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3 Erickson Dr
C Composite 55.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$125,000

3 Erickson Dr · Mount Jewett, PA 16740
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily · 259 Days on market
Built 1847 Fair condition 6.67 ac lot $86/sqft · 13% below area Est $144k · 13% under ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME HOME! TWO HOMES AND TWO GARAGES ON 6.67 ACRES (3 & 4 Erickson Dr. , Mt. Jewett) - Tucked in a peaceful, secluded setting but still within the borough limits, this property spans 6.67 acres and includes both a one-story and two-story home, along with two detached garages and several outbuildings. The grounds are stunning surrounded by trees with a meticulously maintained lawn and landscaping. The one-story home has three bedrooms and two baths plus a sunroom with an attached deck. The gas forced air heating system and gas fireplace keep the home warm and comfortable. Relaxing in the sunroom is easy with an ultimate view for watching the birds and wildlife. There is a 24' x 24' garage and attached covered patio with hot tub. Enjoy the versatility of the covered patio, shifting from a cozy winter retreat by installing the wall panels to a summer sanctuary by removing the wall panels. In addition to the chicken coop, there is a garden shed and 2 additional sheds, one with an attached dog kennel, which allows pets to roam between the kennel and the partially fenced backyard. This well-maintained two-story home features spacious rooms, three bedrooms, one bathroom, and gas forced air heating. There is a good amount of cupboard space in the kitchen and a separate dining area. Laundry area conveniently located off the kitchen with a full bath off the laundry. The three bedrooms are located on the second floor. Outside, there is a 24' x 32' detached garage with room for a workshop too. Miscellaneous fruit trees including apples, cherries, peaches, plums, and pears are scattered throughout the yard along with some blueberry bushes. Convenient location close to the Knox Kane Rail Trail. Take advantage of the 2nd home by sharing the property with a family member or supplement your income with a long-term or short-term rental ideal due to its close proximity to Kinzua Bridge State Park, Kinzua Dam, Allegheny Reservoir, and the Bradford Airport. 3 ERICKSON DR. , MT. JEWETT IS INCLUDED IN THIS SALE. SELLERS ARE WILLING TO SUBDIVIDE THIS PROPERTY.

Key facts

  • Approximately 1 acre
  • Laundry area
  • Separate dining area

Tags

APPROXIMATELY 1 ACREOVERSIZED DETACHED GARAGEMETICULOUSLY MAINTAINED LAWNSEPARATE DINING AREALAUNDRY AREADETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $67 ($806/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (5.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,366 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, health & safety D.
  • Kane Area SD (rural): math 35% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #291 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $245k (66%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1847 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1847 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.30%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$143,896
List price
$125,000
Delta
-13.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 Chestnut St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,482 (+2%) 10mo $71,000 $48 56
21 East Main St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,426 (-2%) 18mo $137,000 $96 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$19,352
Equity at exit
$56,205
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$62,943
Equity at exit
$86,619

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16740

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,178 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $154 -5% $110 +0% $67 +5% $24 +10% $-19
Rent -10% $-26 -5% $21 +0% $67 +5% $114 +10% $160
Rate -1.0pp $130 -0.5pp $99 base $67 +0.5pp $35 +1.0pp $2

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 259 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 258 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 257 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 256 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 255 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 253 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 252 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 249 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 248 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 247 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 243 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 242 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 241 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 240 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 239 DOM
  16. 2025-10-15
    listed $369,900 Active 2082-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2082 chars)

    WELCOME HOME! TWO HOMES AND TWO GARAGES ON 6.67 ACRES (3 & 4 Erickson Dr. , Mt. Jewett) - Tucked in a peaceful, secluded setting but still within the borough limits, this property spans 6.67 acres and includes both a one-story and two-story home, along with two detached garages and several outbuildings. The grounds are stunning surrounded by trees with a meticulously maintained lawn and landscaping. The one-story home has three bedrooms and two baths plus a sunroom with an attached deck. The gas forced air heating system and gas fireplace keep the home warm and comfortable. Relaxing in the sunroom is easy with an ultimate view for watching the birds and wildlife. There is a 24' x 24' garage and attached covered patio with hot tub. Enjoy the versatility of the covered patio, shifting from a cozy winter retreat by installing the wall panels to a summer sanctuary by removing the wall panels. In addition to the chicken coop, there is a garden shed and 2 additional sheds, one with an attached dog kennel, which allows pets to roam between the kennel and the partially fenced backyard. This well-maintained two-story home features spacious rooms, three bedrooms, one bathroom, and gas forced air heating. There is a good amount of cupboard space in the kitchen and a separate dining area. Laundry area conveniently located off the kitchen with a full bath off the laundry. The three bedrooms are located on the second floor. Outside, there is a 24' x 32' detached garage with room for a workshop too. Miscellaneous fruit trees including apples, cherries, peaches, plums, and pears are scattered throughout the yard along with some blueberry bushes. Convenient location close to the Knox Kane Rail Trail. Take advantage of the 2nd home by sharing the property with a family member or supplement your income with a long-term or short-term rental ideal due to its close proximity to Kinzua Bridge State Park, Kinzua Dam, Allegheny Reservoir, and the Bradford Airport. 3 ERICKSON DR. , MT. JEWETT IS INCLUDED IN THIS SALE. SELLERS ARE WILLING TO SUBDIVIDE THIS PROPERTY.

  17. 2025-10-03
    listed $125,000 Active 1443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1443 chars)

    DREAMING OF YOUR OWN PRIVATE PARADISE? Tucked in a peaceful, secluded setting but still within the borough limits, this property includes . 80 +/- acre and a two-story home, along with an oversized detached garage. The grounds are stunning surrounded by trees and a meticulously maintained lawn and landscaping. This two-story home features spacious rooms, three bedrooms, one bathroom, and gas forced air heating. There is a good amount of cupboard space in the kitchen and a separate dining area. Laundry area conveniently located off the kitchen with a full bath off the laundry. The three bedrooms are located on the second floor. There is a 24' x 32' detached garage with room for a workshop too. Wonderful property for homesteading with plenty of nearby fruit trees including apples, cherries, peaches, plums, and pears along with blueberry bushes. Close to the Knox Kane Rail Trail, so no excuse for skipping your daily exercise routine. Nearby attractions include Kinzua Bridge State Park, Kinzua Dam, Allegheny Reservoir, and Bradford Airport. 3 AND 4 ERICKSON DR. , MT. JEWETT ARE CURRENTLY ASSESSED AS ONE PARCEL. IF THIS PARCEL IS SOLD SEPARATELY FROM 4 ERICKSON DR. , MT. JEWETT, A SUBDIVISION OF THE PROPERTY WILL BE REQUIRED ALONG WITH MUNICIPAL APPROVAL PRIOR TO CLOSING. THE ACTUAL LOT SIZES WILL BE DETERMINED AT THE TIME OF THE SUBDIVISION. SELLER WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SURVEY AND ASSOCIATED COSTS FOR THE SUBDIVISION.

  18. 2025-10-02
    historical
  19. 2025-07-17
    listed $369,900 Active
  20. 2025-02-26
    price $369,900
  21. 2025-02-26
    price $369,900
  22. 2025-01-10
    listed $375,000 Active
  23. 2025-01-07
    listed $375,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,142
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,131
− Management
−$1,131
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$1,259
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$302
After-tax cash flow
$1,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This property requires significant exterior and interior repairs, including siding and roof replacement, HVAC system replacement, and interior updates. While the landscaping is well-maintained, the overall condition suggests a moderate level of renovation is needed to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major exterior siding — The siding is visibly weathered and needs replacement.
  • Major roof — The roof has visible damage and may need replacement.
  • Major flooring — The flooring in the garage and possibly the house is in poor condition and needs replacement.
  • Major HVAC system — The HVAC system appears old and may need replacement to improve comfort and energy efficiency.
  • Major interior walls/paint — The interior walls and paint need freshening and touch-up to improve the overall appearance of the home.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both exterior siding and roof replacement — These repairs will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both paint and interior updates — Fresh paint and interior updates will improve the home's appearance and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · The siding is visibly weathered and needs replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
roof · The roof has visible damage and may need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · The flooring in the garage and possibly the house is in poor condition and needs replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · The HVAC system appears old and may need replacement to improve comfort and energy efficiency. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · The interior walls and paint need freshening and touch-up to improve the overall appearance of the home. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both exterior siding and roof replacement — These repairs will improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value for both resale and rental.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters.
  • Both paint and interior updates — Fresh paint and interior updates will improve the home's appearance and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kane Area SD
NCES district ID
4212660
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$41,784
Composite
37.36/100
National rank
#4434
State rank
#291 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Jewett

Score
62/100
State rank
#1366
US rank
#17074

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Jewett, PA
Population (ZIP)
823

Population outlook (McKean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,518 people
By 2030
39,290 · -3.0%
By 2040
36,438 · -10.1%
By 2050
33,556 · -17.2%
By 2075
27,682 · -31.7%
By 2100
21,726 · -46.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Italian 4% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McKean

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.2) · D 26.0% · R 73.2%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.3pp · 2024: -47.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $369,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $125,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-10-02 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $369,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $369,900 NMPA
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $369,900 NMPA
  • 2025-01-10 Listed $375,000 NMPA
  • 2025-01-07 Listed $375,000 NMPA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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