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2521 Centennial Ave
D+ Composite 47.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

2521 Centennial Ave · Atlantic City, NJ 08401
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 814 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1900 Est $151k · 49% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Recently updated duplex!! Each unit features 1 bedroom, 1 bath, living room and eat-in kitchen! Walking distance to Tropicana casino, local businesses and restaurants! Great opportunity to be rented or used as an AirBnB. Sold in "as-is" condition. Both units have tenants on month to month leases paying $700 a month. Currently only showing top unit any day from 9 to 11.

Key facts

  • Listed 46 days

Tags

RECENTLY RENOVATED DUPLEX

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 23.5 x 38; Two total units (both 1-bedroom); total rooms in lower unit: 3
  • Financial info: Annual taxes listed (available in source data)

Exterior

  • Parking: No exterior parking; No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Duplex / multi-unit property (2 units); Property is listed for sale
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two 1-bedroom units (one on the lower level, one on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window air conditioning units; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Gas stove; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-218/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (1.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.7% in Atlantic City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#525 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: health & safety A; Watch: commute D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Atlantic City School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #454 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Texas Avenue School (math 10% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,303 statewide, top 81%, 498 students, 96% FRL); Atlantic City High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #346 of 399 statewide, top 88%, 1,764 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 491 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,480/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 3414% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $225k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $218,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.47%
Cash-on-cash
7.78%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$150,590
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2522 Arctic #RR A Ave 0.08mi 3/1.0 (-1) 810 (-0%) 12mo $150,000 $185 68
822 N Arkansas Ave Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 884 (+9%) 5mo $140,000 $158 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-30,872
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$690
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08401

Home prices YoY
-7.0%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
491
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,480 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$277 /mo · $3,326/yr
Insurance
$94
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$-18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,503
Max offer price $221,793
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $109 -5% $46 +0% $-18 +5% $-82 +10% $-146
Rent -10% $-214 -5% $-116 +0% $-18 +5% $80 +10% $178
Rate -1.0pp $95 -0.5pp $39 base $-18 +0.5pp $-76 +1.0pp $-136

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4 Italy Ter Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,300 $2.30 23d 1 0.18mi
1724 Atlantic Ave Unit A1 Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 950 $2,300 $2.42 23d 1 0.64mi
2021 Grant Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1011 $2,350 $2.32 23d 1 0.66mi
2015 Grant Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1056 $2,325 $2.20 23d 1 0.67mi
905 Keener Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1059 $1,900 $1.79 23d 1 0.69mi
3636 Winchester Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 1094 $1,995 $1.82 23d 1 0.72mi
1510 N Arkansas Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 2.0 1008 $2,750 $2.73 15d 1 1.01mi
1523 N Arkansas Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 2.0 984 $2,500 $2.54 23d 1 1.05mi
31 N Virginia Ave Atlantic City, NJ 3.0 1.0 725 $2,230 $3.08 15d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $225,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $225,000 Active 518-char remark
  18. 2021-10-15
    soldstatus $85,000
  19. 2021-08-02
    soldstatus $85,000 Sold 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Recently updated duplex!! Each unit features 1 bedroom, 1 bath, living room and eat-in kitchen! Walking distance to Tropicana casino, local businesses and restaurants! Great opportunity to be rented or used as an AirBnB. Sold in "as-is" condition. Both units have tenants on month to month leases paying $700 a month. Currently only showing top unit any day from 9 to 11.

  20. 2021-06-08
    historical Under Contract 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Recently updated duplex!! Each unit features 1 bedroom, 1 bath, living room and eat-in kitchen! Walking distance to Tropicana casino, local businesses and restaurants! Great opportunity to be rented or used as an AirBnB. Sold in "as-is" condition. Both units have tenants on month to month leases paying $700 a month. Currently only showing top unit any day from 9 to 11.

  21. 2020-11-17
    listed $87,000 Active 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!! Recently updated duplex!! Each unit features 1 bedroom, 1 bath, living room and eat-in kitchen! Walking distance to Tropicana casino, local businesses and restaurants! Great opportunity to be rented or used as an AirBnB. Sold in "as-is" condition. Both units have tenants on month to month leases paying $700 a month. Currently only showing top unit any day from 9 to 11.

  22. 2020-10-31
    historical
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Recently Renovated duplex in the heart of Atlantic City. Live in one unit and rent out the other or rent out both for investment income. Property was previously rented for $650 per month per unit prior to the renovations. This is a great opportunity for additional income as an AirBnb. Walking distances to the Tropicana and dozens of restaurants and businesses. Less than a mile to the bus and train stations. 3 blocks from the boardwalk and beach.

  23. 2020-09-19
    price $87,000
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Recently Renovated duplex in the heart of Atlantic City. Live in one unit and rent out the other or rent out both for investment income. Property was previously rented for $650 per month per unit prior to the renovations. This is a great opportunity for additional income as an AirBnb. Walking distances to the Tropicana and dozens of restaurants and businesses. Less than a mile to the bus and train stations. 3 blocks from the boardwalk and beach.

  24. 2020-07-04
    price $89,000
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Recently Renovated duplex in the heart of Atlantic City. Live in one unit and rent out the other or rent out both for investment income. Property was previously rented for $650 per month per unit prior to the renovations. This is a great opportunity for additional income as an AirBnb. Walking distances to the Tropicana and dozens of restaurants and businesses. Less than a mile to the bus and train stations. 3 blocks from the boardwalk and beach.

  25. 2020-06-26
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Recently Renovated duplex in the heart of Atlantic City. Live in one unit and rent out the other or rent out both for investment income. Property was previously rented for $650 per month per unit prior to the renovations. This is a great opportunity for additional income as an AirBnb. Walking distances to the Tropicana and dozens of restaurants and businesses. Less than a mile to the bus and train stations. 3 blocks from the boardwalk and beach.

  26. 2020-06-10
    historical Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Recently Renovated duplex in the heart of Atlantic City. Live in one unit and rent out the other or rent out both for investment income. Property was previously rented for $650 per month per unit prior to the renovations. This is a great opportunity for additional income as an AirBnb. Walking distances to the Tropicana and dozens of restaurants and businesses. Less than a mile to the bus and train stations. 3 blocks from the boardwalk and beach.

  27. 2020-03-23
    price $94,000
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Recently Renovated duplex in the heart of Atlantic City. Live in one unit and rent out the other or rent out both for investment income. Property was previously rented for $650 per month per unit prior to the renovations. This is a great opportunity for additional income as an AirBnb. Walking distances to the Tropicana and dozens of restaurants and businesses. Less than a mile to the bus and train stations. 3 blocks from the boardwalk and beach.

  28. 2020-03-13
    listed $89,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Recently Renovated duplex in the heart of Atlantic City. Live in one unit and rent out the other or rent out both for investment income. Property was previously rented for $650 per month per unit prior to the renovations. This is a great opportunity for additional income as an AirBnb. Walking distances to the Tropicana and dozens of restaurants and businesses. Less than a mile to the bus and train stations. 3 blocks from the boardwalk and beach.

  29. 2016-12-02
    historical
  30. 2016-09-29
    status Active
  31. 2016-09-06
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  32. 2016-08-21
    listed $50,000 Active
  33. 2014-08-01
    historical
  34. 2013-07-05
    listed $59,000
  35. 2000-06-23
    soldstatus $43,000
  36. 1998-05-18
    soldstatus $40,000
  37. 1979-03-01
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,326 · $277/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,464 · $372/mo
Expected delta
+$1,138/yr (+$95/mo · 34.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,760
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,326
− Insurance
−$6,244
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,381
− Management
−$2,381
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$3,720
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$893
After-tax cash flow
$675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atlantic City School District
NCES district ID
3400960
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,842
Composite
13.66/100
National rank
#9504
State rank
#454 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Atlantic City

Score
55/100
State rank
#525
US rank
#23095

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living B- Crime F Employment F Housing F Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atlantic City, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
City population
38,925
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
38,925
Household income
$41,126
Rent vs Own
69.8% rent · 30.2% own
Severe rent burden
3414.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 32% Asian 16% White 16% Two or more races 11% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 8% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.82%
Current HPI
353.7827
Rent YoY
▲ 5.52%
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1775.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $225,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2021-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2021-08-02 Sold (MLS) $85,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2021-06-08 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2020-11-17 Listed $87,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2020-10-31 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2020-09-19 Price Changed $87,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2020-07-04 Price Changed $89,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2020-06-26 Relisted SJSRMLS
  • 2020-06-10 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2020-03-23 Price Changed $94,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2020-03-13 Listed $89,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2016-12-02 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2016-09-29 Relisted SJSRMLS
  • 2016-09-06 Contingent SJSRMLS
  • 2016-08-21 Listed $50,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2014-08-01 Listing Removed SJSRMLS
  • 2013-07-05 Listed $59,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2000-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
  • 1998-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1979-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,326 · +25.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…