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123 Rogers Ave
C- Composite 53.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

123 Rogers Ave · Norfolk, VA 23505
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1922 4,504 sqft lot $166/sqft · 22% below area Est $276k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated 2-story gem in sought-after Glenwood Park, featuring LVP flooring, fresh paint, and stylish fixtures throughout. The eat-in kitchen offers stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, and modern cabinetry, great for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the covered front porch or relax in the private backyard, with a detached garage providing extra storage or workspace. Conveniently located near Hampton Blvd, Naval Station Norfolk, Old Dominion University, shopping, dining, and interstates, this home blends classic Norfolk charm with modern updates. Short sale subject to third-party approval. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Shopping
  • Granite countertops
  • Detached garage

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESNAVAL STATION NORFOLKOLD DOMINION UNIVERSITYSHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Additional parking on driveway, off-street and street parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Detached traditional home; 2 stories; Crawl foundation
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Vinyl siding; Fenced yard (chain link, picket, and privacy sections)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Pantry; Breakfast area
  • Bedrooms: No bedroom with a full bathroom on the first floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window or wall cooling
  • Interior features: Decorative fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($580/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $195k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Camp Allen Elementary (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #966 of 1,108 statewide, top 89%, 417 students, 97% FRL); Matthew Fontaine Maury High (math 46% / reading 90%, grade B, #180 of 319 statewide, top 57%, 1,697 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.1%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $118k; list at $215k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,366 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.96%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,960
List price
$215,000
Delta
-23.90%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
120 Beechwood Ave 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,220 (-6%) 2mo $180,000 $148 88
313 Rogers Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+0%) 3mo $300,000 $231 85
125 Rogers Ave 0.01mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,250 (-4%) 5mo $180,000 $144 80
235 Forrest Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,218 (-6%) 11mo $298,000 $245 72
312 Glendale Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,195 (-8%) 8mo $283,500 $237 68
240 Glendale Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,420 (+10%) 11mo $315,000 $222 64
428 Woodview Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-7%) 4mo $299,000 $249 62
116 Woodview Ave 0.19mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,457 (+12%) 5mo $265,000 $182 61
504 Glendale Ave 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,256 (-3%) 9mo $200,000 $159 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-21,400
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$32,464
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23505

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
12.1%
Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,954 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$278 /mo · $3,336/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$48

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,892
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $170 -5% $109 +0% $48 +5% $-13 +10% $-73
Rent -10% $-106 -5% $-29 +0% $48 +5% $126 +10% $203
Rate -1.0pp $157 -0.5pp $103 base $48 +0.5pp $-7 +1.0pp $-64

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
229 Greenbrier Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,900 $1.58 44d 1 0.14mi
136 Glendale Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1240 $2,275 $1.83 24d 1 0.15mi
121 Glendale Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 3.0 1800 $2,400 $1.33 11d 1 0.18mi
412 Forrest Ave Unit 2 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1003 $1,145 $1.14 15d 1 0.37mi
412 Forrest Ave Unit 2 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1003 $1,145 $1.14 4d 1 0.37mi
8600 Glen Myrtle Ave Norfolk, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 820 $1,589 $1.94 2d 18 0.38mi
7715 Harrison Rd Unit 7720-5 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1004 $1,645 $1.64 44d 1 1.04mi
7715 Harrisons Rd Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1004 $1,645 $1.64 24d 1 1.04mi
7715 Harrisons Rd Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 862 $1,620 $1.88 17d 8 1.04mi
7423 Hampton Blvd Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.5 1800 $2,100 $1.17 44d 1 1.26mi
7472 Major Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 1.5 1400 $2,600 $1.86 18d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on marketlisting id $215,000 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-05-18
    price $209,999 653-char remark
  3. 2026-04-28
    price $229,000 653-char remark
  4. 2026-04-28
    status Active 653-char remark
  5. 2026-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract 653-char remark
  6. 2026-04-02
    listed $249,999 Active 653-char remark
  7. 2026-03-27
    historical
  8. 2026-03-18
    status Active
  9. 2026-01-29
    status Under Contract
  10. 2026-01-28
    historical Active Under Contract
  11. 2026-01-17
    listed $289,999 Active
  12. 2026-01-05
    status Under Contract
  13. 2025-12-07
    historical
  14. 2025-12-07
    historical
  15. 2025-12-02
    status Active
  16. 2025-09-30
    status Under Contract
  17. 2025-09-29
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2025-09-23
    price $289,999
  19. 2025-09-10
    price $295,000
  20. 2025-08-11
    price $300,000
  21. 2025-08-07
    listed $315,000 Active
  22. 2022-10-19
    status Under Contract
  23. 2022-10-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  24. 2022-09-27
    listed $260,000 Active
  25. 2022-06-22
    soldstatus $118,000
  26. 2022-05-26
    status Under Contract
  27. 2022-05-23
    historical Active Under Contract
  28. 2022-05-18
    listed $125,000 Active
  29. 2011-06-13
    soldstatus $138,000
  30. 2004-02-06
    soldstatus $87,000
  31. 1995-08-29
    soldstatus $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,336 · $278/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,336 · $278/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,444
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,336
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,876
− Management
−$1,876
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$3,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$724
After-tax cash flow
$1,304/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norfolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102670
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,358
Composite
35.08/100
National rank
#5026
State rank
#118 of 131 in VA

Livability — Norfolk

Score
83/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1026

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norfolk, VA
County
Norfolk City · 214,042 people
City population
214,042
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
28,247
Household income
$58,579
Rent vs Own
62.8% rent · 37.2% own
Severe rent burden
2299.0

Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,032 people
By 2030
252,347 · +1.3%
By 2040
253,644 · +1.9%
By 2050
251,913 · +1.2%
By 2075
245,281 · -1.5%
By 2100
219,548 · -11.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, United Kingdom, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.86%
Current HPI
294.9807
Rent YoY
▲ 12.08%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+198.6% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $215,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $209,999 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $229,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $249,999 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $289,999 REINMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Pending REINMLS
  • 2025-12-07 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2025-12-07 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Pending REINMLS
  • 2025-09-29 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $289,999 REINMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $295,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $300,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Listed $315,000 REINMLS
  • 2022-10-19 Pending REINMLS
  • 2022-10-12 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2022-09-27 Listed $260,000 REINMLS
  • 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2022-05-26 Pending REINMLS
  • 2022-05-23 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2022-05-18 Listed $125,000 REINMLS
  • 2011-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
  • 2004-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 1995-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,336 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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