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613 7th St
A Composite 87.65
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$64,900

613 7th St · Niagara Falls, NY 14301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,332 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1910 2,121 sqft lot Est $96k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bring your vision to 613 7th Street! Located in Niagara Falls' short-term rental zoning area, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home offers approximately 1,332 square feet of living space on a 2,121-square-foot lot and includes a detached garage. In need of repairs and updates, this property presents an opportunity to renovate and add value. Whether restoring its existing character or planning improvements, there is plenty of potential to make this property your own. Conveniently located near downtown Niagara Falls, local amenities, transportation routes, and area attractions. Property is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Area attractions
  • Local amenities
  • Detached garage

Tags

SHORT-TERM RENTAL ZONINGDETACHED GARAGELOCAL AMENITIESTRANSPORTATION ROUTESAREA ATTRACTIONS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car) — no driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story dwelling; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding over frame construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Stone foundation; Built as existing (pre-owned)
  • Exterior features: Corner, rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 32 x 65

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7 (includes living, laundry, other)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Oil-fired forced air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Other interior features (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Oil water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 7.5% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,355/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 954% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.2% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,926 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
15.08%
Cash-on-cash
31.37%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$95,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
619 6th St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,384 (+4%) 8mo $100,000 $72 82
1148 Haeberle Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,302 (-2%) 4mo $85,000 $65 75
1013 13th St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,352 (+2%) 3mo $97,000 $72 70
1146 Haeberle Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,408 (+6%) 4mo $115,000 $82 70
749 16th St 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,320 (-1%) 4mo $117,000 $89 63
426 6th St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,174 (-12%) 4mo $87,000 $74 58
668 Orchard Pkwy 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,446 (+9%) 6mo $216,000 $149 56
1322 Whitney Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-6%) 5mo $80,500 $65 54
1121 La Salle Ave 0.52mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,440 (+8%) 5mo $72,000 $50 53
1001 15th St 0.63mi 3/1.5 1,218 (-9%) 9mo $79,900 $66 47
724 17th St 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,179 (-12%) 4mo $70,000 $59 45
435 13th St 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+14%) 2mo $40,000 $26 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.9%
Equity multiple
5.01×
Total profit
$72,872
Equity at exit
$58,467
10-year hold
IRR
47.9%
Equity multiple
12.49×
Total profit
$208,764
Equity at exit
$126,086

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14301

Home prices YoY
6.2%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$228 /mo · $2,736/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $512 -5% $493 +0% $475 +5% $457 +10% $438
Rent -10% $368 -5% $421 +0% $475 +5% $529 +10% $582
Rate -1.0pp $508 -0.5pp $492 base $475 +0.5pp $458 +1.0pp $441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
724 Augustus Pl Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 45d 1 0.08mi
642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,100 $0.89 4d 1 0.46mi
754 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,100 $1.11 25d 1 0.56mi
1427 Fort Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1058 $950 $0.90 45d 1 0.57mi
784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,350 $0.98 4d 1 0.60mi
1001 17th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,800 $1.56 25d 1 0.75mi
769 19th St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.5 960 $1,400 $1.46 22d 1 0.82mi
1780 Falls St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.84mi
1808 Whitney Ave Unit 3 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $900 $0.75 45d 1 0.92mi
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 18d 1 0.94mi
420 25th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1101 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 1.15mi
2420 Mackenna Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,390 $1.07 3d 1 1.22mi
1817 Ontario Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 999 $1,899 $1.90 3d 1 1.31mi
1817 Ontario Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 985 $1,899 $1.93 3d 1 1.31mi
2473 Pierce Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 4d 1 1.31mi
2727 Monroe Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 11d 1 1.33mi
2814 10th St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 3d 1 1.44mi
2463 South Ave Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,100 $1.09 18d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $64,900 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 616-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $69,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,736 · $228/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,736 · $228/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,260
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$2,736
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$5,074
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,218
After-tax cash flow
$4,482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
10,923
Household income
$34,549
Rent vs Own
54.1% rent · 45.9% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.41%
Current HPI
266.1457
Rent YoY
▲ 8.79%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $69,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,736 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…