0 855 $1,125 $1.32 10d 1 1.39mi
7135 Canterbury Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1016 $2,155 $2.12 19d 4 1.41mi
1146 Moorlands Dr Richmond Heights, MO 2.0 1.0 1075 $1,500 $1.40 43d 1 1.43mi
7560 Alicia Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 960 $1,650 $1.72 43d 1 1.44mi
5252 Bischoff Ave St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,225 $1.63 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $149,900 Active
  3. 2013-01-04
    soldstatus 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom brick home. HUD Aquired Property. Property Being sold ' AS IS '. All utilities are turned OFF. Please use discretion When showing and bring a flashlight.

  4. 2012-11-01
    listed $42,000 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (174 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom brick home. HUD Aquired Property. Property Being sold ' AS IS '. All utilities are turned OFF. Please use discretion When showing and bring a flashlight.

  5. 2006-03-16
    soldstatus $130,000
  6. 1998-08-19
    soldstatus $51,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,825 · $152/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,825 · $152/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,920
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,825
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,594
− Management
−$1,594
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$1,401
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$336
After-tax cash flow
$3,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
21,631
Household income
$75,757
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
653.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -277.54%
Current HPI
256.7513
Rent YoY
▲ 5.39%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+191.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $149,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-01-04 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-11-01 Listed $42,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 1998-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $51,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,825 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…