319 W Main St · Fort Cobb, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable opportunity to live in Fort Cobb aka 'Title Town'.... Great place !!! This home has a large bathroom and a huge laundry room that could easily be used for that 4th bedroom or an office. The out building is used for a weight room and the basement is underneath.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Metal roof
- Outbuilding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Fort Cobb Ot legal addition; Directions: From Hazlett Street go west on Main St.; 319 W. Main is on the south side.
- Financial info: Current price listed (as of listing): $115,000; Taxes listed: $883; Assumable loan: Unknown; Loan qualification: Unknown
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Homestead eligible
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property; Existing property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Metal roof (replaced/installed 2020); Conventional foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Outbuildings; Below-ground storm shelter; Interior lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: One living area; Gas log fireplace; No study
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#200 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Cobb-Broxton (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #373 of 513 in OK (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Fort Cobb-Broxton Lower Es (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #255 of 845 statewide, top 35%, 138 students, 0% FRL); Fort Cobb-Broxton Hs (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #236 of 447 statewide, top 61%, 77 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $80k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.28%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,448
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 W Ponjo Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-8%) | 7mo | $98,000 | $74 | 73 |
| 217 N 3rd St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,419 (-2%) | 23mo | $64,900 | $46 | 63 |
| 1012 N Scenic Ridge Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,417 (-2%) | 21mo | $107,000 | $76 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-9,636
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,122
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73038
- Home prices YoY
- -3.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $883/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $207 | -5% $174 | +0% $142 | +5% $109 | +10% $77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $55 | -5% $98 | +0% $142 | +5% $185 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $200 | -0.5pp $171 | base $142 | +0.5pp $112 | +1.0pp $82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-01-12$115,000 Active
-
2024-08-09soldstatus $80,000 Closed 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Affordable opportunity to live in Fort Cobb aka 'Title Town'.... Great place !!! This home has a large bathroom and a huge laundry room that could easily be used for that 4th bedroom or an office. The out building is used for a weight room and the basement is underneath.
-
2024-06-07soldstatus $80,000
-
2024-03-22status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Affordable opportunity to live in Fort Cobb aka 'Title Town'.... Great place !!! This home has a large bathroom and a huge laundry room that could easily be used for that 4th bedroom or an office. The out building is used for a weight room and the basement is underneath.
-
2024-03-12$85,000 Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
Affordable opportunity to live in Fort Cobb aka 'Title Town'.... Great place !!! This home has a large bathroom and a huge laundry room that could easily be used for that 4th bedroom or an office. The out building is used for a weight room and the basement is underneath.
-
2008-07-02soldstatus $30,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $883 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,035 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$152/yr (+$13/mo · 17.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$883
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,053
- − Management
- −$1,053
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$192
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$46
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,747/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Cobb-Broxton
- NCES district ID
- 4033602
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,403
- Composite
- 22.3/100
- National rank
- #13495
- State rank
- #373 of 513 in OK
Livability — Fort Cobb
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #200
- US rank
- #15072
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Cobb, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,442
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,391 people
- By 2030
- 27,844 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 27,057 · -4.7%
- By 2050
- 26,484 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 26,266 · -7.5%
- By 2100
- 26,077 · -8.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Native American 21% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.4% · R 72.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -30.7pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+44.0 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+28.5 2008: R+30.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.67%
- Current HPI
- 167.8913
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+277.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-01-12 Listed $115,000 MLSOK
- 2024-08-09 Sold (MLS) $80,000 MLSOK
- 2024-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-22 Pending — MLSOK
- 2024-03-12 Listed $85,000 MLSOK
- 2008-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $883 · +282.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…