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29060 Road 164
C Composite 59.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,999

29060 Road 164 · Farmersville, CA 93292
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1940 0.40 ac lot Est $323k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this three-bedroom single residence located in Visalia, CA. Situated on a generous 17,424 square-foot lot, this property offers substantial outdoor space for various uses and potential. The home provides comfortable living quarters with three bedrooms to accommodate your residential needs. This is an excellent opportunity to own property in Visalia with ample land to explore possibilities for your future.

Key facts

  • Generous lot
  • Ample land
  • Outdoor space

Tags

OUTDOOR SPACEGENEROUS LOTAMPLE LAND

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached or detached garage with 4 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; No shared/common walls
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Irregular lot of about 0.4 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Exhaust fan
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Exhaust fan for ventilation; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Microwave; Exhaust fan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#723 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living D+, schools F.
  • Farmersville Unified (suburban): math 9% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #492 of 517 in CA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 309 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $230k implies a 411% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $225,307 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.49%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$323,400
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
391 Teddy St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,285 (-3%) 7mo $340,000 $265 76
722 W Marilyn Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,313 (-0%) 0mo $340,000 $259 74
394 Greg St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,315 (-0%) 18mo $300,000 $228 70
1643 Tehama Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,367 (+4%) 7mo $347,000 $254 64
16666 Teresa St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,208 (-8%) 17mo $275,000 $228 56
444 E Citrus Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,386 (+5%) 2mo $338,000 $244 56
1256 N Forest Pl 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,288 (-2%) 13mo $294,900 $229 53
876 W Teddy St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,267 (-4%) 24mo $325,000 $257 47
1035 N Linnell Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,182 (-10%) 3mo $290,000 $245 46
1045 Farmersville Rd 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,236 (-6%) 19mo $287,000 $232 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-14,033
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$11,239
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93292

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $912/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,744
Max offer price $229,999
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1896 N Matthew Ave Farmersville, CA 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,995 $1.48 14d 1 0.35mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,999 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,999 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,999 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,999 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 419-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    listed $229,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$912 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,748 · $146/mo
Expected delta
+$836/yr (+$70/mo · 91.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 44 unhealthy d/yr today · 50 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,037
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$912
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,163
− Management
−$2,163
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable income
$1,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$258
After-tax cash flow
$4,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farmersville Unified
NCES district ID
0600035
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$34,388
Composite
12.64/100
National rank
#9609
State rank
#492 of 517 in CA

Livability — Farmersville

Score
58/100
State rank
#723
US rank
#21420

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tulare County · 323,826 people
City population
10,359
Metro
Visalia, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,780
Household income
$82,872
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
962.0

Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,681 people
By 2030
496,241 · +2.4%
By 2040
518,507 · +7.0%
By 2050
534,920 · +10.4%
By 2075
548,417 · +13.2%
By 2100
513,085 · +5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 57% White 35% Two or more races 19% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Russian 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulare

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -238.10%
Current HPI
323.2649
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
Visalia, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+505.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Price Changed $229,999 TCMLS
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $299,999 TCMLS
  • 2006-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1986-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2021): $912 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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