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6406 Calhoun Rd
D- Composite 35.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

6406 Calhoun Rd · Houston, TX 77021
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,453 sqft · SingleFamily · 101 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $179/sqft · 9% below area Est $284k · 9% under $5/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New Construction! Wonderful 2-story, 3-bedroom, 2 1/2 bath home with a covered front porch. Open-concept floor plan with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the 1st floor. The kitchen features painted shaker-style cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, tile backsplash, an undermount sink & an island with seating space. The primary suite has a dual-sink vanity & walk-in closet. Fenced front and back yard. Ideally located with easy access to the Med Center, Museum District, downtown & much more. This home is Energy Star Certified & has a 10-year warranty!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Undermount sink
  • Tile backsplash

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHOPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANPAINTED SHAKER-STYLE CABINETRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESTILE BACKSPLASHUNDERMOUNT SINK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-343 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (19.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (29.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $185k (29.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 467 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,847/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2532% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $184,681 (29.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.71%
Cash-on-cash
-5.65%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$284,309
List price
$260,000
Delta
-8.55%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6326 Calhoun Rd 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,453 (0%) 7mo $299,000 $206 93
4715 Ward St 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,454 (+0%) 7mo $230,000 $158 76
6625 Goforth St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,489 (+2%) 4mo $142,000 $95 68
4902 Winfree Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,511 (+4%) 2mo $169,500 $112 59
4826 Culmore Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,501 (+3%) 3mo $279,000 $186 58
6832 Goforth St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,392 (-4%) 5mo $98,000 $70 56
5126 Hull St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,306 (-10%) 3mo $220,000 $168 55
5210 Enyart St 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,587 (+9%) 5mo $239,999 $151 52
5006 Idaho St 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,308 (-10%) 3mo $225,000 $172 48
6906 England St 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,600 (+10%) 4mo $309,900 $194 48
6908 England St 0.68mi 3/2.5 1,600 (+10%) 5mo $309,900 $194 47
4611 Idaho St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,640 (+13%) 4mo $257,000 $157 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.9%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-65,464
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-27.5%
Equity multiple
-0.25×
Total profit
$-91,168
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77021

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
467
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,847 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax est. 1.5%
$325 /mo · $3,900/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$5
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$-343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,281
Max offer price $210,393
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6532 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1484 $2,200 $1.48 18d 1 0.24mi
6528 Weston St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1484 $2,200 $1.48 43d 1 0.24mi
4705 Idaho St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1664 $2,500 $1.50 17d 1 0.48mi
5918 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 43d 1 0.49mi
5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 43d 1 0.49mi
5924 Schroeder Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 22d 1 0.49mi
5123 Dewberry St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1391 $2,400 $1.73 43d 1 0.60mi
5813 England St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1473 $2,195 $1.49 4d 1 0.60mi
5116 Griggs Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,316 $1.16 43d 1 0.74mi
5154 Griggs Rd Unit CAVE Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,420 $1.07 3d 1 0.78mi
7032 Conley St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1220 $2,850 $2.34 43d 1 0.78mi
4907 Culmore Dr Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1800 $2,700 $1.50 16d 1 0.79mi
4942 Bataan Rd Unit 77033 Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 43d 1 0.83mi
4722 Old Spanish Trl Unit B301 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1027 $1,695 $1.65 44d 1 0.92mi
5317 Chennault Rd Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,999 $1.24 43d 1 0.96mi
4907 Marietta Ln Unit 1494902P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1593 $3,278 $2.06 13d 1 0.97mi
5610 Royal Palms St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 24d 1 1.03mi
5537 Bataan Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 43d 1 1.04mi
7321 Conley St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1501 $2,025 $1.35 20d 1 1.05mi
7321 Conley St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1869 $2,025 $1.08 20d 1 1.05mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,190 $0.90 5d 1 1.05mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,190 $0.90 7d 1 1.05mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 5571 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,214 $0.92 10d 1 1.05mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2187 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,182 $0.89 2d 1 1.05mi
5514 Griggs Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,210 $0.92 43d 1 1.06mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,214 $0.92 3d 1 1.07mi
5514 Griggs Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,225 $0.93 11d 1 1.07mi
7358 Guadalcanal Rd Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1768 $2,195 $1.24 43d 1 1.08mi
3644 Griggs Rd Unit 1047940P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1399 $2,161 $1.54 2d 1 1.10mi
5520 Griggs Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,241 $0.94 43d 1 1.13mi
5520 Griggs Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,241 $0.94 22d 1 1.13mi
5101 Martin Luther King Blvd Unit MO54 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,210 $0.92 12d 1 1.17mi
5835 Southmont St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 43d 1 1.18mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3617 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,435 $1.09 43d 1 1.18mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 3597 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,434 $1.08 10d 1 1.18mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,410 $1.07 5d 1 1.18mi
3560 Dixie Dr Apt 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,410 $1.07 7d 1 1.18mi
3560 Dixie Dr Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1322 $1,402 $1.06 2d 1 1.18mi
3846 Seabrook St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1833 $2,300 $1.25 43d 1 1.21mi
4977 Martin Luther King Blvd Houston, TX 4.0 4.0 1396 $870 $0.62 24d 1 1.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$5 · $60/yr

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 100 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Active 99 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $260,000 Active 98 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $260,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $260,000 Active 90 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $260,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-03-09
    listed $260,000 Active 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    New Construction! Wonderful 2-story, 3-bedroom, 2 1/2 bath home with a covered front porch. Open-concept floor plan with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the 1st floor. The kitchen features painted shaker-style cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, tile backsplash, an undermount sink & an island with seating space. The primary suite has a dual-sink vanity & walk-in closet. Fenced front and back yard. Ideally located with easy access to the Med Center, Museum District, downtown & much more. This home is Energy Star Certified & has a 10-year warranty!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,162
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$3,900
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− HOA
−$60
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$8,772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,105
After-tax cash flow
$-2,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Energy Star Certified home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace front door — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Replace front door — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrade landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
26,153
Household income
$45,574
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
2532.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% White 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.22%
Current HPI
230.2869
Rent YoY
▲ 2.17%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $260,000 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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