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4443 Mccleester Dr
B- Composite 67.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

4443 Mccleester Dr · Spring, TX 77373
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,129 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1972 6,050 sqft lot $23/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home "as is" Please enter at your own risk. Home is still being cleared out. Mess everywhere. No Survey. Sellers disclosure was filled out by the owners son that has not lived in the home. Roof appears to be in good condition, but do your own due diligence. There is an existing mortgage. Please view property before making an offer.

Key facts

  • 6,050 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,129
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: HOA/community details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Security features not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1972; Single-story (entry level not specified); Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Lot approximately 0.139 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 4.5% in Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#635 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mildred Jenkins El (math 17% / reading 30%, grade F, #3,247 of 4,322 statewide, top 76%, 623 students, 90% FRL); Dueitt Middle (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 773 students, 84% FRL); Spring H S (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,497 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 2,760 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 66% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 599 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
14.25%
Cash-on-cash
28.42%
DSCR
2.26
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$22,391
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$55,232
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77373

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
599
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,192 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$357 /mo · $4,281/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$23
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$729

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,269
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $792 -5% $761 +0% $729 +5% $698 +10% $667
Rent -10% $556 -5% $643 +0% $729 +5% $816 +10% $903
Rate -1.0pp $785 -0.5pp $757 base $729 +0.5pp $701 +1.0pp $672

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$23 · $276/yr

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 334-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 93-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,281 · $357/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,281 · $357/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,307
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$4,281
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,105
− Management
−$2,105
− HOA
−$276
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$7,629
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,831
After-tax cash flow
$6,922/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring ISD
NCES district ID
4841220
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,584
Composite
20.12/100
National rank
#8643
State rank
#730 of 826 in TX

Livability — Spring

Score
66/100
State rank
#635
US rank
#12101

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spring, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
430,529
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
69,739
Household income
$88,617
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
1050.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.98%
Current HPI
251.7231
Rent YoY
▼ -0.30%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $110,000 HARMLS
  • 1999-08-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $75,411 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,281 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…